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USA

Link

How to make America more like the euro zone

May 3rd 2012, 14:17 by M.S.

YESTERDAY Matthew Yglesias and Kevin Drum got into what looks to me like a largely semantic back-and-forth over whether Europe's inability to respond to the euro crisis can properly be termed a "collective-action problem". Basically, both are making the by now familiar neo-Keynesian point about the European dilemma: continent-wide austerity is driving the EU's economy into depression, but no European actor is willing to buck the trend and advocate deficit spending in order to generate growth in other European countries. As my colleague puts it, critiquing the reaction to the success of French Socialist presidential hopeful Francois Hollande: "The overwhelming criticism is a sort of 'look how inappropriate fiscal expansion would be for the French economy' take. The point is that the economy that matters is that of the euro zone as a whole. And when one steps back and looks at the dynamics in play, it becomes clear that the robotic push for national-level austerity across the euro zone is undermining integration and thereby exacerbating the crisis." Paul Krugman agrees.

Mr Yglesias goes on to make the point that the reason why America functions as a pretty decent single-currency area, despite radical disparities in wealth and productivity between different regions, is that unlike the EU, it guarantees very large transfer payments from richer to poorer areas to smooth out the differences.

[M]ost individual European countries have a lot of within-country transfer payments from rich people to poor people but Europe as a whole is marked by a high level of inequality and near-total absence of transfers. If in the United States every bailout of the poor parts of the country by the rich parts was marked by protracted negotiations and stern demands that West Virginia "reform" its underperforming economy we'd be in perpetual crisis. And of course you might ask yourself why the federal government does so much for low-income residents of the United States and so little for the poorer low-income residents of low-income Mexico. And of course the reason is nationalism. Nationalism inspires us to help our fellow American when we can and leaves us relatively cold about the plight of people living in Peru.

Along these lines, one might hypothesise that one way for the EU to effectuate the kind of transfers that could put the euro zone on sounder footing would be to shift responsibility for social safety-net spending from individual governments to Brussels. This is a solution that is at least as politically and administratively impossible as any other euro-zone rescue programme, but it's a way of thinking about the problem. And conversely, one might ask what sort of moves might America make if it wanted, for some insane reason, to give itself precisely the kind of pro-cyclical government policies that are crippling the euro-zone right now. One way to do so would be to shift responsibility for social safety-net spending from the federal government to the states. Drawing down transfer payments from richer regions of the country to poorer ones, and devolving spending onto governing entities that, like European governments in the aftermath of the new EU fiscal stability pact, are required to balance their budgets, would mimic some of the dynamics we're seeing in Europe right now. It would be a move towards transforming America into more of an American Union, as it were.

For example, if Medicaid had shifted to a system of federal block grants to states in 2001, the system would have cut federal funds available to most states by more than 35% in 2010. That would have meant those states, mainly those hit hardest by the recession, would have had to come up with the funds themselves by raising taxes or making other cuts, or simply dropped Medicaid coverage for some of their residents. The effect would mimic what has happened with social spending in peripheral European countries like Spain as recession-induced austerity measures have further crippled the weakest economies, and such state-level recessions would have ultimately threatened the American economy in the same way recessions in peripheral euro-zone countries are threatening the European one. I'm sure Paul Ryan doesn't think that by advocating shifting the social safety net to the state level, he's trying to make America more like Europe, but it is what it is.


A fun little discussion of politics and economics.

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I'd just like to say that we should have adopted the metric system for everything a long time ago.

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http://www.dakkadakka.com/dakkaforum/posts/list/0/515293.page#5420356



 
   
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USA

The metric system is evil. Using a base of 10 for everything to make it simpler for everyone? How absurd. If god wanted us to make math easy he'd have told us how to do it

I say we return to ancient Indian numeral systems using 16 as a base

   
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LordofHats wrote:The metric system is evil. Using a base of 10 for everything to make it simpler for everyone? How absurd. If god wanted us to make math easy he'd have told us how to do it

I say we return to ancient Indian numeral systems using 16 as a base


I can 16s to 4096 before I start slowing down and thinking about the computations. It's not really that complex.

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USA

Meh, I just suck at math

Back in Comp Sci, I remember having to convert numbers between base 10, base 8, and base 16, and it always took me forever.

This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2012/05/03 16:28:31


   
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Well, I don't expect everyone to find statistics interesting and fun.

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The Great State of Texas

Melissia wrote:Link

How to make America more like the euro zone

May 3rd 2012, 14:17 by M.S.

