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You also have to consider that BT can easily play the reserves game with you. You are assuming that versus a Land Raider list, you are getting your prefered wave and shooting them when you drop in.
The BT player can easily hold them in reserve, react to your deployment (IE flank you), and pop the "only glancing hits" smoke it has. That is not the only tactic, but one the BT have at their disposal. Like CK was saying, there is almost no reason that BT aren't getting the charge, everytime.
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