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The Death Guard and Blackshield idea never had any merit. Their connections to the Inquisition and the Grey Knights was far too clear.
Personally, I prefer the origin presented in the Deathwatch RPG, in which a conclave of Inquisitors and Chapter Masters all met, when a series of prophecies and Imperial divinations all started to converge to the idea that the Imperium would be beset by a multitude of incredibly powerful xenos forces, even greater than what was faced during the Great Crusade.
This lore isn't completely incompatible with what's presented in The Beast Arises, but what was presented just feels... small by comparison to the idea of hundreds of chapters and Inquisitors gathering together.
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