Hi there! I'm new to this forum and actually to warhammer in general but since a friend introduced me through Space Hulk a few weeks ago, I've been hooked ^^
Since I couldn't resist it I started compiling a probability list for every action in the game. The only thing left to do is the probabilities for Lorenzo's powersword and the broodlord/librarian. The format can be written in many different ways but I decided to make it from a a marine point of view. If there's anyone willing to discuss the numbers I'd be glad to show the calculations (which are really very straight forward). Also, if there's something you want to know the probability for that I can put in the chart, please tell me and I'll try to fix it! Here goes! (apologize in advance for rounding errors.. I didn't always use all the decimals when calculating stuff based on previous calculations. but it shouldn't be wrong here and there with more than .1 or so)
Btw, if there is a tab function that I don't know about, let me know :S
Space hulk probability chart
Terminators
Base: 30.6%
Sust. Fire: 55.6%
The
Close vs. numbers gives the result of a genestealer roll, the number in () next to it is the chance of the genestealer rolling it and the following column is the probability to survive/win (survive means either a tie or a win) versus that roll without guard. Last column is the same as the middle one, but with guard.
Close vs. Survive/Win Guard
1 (0.46%) 100%/83.3% 100%/97.2%
2 (3.2%) 83.3%/66.7% 97.2%/88.9%
3 (8.8%) 66.7%/50% 88.9%/75.0%
4 (17.1%) 50%/33.3% 75.0%/55.6%
5 (28.3%) 33.3%/16.7% 55.6%/30.6%
6 (42.1%) 16.7%/0% 30.6%/0%
Avg: 4.96 34.0%/17.3% 52.8%/28.1%
Flamer
Base: 83.3%
Close: as normal Terminators
Assult Cannon
Base: 70.4%
Sust. Fire: 87.5%
Blow up in 1 shot: 2.78%
Blow up in 10 shots: 24.6%
Close: as normal Terminators
Lightning Claws
Close, not from front
Same as Terminators.
From front. (+1, +1 die):
Close vs. Survive/Win Guard
1 (0.46%) 100%/100% 100%/100%
2 (3.2%) 100%/97.2% 100%/99.5%
3 (8.8%) 97.2%/88.9% 99.5%/96.3%
4 (17.1%) 88.9%/75.0% 96.3%/87.5%
5 (28.3%) 75.0%/55.6% 87.5%/70.4%
6 (42.1%) 55.6%/30.6% 70.4%/42.1%
Avg: 4.96 72.0%/52.8% 83.3%/64.7%
Lorenzo
Bah, always thought he had +1 when shooting as well :< Now he kinda sucks. :s
Base: 30.6%
Sust. Fire: 55.6%
Close, not from front
Same as Terminators.
From front (Not considering Powersword.. that is work in progress. Trying to decide on format. This is only considering +1):
Close vs. Survive/Win Guard
1 (0.46%) 100%/100% 100%/100%
2 (3.2%) 100%/83.3% 100%/97.2%
3 (8.8%) 83.3%/66.7% 97.2%/88.9%
4 (17.1%) 66.7%/50% 88.9%/75.0%
5 (28.3%) 50%/33.3% 75.0%/55.6%
6 (42.1%) 33.3%/16.7% 55.6%/30.6%
Avg: 4.96 50.6%/34.0% 72.0%/52.8%
Gideon
Close, not from front
Same as Terminators.
From front. Thunderhammer & Stormshield (+2, -1 die for GS):
Close vs. Survive/Win Guard
1 (2.78%) 100%/100% 100%/100%
2 (8.33%) 100%/100% 100%/100%
3 (13.9%) 100%/83.3% 100%/97.2%
4 (19.4%) 83.3%/66.7% 97.2%/88.9%
5 (25.0%) 66.7%/50% 88.9%/75.0%
6 (30.6%) 50%/33.3% 75.0%/55.6%
Avg: 4.47 73.1%/58.3% 89.0%/77.6%
There you have it so far! Please tell me if you find errors! Hope it's interesting for someone.
Cheers
