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Can someone explain to me or show the math for the following:

what are the odds of rolling 1 5 or 6 or 2 5 or 6's on 2 twin linked dice

what are the odds when it goes up to 3,4,5 dice?

I'm trying to figure out the odds for deffkoptas

Thanks

NaZ

http://www.dakkadakka.com/wiki/en/Basics_of_Mathhammer

Multiply your odds together, being that you have a one sixth chance at any.

Setup:
1. Define a "hit" as rolling a 5 or 6 on a d6
2. Define a "miss" as rolling a 1, 2, 3, or 4 on a d6
3. TL = twin linked.
4. All percentages rounded off to nearest integer

One TL Die
Odds of one hit = 20/36 = 55%
Odds of one miss = 100-55 = 45%

Two TL Dice
Odds of two hits = .55 * .55 = 30%
Odds of two misses = .45 * .45 = 20%
Odds of one hit = 100-30-20 = 50%

Three TL Dice
Odds of three hits = .55^3 = 17%
Odds of three misses = .45^3 = 9%
Odds of one hit = (.45*.45*.55)*3 = 33%
Odds of two hits = (.45*.55*.55)*3 = 40%
Odds of at least one hit = 100-9=91%
Odds of at least two hits = 40+17= 57%

Four TL Dice
Odds of four hits = .55^4 = 9%
Odds of four misses = .45^4 = 4%
Odds of one hit = (.55*.45^3)*4= 20%
Odds of two hits = (.55^2*.45^2)*6= 37%
Odds of three hits = (.55^3*.45)*4 = 30%
Odds of at least one hit = 100-4= 96%
Odds of at least two hits = 100-4-20 = 76%
Odds of at least three hits = 30 + 9 = 39%

I'm not going to five dice

groz thanks that answers my question quite succinctly

I may run 4 deffkoptas rather than 2 units of 2 now. seems much more reliable.

Thanks,

NaZ

Huh? You're still throwing the same number of dice whether is 2 x 2 or one unit of 4. The two unit might even give you more flexibilty with respect to target selection and you'd need to take a casualty with each before you take a morale test, vs one casualty with the 4-copter unit.

fair enough, but if I'm using outflank I often only get 2 at a time to shoot at a single target.

and I've seen due to limitations in positioning, if I have both units together but one has to shoot past another it can confer a cover save.. which sucks

NaZ