Switch Theme:

Has GW finally hit that magic number that will price people out of the hobby?  [RSS] Share on facebook Share on Twitter Submit to Reddit
»
Author Message
Advert


Forum adverts like this one are shown to any user who is not logged in. Join us by filling out a tiny 3 field form and you will get your own, free, dakka user account which gives a good range of benefits to you:
  • No adverts like this in the forums anymore.
  • Times and dates in your local timezone.
  • Full tracking of what you have read so you can skip to your first unread post, easily see what has changed since you last logged in, and easily see what is new at a glance.
  • Email notifications for threads you want to watch closely.
  • Being a part of the oldest wargaming community on the net.
If you are already a member then feel free to login now.




Made in us
Brigadier General






Chicago

No, GW hasn't hit the magic number for everyone, but according to this thread they have hit the magic number for some, and more importantly, it appears that they have convinced many people to pare back their purchases.

I'll continue to by the rules and codices for the armies I have, but I can't remember the last time (probably 2 years ago) that I bought a new GW model kit or figure.

I suspect alot of other folks are will continue to maintain the armies they have with occasional purchases, but not buy new armies the way they might have in the past.

BryllCream wrote:
Prices should at least be vaguely linked to points costs, so much money for such a cheap speeder is just absurd.


I disagree with this. Though as you point out, sometimes things are not costed based on what their game value is, by and large GW prices things higher based on how many points they are worth.

I don't like it and see game-value-pricing as just another tool in GW's arsenal for reasons for over-pricing their goods.

"It's worth more in the game"

"The price of tin has gone up"

"Fincast is the best thing ever"

"We want to give a bigger dividend to our shareholders"

Note that some of these are not said, but are reasons anyway.
Made in us
Brigadier General






Chicago

 btr75 wrote:
I think part of it is to cover the operational expense of running all the retail stores instead of selling to FLGS or online sales. Just a guess on my part.


I'm sure that is part of it, but it's well documented that Kirby and the board have been writing themselves really nice dividends (even borrowing in the lean years to do so) over the past few years, and there's some evidence that the number of products sold hasn't increased. It's just prices that have increased.

This is not a recipe for a healthy company.
Made in us
Brigadier General






Chicago

clively wrote:

Spoiler:

The main driver of pricing an item is its perceived value weighed against the number of people who will buy at a given price point.

Contrary to your statement, it's not a simple bell curve. More often than not, you can take something, anything and attempt to sell it for $1. However, the perceived value of that item will be negligible and you won't sell many. You can then turn around and put $10 price tag on it and people will start thinking it's worth more and you'll sell more. The trick is to continue raising the prices until the price exceeds the perceived value by an amount large enough to reduce sales.

Or at least, that's what a lot of people thought a few years ago. In recent times, companies have learned that you don't stop there. Instead you need to keep going in order to maximize profits from a given quantity produced. So the company takes a look at production counts vs revenue. For example, if they produce 1000 units and bring in $50/unit then their revenue is $50,000. If they product 750 units and bring in $75/unit then their revenue is $56,250. If they produce 500 units at $90, then their revenue is $45,000. Obviously the pricing sweet spot then is somewhere between $75 and $90. Of course, once you have market dominance then your perceived value is already high as people believe your crack must be better than the next guys simply because they know people buying it. It's a little more complicated than this as you have to also consider production costs; however, at the quantities GW sells a production quantity difference of 30 or 40% isn't going to change per unit costs by very much.

It generally takes years to figure out those numbers. Worse, they change to some extent depending upon external economic conditions. So, you may be able to sell 750 units at $75 this year, but if the economy crashes you might only sell 400 at that rate. Adding to the complexity is that each sector is impacted differently with hobby spending is one area that doesn't follow the norm very closely. In our case, the people who can generally afford to pay $50 for 5 little plastic men today will probably still afford it at $60 or even $80...

With that said, each price increase makes it a bit easier for other companies to start taking a bite out of GW's market dominance. There are several ways to attack a market leader but they all boil down to making a product with a higher perceived value. In this market there are several ways of doing that all based around quality/price/quantity. Quality is a bit nebulous as it somewhat depends on the buyer; price and quantity though are much more easily controlled. Point is they just need to lower one of those points to increase value to the customer. It might be producing at the same (or better) quality, keeping the same price but delivering a game that requires fewer miniatures to play. Another might be the same/better quality, slightly lower price, same quantity.