YESTERDAY Matthew Yglesias and Kevin Drum got into what looks to me like a largely semantic back-and-forth over whether Europe's inability to respond to the euro crisis can properly be termed a "collective-action problem". Basically, both are making the by now familiar neo-Keynesian point about the European dilemma: continent-wide austerity is driving the EU's economy into depression, but no European actor is willing to buck the trend and advocate deficit spending in order to generate growth in other European countries. As my colleague puts it, critiquing the reaction to the success of French Socialist presidential hopeful Francois Hollande: "The overwhelming criticism is a sort of 'look how inappropriate fiscal expansion would be for the French economy' take. The point is that the economy that matters is that of the euro zone as a whole. And when one steps back and looks at the dynamics in play, it becomes clear that the robotic push for national-level austerity across the euro zone is undermining integration and thereby exacerbating the crisis." Paul Krugman agrees.

Mr Yglesias goes on to make the point that the reason why America functions as a pretty decent single-currency area, despite radical disparities in wealth and productivity between different regions, is that unlike the EU, it guarantees very large transfer payments from richer to poorer areas to smooth out the differences.

[M]ost individual European countries have a lot of within-country transfer payments from rich people to poor people but Europe as a whole is marked by a high level of inequality and near-total absence of transfers. If in the United States every bailout of the poor parts of the country by the rich parts was marked by protracted negotiations and stern demands that West Virginia "reform" its underperforming economy we'd be in perpetual crisis. And of course you might ask yourself why the federal government does so much for low-income residents of the United States and so little for the poorer low-income residents of low-income Mexico. And of course the reason is nationalism. Nationalism inspires us to help our fellow American when we can and leaves us relatively cold about the plight of people living in Peru.

Along these lines, one might hypothesise that one way for the EU to effectuate the kind of transfers that could put the euro zone on sounder footing would be to shift responsibility for social safety-net spending from individual governments to Brussels. This is a solution that is at least as politically and administratively impossible as any other euro-zone rescue programme, but it's a way of thinking about the problem. And conversely, one might ask what sort of moves might America make if it wanted, for some insane reason, to give itself precisely the kind of pro-cyclical government policies that are crippling the euro-zone right now. One way to do so would be to shift responsibility for social safety-net spending from the federal government to the states. Drawing down transfer payments from richer regions of the country to poorer ones, and devolving spending onto governing entities that, like European governments in the aftermath of the new EU fiscal stability pact, are required to balance their budgets, would mimic some of the dynamics we're seeing in Europe right now. It would be a move towards transforming America into more of an American Union, as it were.

For example, if Medicaid had shifted to a system of federal block grants to states in 2001, the system would have cut federal funds available to most states by more than 35% in 2010. That would have meant those states, mainly those hit hardest by the recession, would have had to come up with the funds themselves by raising taxes or making other cuts, or simply dropped Medicaid coverage for some of their residents. The effect would mimic what has happened with social spending in peripheral European countries like Spain as recession-induced austerity measures have further crippled the weakest economies, and such state-level recessions would have ultimately threatened the American economy in the same way recessions in peripheral euro-zone countries are threatening the European one. I'm sure Paul Ryan doesn't think that by advocating shifting the social safety net to the state level, he's trying to make America more like Europe, but it is what it is.


A fun little discussion of politics and economics.


Why do you hate the USA so much you would want it to be like the failed state that is the EU?
You do know the EU is an attempt to be like the US right? They just 'd it up.

-"Wait a minute.....who is that Frazz is talking to in the gallery? Hmmm something is going on here.....Oh.... it seems there is some dispute over video taping of some sort......Frazz is really upset now..........wait a minute......whats he go there.......is it? Can it be?....Frazz has just unleashed his hidden weiner dog from his mini bag, while quoting shakespeares "Let slip the dogs the war!!" GG
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MN (Currently in WY)

So, a States Rights position would make us less able to successfully promote Keynesian economic policy?

I can see why States Rights is so important to Ron Pauliacs now.

This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2012/05/03 16:33:22


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USA

Frazzled wrote:Why do you hate the USA so much you would want it to be like the failed state that is the EU?
You do know the EU is an attempt to be like the US right? They just 'd it up.
I don't disagree.

Neither did the article.


Automatically Appended Next Post:
Easy E wrote:So, a States Rights position would make us less able to promote successful economic policy?
Fixed!

This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2012/05/03 16:34:56


The people in the past who convinced themselves to do unspeakable things were no less human than you or I. They made their decisions; the only thing that prevents history from repeating itself is making different ones.
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Southampton

Well in order to be properly like the EU, you need an island nation who makes everyone else speak their language and tells the two biggest states to get stuffed occasionally....

...Hawaii?

