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		<title><![CDATA[Latest posts for the thread "Skaven math question"]]></title>
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				<title>Skaven math question</title>
				<description><![CDATA[ So, Skaven magic gets Irresistible Force on a roll of a 13, not two 6s like everyone else. I suck at math, so could someone else work out whether Skaven are more or less likely to roll Irresistible Force than other casters? <br /> <br /> Is it more likely on 3 or 4 dice, compared to needing double 6s, either at 3 or 4 dice?]]></description>
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				<pubDate><![CDATA[Mon, 22 Jun 2009 22:14:03]]> GMT</pubDate>
				<author><![CDATA[ Vengis]]></author>
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				<title>Skaven math question</title>
				<description><![CDATA[ On 4 dice it's about 50/50...using no formulas whatsoever.]]></description>
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				<pubDate><![CDATA[Tue, 23 Jun 2009 03:44:56]]> GMT</pubDate>
				<author><![CDATA[ Bat Manuel]]></author>
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				<title>Skaven math question</title>
				<description><![CDATA[ 50/50 seems really high.<br /> <br /> Okay, so I just ran some numbers on it- curious myself.  No promises on this, but here's what I think I've got.  These take into account irresistible force, removing those scenarios where you have an overriding miscast (i.e. Skaven would be up around 10.8% on 4 dice, except you have to remove combinations that miscast, like 1, 1, 5, 6)<br /> <br /> 4 dice-<br /> <br /> Skaven: 10.1%<br /> Standard: 13.1%<br /> <br /> 3 dice-<br /> <br /> Skaven: 9.7%<br /> Standard: 7.4%<br /> <br /> Summary:  Skaven come out on top at 3 dice, but lose out a little at 4 dice.  If you're just trying to roll IF with a Skaven caster, throw 4 dice, but bear in mind you're more likely to miscast.<br /> <br /> It would be great if someone could check the numbers here, but I fell pretty okay about them.<br /> <br /> <span class="glossaryitem" onmouseover='gp(314);'>RZ</span>]]></description>
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				<pubDate><![CDATA[Tue, 23 Jun 2009 05:19:34]]> GMT</pubDate>
				<author><![CDATA[ Red_Zeke]]></author>
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				<title>Skaven math question</title>
				<description><![CDATA[ Hmmm, given those numbers, 3 dice really seems to be the ideal amount to roll for most Skaven spells. The chance of rolling a 13 isn't much higher with 4 dice, but the miscast chance is. <br /> <br /> Other than rolling for Plague (a 13), 3 dice will be enough most of the time. (second highest casting value is a 9) Thanks for the help, <span class="glossaryitem" onmouseover='gp(314);'>RZ</span>. ]]></description>
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				<pubDate><![CDATA[Tue, 23 Jun 2009 05:34:44]]> GMT</pubDate>
				<author><![CDATA[ Vengis]]></author>
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				<title>Skaven math question</title>
				<description><![CDATA[ Yeah for sure.  You might want to scope out the Under-Empire.  I feel like someone must have done this exercise there, so you can check my math on that one.<br /> <br /> <span class="glossaryitem" onmouseover='gp(314);'>RZ</span>]]></description>
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				<pubDate><![CDATA[Tue, 23 Jun 2009 12:02:29]]> GMT</pubDate>
				<author><![CDATA[ Red_Zeke]]></author>
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				<title>Re:Skaven math question</title>
				<description><![CDATA[ I had a slow day at work a few months ago, and cranked up Excel for this purpose.  Basically, for <span class="glossaryitem" onmouseover='gp(2);'>3D6</span>, I had three columns showing all the possible results for the three dice.  A formula in each row then counted 1 or zero if there were at least two sixes present.  All the ones were added up to get the total count of results where at least two sixes were present.  It's been a while, since I had prob-stat, so I like to physically see the possible outcomes.<br /> <br /> [Edit] Naturally more dice would increase the chances. [/Edit]<br /> <br /> <span class="glossaryitem" onmouseover='gp(1);'>2D6</span>:<br /> No of possible 12 (double six) results:  1/36<br /> Percentage:  0.0278<br /> <br /> <span class="glossaryitem" onmouseover='gp(2);'>3D6</span>:<br /> No of possible 12 (double six) results:  16/216<br /> Percentage:  0.0741<br /> <br /> No of possible 13 results:  21/216<br /> Percentage:  0.0972<br /> <br /> ZF-]]></description>
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				<pubDate><![CDATA[Wed, 24 Jun 2009 12:44:30]]> GMT</pubDate>
				<author><![CDATA[ Zad Fnark]]></author>
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				<title>Re:Skaven math question</title>
				<description><![CDATA[ <a href="http://underempire.net/index.php?showtopic=19963&hl=" target="_new" rel="nofollow">http://underempire.net/index.php?showtopic=19963&<span class="glossaryitem" onmouseover='gp(492);'>hl</span>=</a>, Here's some calculations. (Not me, ignore the slightly annoying text)]]></description>
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				<pubDate><![CDATA[Wed, 24 Jun 2009 16:00:49]]> GMT</pubDate>
				<author><![CDATA[ Oscarius]]></author>
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