Regardless, it's a tricky thing for competitors. If they price too much lower than the market leader then perceived value will kill them. In the meantime GW, as the market leader, can respond by trying to raise quality (Finecast - whatever else you might think, it has destroyed the perceived value of metal models) or to change the game requiring new types of models other games don't use (Flyers) or by lowering model count (Grey Knights).

In any event, if GW loses market dominance then radical changes will come to the industry. Whether good or bad, it will be radical.

tldr; don't hold your breath about prices going lower. They won't.


Great post. Though it's the last bty that is probably the bottom line. Not only has GW priced themselves into luxury goods, they are now reliant on those high prices to convince people that they are the highest quality product. If GW really feels the pinch, they could stop or slow price raises, and they may introduce new products at a slightly lower price point (very unlikely) but I don't think you will ever see them lowering prices across the board. That would be tantamount to saying:
"We were wrong", something GW seems loathe to do.
"Our product isn't worth quite as much as we thought", which would be be a literal statement of fact and a blow to their image as "the best ".
Made in us
Brigadier General






Chicago

 Kilkrazy wrote:
There have been "busy" models since the first edition metal Terminators.

I don't know how much worse it has got as a general rule.


True, there have always been some busy models, but it's gotten much more pronounced.

Compare _____ of today vs those from RT/2nd edition,

Grey Knight Terminators
Blood Angel Death Company
SM Vets
CSM charachters
SM Dreadnaughts.
etc, etc.

More skulls, more ribbons, more filigree. Some folks like it some don't. Some say it reflects bigger figs and better technology, some think it's excess for the sake of selling new products. Whatever conclusions you draw from the increase in detail and ornamentation it's pretty hard to deny that it has happened.

I've got a GK terminator captain (not sure what his name is..) in my hand and it's more greebled than anything the old days. It's also a hell of alot bigger...
Made in us
Brigadier General






Chicago

Stranger83 wrote:

To me "the hobby" also includes the collecting, building, converting and painting of the miniatures – indeed as I’ve got older this has become the “main” part of the hobby to me and gaming actually comes second –

if you factor all that in you can get a lot more stuff to build/convert/paint with £100 from GW than you can with £100 from anyone else.

That's just not correct, GW kits are far more expensive than almost anyone else's kits. I grant you that they do come with more bits, but there are plenty of other places to get bits or other supplies for conversion.

I can buy twice as many figs and vehicles (and bits to convert them if I want) from companies other than GW. Since switching over mostly to non indie games and miniatures, I've spend less and been able to buy far more minis and vehicles.

GW hits you with a double whammy. Not only does their stuff cost more, but you need more of it.
Or put another way...
You spend more, get less, and then you have to spend more again!

This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2013/01/09 13:05:51


 
Made in us
Brigadier General






Chicago

Stranger83 wrote:
[q
I had this discussion earlier and using Warmahordes, Infanity and Malfaux (all the "cheaper" companies) as examples were more expensive on a box set by box set basis (though GW need more box sets to make an army so are more expensive) Can you give me examples of companies which release similar scale models (i.e 28mm) that are cheaper than GW?


Mantic
Perry
Wargames Factory
Defiance Games
EM4
4 A miniatures
Mega Miniatures
Reaper
Ral Partha
Dreamforge (out soon)
Warlord Games
Victrix

And that's just off the top of my head.
GW is near the top of the list for price per miniature.
Made in us
Brigadier General






Chicago

Stranger 83,
You simply don't know what you are talking about. Those of us who have been doing this for a while and are very familiar with models outside of GW can see clearly that you are wrong.

Stranger83 wrote:

OK, maybe "sci-fi hovering tank" wasn't the best example - as I've said I've had a long day. I was trying to say something that you can't get from a historical figure company. Maybe a better option would have been "non human humanoid models" as then I can include the Malfaiux, infinity and Warhamhordes that I've already mentioned.

Though I would say that if tanks were in these games then - based on their price structure - I would expect them to cost more than the GW ones


Really, you're going to argue based on tanks that aren't made by a company based on what you percieve the cost structure to be. Give it up.