This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2012/05/03 16:39:47


   
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Glendale, AZ

. That would have meant those states, mainly those hit hardest by the recession, would have had to come up with the funds themselves by raising taxes or making other cuts, or simply dropped Medicaid coverage for some of their residents.
This has happened here in AZ in any case. First they denied dental coverage of any kind, if you weren't a minor or disabled, (before they ONLY covered tooth extractions for adults), and more recently the policy is denial of medical coverage for any adult without dependents. The latest change has actually caused some problems for a friend of mine who manages group homes for developmentally disabled adults. Sometimes coverage lapses, (appointment was set a day too late, clerical errors happen at DES, etc), usually this would just be a matter of re-appplying as the clients are no-questions asked covered. Not so, several of these clients (male and female) were denied because of the new "no adults without dependents" policy. They actually got coverage for the clients on appeal, but were told that in the future any further applicants in the same circumstances would automatically be denied and would have to be appealed in order to get new or renew lapsed coverage.

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USA

Texas of course.

The people in the past who convinced themselves to do unspeakable things were no less human than you or I. They made their decisions; the only thing that prevents history from repeating itself is making different ones.
-- Adam Serwer
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The economy of the poorer parts of Eastern Europe is rocketing, I have no idea what data the author of that article was going on.
The economies of Poland, Latvia, Lithuania et al all grew even through the recession.
What's happening at the moment is a government spending problem caused by Southern Europe's decades of economic miss-management and inneffecient/innefective government.

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USA

What's happening right now is a hideous amount of EU enforced, unnecessarily harsh austerity measures which are driving many economies in to the ground.

The people in the past who convinced themselves to do unspeakable things were no less human than you or I. They made their decisions; the only thing that prevents history from repeating itself is making different ones.
-- Adam Serwer
My blog
 
   
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Doesnt Texas already do that?

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USA

Exactly!

The people in the past who convinced themselves to do unspeakable things were no less human than you or I. They made their decisions; the only thing that prevents history from repeating itself is making different ones.
-- Adam Serwer
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-

Melissia, the EU civil service is doing their bit too for austerity measures. Out of 50,000 civil servants in Brussels, they are going to lay off 100. Everyone in Europe from the Commisioner to the tramps in the street are making sacrifices. That is why we will defeat the evil empire that is the USA

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The Great State of Texas

Melissia wrote:
Frazzled wrote:Why do you hate the USA so much you would want it to be like the failed state that is the EU?
You do know the EU is an attempt to be like the US right? They just 'd it up.
I don't disagree.

Neither did the article.


Oops my bad. Boy did I misread that.



Automatically Appended Next Post:
Flashman wrote:Well in order to be properly like the EU, you need an island nation who makes everyone else speak their language and tells the two biggest states to get stuffed occasionally....

...Hawaii?


Puerto Rico. Check.


Automatically Appended Next Post:
hotsauceman1 wrote:Doesnt Texas already do that?


Do what?

This message was edited 2 times. Last update was at 2012/05/03 17:06:08


-"Wait a minute.....who is that Frazz is talking to in the gallery? Hmmm something is going on here.....Oh.... it seems there is some dispute over video taping of some sort......Frazz is really upset now..........wait a minute......whats he go there.......is it? Can it be?....Frazz has just unleashed his hidden weiner dog from his mini bag, while quoting shakespeares "Let slip the dogs the war!!" GG
-"Don't mind Frazzled. He's just Dakka's crazy old dude locked in the attic. He's harmless. Mostly."
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Melissia wrote:What's happening right now is a hideous amount of EU enforced, unnecessarily harsh austerity measures which are driving many economies in to the ground.

Italian government debt is 116% of GDP. The fact is that left to their own devices they would probably now be bankrupt and in ruins. It's hard for people in Anglo-Saxon countries to understand just how incompetent the political leaders of Italy/Greece are, these are countries that spent the previous decade essentially lying to the world in order to build up huge debts.
And defaulting is out of the question. Maybe you could get away with chucking out Greece and letting them default, but there are businesses/governments/organisations all across Europe with money invested in Italian/Spanish bonds. A default by those governments would cause a second credit crunch and generally feth up the entire world all over again.
So the only rational thing to do is control spending - they clearly were incapable of doing it on their own, if the Germans had to install technocrats to do it, so what? A majority of people in those countries still support those governments, in fact they're far more popular than any of their elected predecessors.


Automatically Appended Next Post:
Frazzled wrote:
Why do you hate the USA so much you would want it to be like the failed state that is the EU?
You do know the EU is an attempt to be like the US right? They just 'd it up.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_European_Union
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_States
Also pan-European identy was around a lot longer than the United States. The EU is essentially a continuation of the Roman Empire, as the Catholic Church was. Europe is a lot more united than all those borders would suggest.

This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2012/05/03 17:08:59


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The Great State of Texas

Pan European Unity? Wait you mean the Europe that was a regular killing zone every 20 years for the last 2,500 hundred years until the US and USSR left millions of troops there?

