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Mech IG? Orc Nob Bikers? I'm thinking Chaos and regular Space Marines are taking a backseat to these guys. Thoughts?

Locally, I believe various types of mechanized builds will be winning. However, I'm sure all types of armies will be present during the 1st round as some folks will be putting everything they have to get their army to 2500 points.

Mech Orks and Mech Marines seem to play well. I've not seen IG make an appearance yet, but I'm sure it will have a decent presence at the Ard Boyz.

I've seen a couple of mechanized IG lists, and I'm pretty sure that these 10-12 tank combinations, which some of the tactics I've seen are going to go very...very far.

Mech IG will be a contender, but if 2/3 of the missions are Dawn of War then they'll have some trouble.

I think a lot will depend on the mission types, again.

I'm actually revisiting Chaos due to the cheapness of melta spam (2/squad, Termicide combi bolters, Oblits) and the strength of their basic troops (15 pts, 2 attacks, boltgun).

I think Rhino Rush Chaos can do quite well against IG if played properly, so ruling out Chaos lists is premature.

Likewise mech marines with a gakload of Land Speeders.

Battlewagon Orks I think have a great deal of potential, but not footslogging hordes.

Jetseer Eldar are still very strong.

Nob Bikes are dead.