Yes, the field of 28mm vehicles is rather small, but GW is still near the most expensive.
Here's a few more companies who make sci-fi vehicles in 28mm to compare prices to. I don't claim that they are better or worse (that's not the issue discussed) merely that they are cheaper:

Technog/Robogear
Old Crow Models
Scotia Grendel (Kryomek, Void and Generic Sci-fi lines)
Ramshackle games
Armorcast
Khurasan Miniatures
Pig Iron Productions

This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2013/01/09 18:52:36


 
Made in us
Brigadier General






Chicago

Being "completely new to this thread"..
You apparently didn't check the context of my post and as such much of you'e fact checking is either false or misleading. Quality of miniatures was stated by the member I replied to as NOT being a factor, merely price, and he did not specify sci-fi and fantasy until after he was backed into a corner with evidence provided by myself and others about less expensive figure manufacturers. So trying to shoot down parts of my list based on quality (Mantic, EM4, WGF) or historicals (Victrix) is not applicable.

As for the others...
Perry Miniatures: First google result for "Perry Miniatures" is this http://www.perry-miniatures.com/ Have a look at the high quality historical models. Sculpted by GW sculptors and sold for much less than GW figs!

EM4- Even though your quality comment isn't germaine, I should point out that it looks like you deliberately went to the worst models on the site.

4A miniatures- Not a great site, but many of the figs are unpainted, and at around 4 bucks each for metal are drastically cheaper.

Reaper- Can't navigate the website, Really? Are you 3 years old? Go here: http://www.reapermini.com/miniatures, click on any of the tabs and see metal miniatures that average 20-50% cheaper than similarly sized GW minis and Bones ( resiplasic) minis that are drastically cheaper than finecast and a even cheaper than similarly sized GW plastics.

Ral Partha- Look closer at "Iron Wind Metals" the US manufacturere/distributor. Average price for a man-sized metal model is $4.25. That's far cheaper than GW.

You can have you're opinions about quality and applicability, and you should feel free to share them. However that's not "fact checking" when my responses were completely in line with what was being responded to.
 BryllCream wrote:
Completely new to this thread but I felt like doing some fact checking.

Google couldn't find any trace of this.
Eilif wrote:


Okay these just look like pure crap:
Spoiler:

Eilif wrote:
4 A miniatures

One dude selling pre-painted models on a website...

Website is un-navigatable so can't comment.
Eilif wrote:
Ral Partha

Actually very high quality...except more expensive than GW (at least, the models seem to be). So that's a myth - busted.

This message was edited 3 times. Last update was at 2013/01/10 14:17:44


 
Made in us
Brigadier General






Chicago

Stranger83 wrote:
Eilif wrote:
Being "completely new to this thread"..
You apparently didn't check the context of my post and as such much of you'e fact checking is either false or misleading. Quality of miniatures was stated by the member I replied to as NOT being a factor, merely price, and he did not specify sci-fi and fantasy until after he was backed into a corner with evidence provided by myself and others about less expensive figure manufacturers. So trying to shoot down parts of my list based on quality (Mantic, EM4, WGF) or historicals (Victrix) is not applicable.


Yes, I didn’t articulate my point very well, but I still maintain that there is a difference between the people who hobby for historical and the people who hobby for Sci-Fi/Fantasy. And GW are in competition with the latter, not the former. Even if you play both 1 set will, usually be your “preferred” type of game, for example I mainly play/paint historicals but do sometime dable in Sci-fi/Fantasy

Here is an interesting experiment, the next time you go to a gaming club/store/event (where there is likely to be people playing both historical and sci-fi) take a look around at the people without looking at the board and see if you can guess who is going to be playing an historical game and who a Scifi/Fantasy. I’d put money on you being right at least 80% of the time.


I'm still not quite sure what you mean by this. Please explain.

The only trend I've seen at conventions is that Historical players seem somewhat older and with a higher propensity toward beards. I'm not sure what that has to do with your point.

I also reject your assertion that GW is in competition with only one segment of the population. I've met a lot of gamers who have been brought into historical gaming by such accessible games as Flames of War, Hail Caesar, and Bolt Action.

There was a time where historical gaming was an intimidating realm of complex rules with low production values and old folks.However, that is changing rapidly as popular level rulesets with high production values, tournament capable rules and affordable plastic miniatures are on the grow. Sure they are not a threat to GW, but they are actively targeting the same gamers, in many cases successfully.
Made in us
Brigadier General






Chicago

Stranger83 wrote:
[

carmachu wrote:


Actually no, the game ISNT only a small part. Its what most people actually DO with the miniatures. If I wanted minis for my D&D game, GW isnt the first place I go to for, reaper, iron winds have a much better selection. Even if its just for painting and sticking on a shelf hosts of other company have better minis to do that with. For space opera games? Other manufactures have jsut as good or better, for small scall RPGing

The "hobby" is a mythical part of gaming that GW lays out, only problem is they only want to include themselves. If their going to claim hobby there is a much much bigger world out there.