-"Wait a minute.....who is that Frazz is talking to in the gallery? Hmmm something is going on here.....Oh.... it seems there is some dispute over video taping of some sort......Frazz is really upset now..........wait a minute......whats he go there.......is it? Can it be?....Frazz has just unleashed his hidden weiner dog from his mini bag, while quoting shakespeares "Let slip the dogs the war!!" GG
-"Don't mind Frazzled. He's just Dakka's crazy old dude locked in the attic. He's harmless. Mostly."
-TBone the Magnificent 1999-2014, Long Live the King!
 
   
Made in gb
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Frazzled wrote:Pan European Unity? Wait you mean the Europe that was a regular killing zone every 20 years for the last 2,500 hundred years until the US and USSR left millions of troops there?

I could point out that it pales in comparison to the Chinese Civil War and other civil wars.
As a percentage of the population it was certainly far less bloody than wars fought before it.

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Pleasant Valley, Iowa

I'd also like to have the metric system.

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The Great State of Texas

I'm fine with metric. Just freaking pick one already.

-"Wait a minute.....who is that Frazz is talking to in the gallery? Hmmm something is going on here.....Oh.... it seems there is some dispute over video taping of some sort......Frazz is really upset now..........wait a minute......whats he go there.......is it? Can it be?....Frazz has just unleashed his hidden weiner dog from his mini bag, while quoting shakespeares "Let slip the dogs the war!!" GG
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Joey wrote:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_European_Union
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_States
Also pan-European identy was around a lot longer than the United States. The EU is essentially a continuation of the Roman Empire, as the Catholic Church was. Europe is a lot more united than all those borders would suggest.

ROFL.
Ima let you finish, Ima let you finish.
I guess all those wars between the various nations and the xenophobic nationalism that has plagued Europe for centuries was just an American invention.
   
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USA

The US is more unified even now with all our endless partisan bickering than the various EU nations have ever been in the entire length of human existence.

The people in the past who convinced themselves to do unspeakable things were no less human than you or I. They made their decisions; the only thing that prevents history from repeating itself is making different ones.
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UK

Melissia wrote:The US is more unified even now with all our endless partisan bickering than the various EU nations have ever been in the entire length of human existence.


Of course you are, its the same country!

And importantly, you speak English. I think thats the number one deciding factor. I bet the average Brit feels closer to Canadians, Americans, Auzzies and Kiwis than they do to frogs and Germans, being able to communicate is the most important factor in any relationship.

Although, I did shag a French bird once I met in a club in Tignes despite the fact she didn't know as much English as I knew French (feth all)

But you know.. generally!

We are arming Syrian rebels who support ISIS, who is fighting Iran, who is fighting Iraq who we also support against ISIS, while fighting Kurds who we support while they are fighting Syrian rebels.  
   
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The Great State of Texas

Thats kinda the point.


-"Wait a minute.....who is that Frazz is talking to in the gallery? Hmmm something is going on here.....Oh.... it seems there is some dispute over video taping of some sort......Frazz is really upset now..........wait a minute......whats he go there.......is it? Can it be?....Frazz has just unleashed his hidden weiner dog from his mini bag, while quoting shakespeares "Let slip the dogs the war!!" GG
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USA

mattyrm wrote:Of course you are, its the same country!
The USA stands for the United States of America. A state in this context refers to "Sovereign State".

The UK is a sovereign state, as is, say, France, or Libya (most of the time), or Japan.

Sure the US is treated like one big country, but it is effectively a union of many smaller ones with a large amount of power granted to the single overarching "federal" authority. The US actually tried the method that the EU has given, but the Confederation didn't work very well.

This message was edited 2 times. Last update was at 2012/05/03 17:46:22


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USA

The states haven't been sovereign for a long time Mel. Treating the US like its some kind of confederation isn't really the reality we live in anymore and hasn't been since the end of the Articles.

   
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UK

Melissia wrote:
mattyrm wrote:Of course you are, its the same country!
The USA stands for the United States of America. A state in this context refers to "Sovereign State".

The UK is a sovereign state, as is, say, France, or Libya (most of the time), or Japan.

Sure the US is treated like one big country, but it is effectively a union of many smaller ones with a large amount of power granted to the single overarching "federal" authority. The US actually tried the method that the EU has given, but the Confederation didn't work very well.


Yeah I know, but its not right to try and say its anything like the same thing, the original 13 colonies were all English speaking people from roughly the same place, and it evolved from there into the current US, but thats nothing like the same thing as trying to make the EU like one big country.

I mean, not that I think we should, I'm a mega Euro sceptic and i would more than happily feth it off. I would prefer an agreement with Canada and the US/Australia/NZ to the EU, as I said, I think that's where our allegiance truly lies, with our English speaking cousins.

I'm just saying, the two aren't actually that similar are they? Trying to stick France with England into a union is nothing like sticking New York in a union with Pennsylvania!

We are arming Syrian rebels who support ISIS, who is fighting Iran, who is fighting Iraq who we also support against ISIS, while fighting Kurds who we support while they are fighting Syrian rebels.  
   
 
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