Ah, but here is the rub of it are the minis you buy for D&D cheaper - on a mini per mini basis than GW? (And that will all depend on where you buy it from - but GW are not the mst expensive on a model per model basis). Now the game is a part of the hobby, I'm not saying it isn't - but this isn't "Has GW priced you out of wargaming?" It's Has GW Priced people out of the hobby?" And as such, as it was defined to me, I feel that that means we should also look at how much stuff you get to do everything that isn;t gaming with for the money.

.


The minis most people buy for D&D are cheaper Very few people buy their D&D minis from the "big 3". Reaper is by far the largest player in that market, and across the board their prices are cheaper per miniature than compable (for size and material) GW miniatures by 30-50 percent.

Also, as you were informed earlier, the Ral Partha minis that Caramachu mentions are also cheaper.

Stranger83 wrote:
[
As I've already said, if all you want is a cheap wargame why not pick Risk? My guess is because you want something that means you can pick, build, paint and convert, and GW will give you more models to do all that with for your £10 than any other "big 3" company.
.

That's a silly question. People who want a wargame (which usually is taken to be a minaitures wargame) don't pick risk because it doesn't have miniatures and terrain.

You can't compare GW only to the big 3 and then bring RISK into the equation. That intellectually dishonest.

The fact is there are many wargames outside the big 3 that you can play for cheap. My club played an entire summer of "Song of Blades and Heroes". Each of our warbands probably cost about as much as a GW codex or less. And I know for a fact that all or nearly all the figures (one player used his old GW stuff) were drastically less expensive than GW.

Stranger 83,
You've backed yourself into a corner where the only way you can win your argument that the best place to spend your £10 is GW is to ONLY compare GW price-per-miniature to two of the most expensive miniature makers out there. And those are games who don't require nearly as many miniatures as GW games.

You've formed an argument based on discounting the dozens of other miniature wargaming options whose price per-figure AND price per army are drastically cheaper than any of the "Big 3". And you've discounted them soley because they don't fit into your point of view.

Give it up man. You've LOST!
Made in us
Brigadier General






Chicago

Stranger83 wrote:
Eilif wrote:
Stranger 83,
You've backed yourself into a corner where the only way you can win your argument that the best place to spend your £10 is GW is to ONLY compare GW price-per-miniature to two of the most expensive miniature makers out there. And those are games who don't require nearly as many miniatures as GW games.

You've formed an argument based on discounting the dozens of other miniature wargaming options whose price per-figure AND price per army are drastically cheaper than any of the "Big 3". And you've discounted them soley because they don't fit into your point of view.

Give it up man. You've LOST!


But my point is still the same, if GW are not the most expensive why do people not compalin about the more expensive companies pricing people out of the market? Again, the fact that there are other companies cheaper than GW doesn;t make them the most expensive. By all means complain that you find GW too expensive, but if you do the, on the stand point of the fully hobby (i.e. not just the game) then you should find the compaines more expensive than them to all be too expensive and complain about them just as much.

And for price per model IS important when you inclde both "Build" and "Paint" into the hobby, which I was told by the thread OP is what was meant by "The Hobby"


I think we're talking about a few different things here.

1)While the hobby does include painting/gaming/building/etc, it shoudl be pointed out that most folks seem to be taking the OP's use of the word "The Hobby" to mean specifically "The Games Workshop Hobby". This is a fair assumption, because GW prices can only drive someone out of the "GW hobby". GW can't price someone out any other part of the wargaming hobby, because they only make and sell the "GW Hobby".

2) Price per model is important. I agree that building and painting are a big part of the hobby. I will even go so far as to agree that the big 3 do price their miniatures similarly with some being even more expensive per miniature than GW. However, your artificial limitation to just the big 3 is nonsensical. There are far more miniature makers than the big 3, and nearly all of them (with the exception of a few high-end-boutiques) make miniatures that cost less-per-mini.

3) Lastly, regardless of whether painting and building are part of the hobby or not, the fact remains that collecting a standard size GW army is more expensive than any other game, and that's enough to price someone out of the GW hobby, regardless of how much painting and building are included in that cost. The idea that a much higher cost-for-entry is offset by simply having more figures to build and paint is an argument that will not be enough for many folks who seem (if this thread is any indication) to believe that GW has priced them out.
 
Forum Index » Dakka Discussions
Go to: