Probabilities for throwing N dice at target casting values (full data in spreadsheet!)

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**Evertras**

Click here for the google docs spreadsheet

So I taught myself Haskell and wanted a little side project because it's just such a weird language to me. Calculating things seems to be its strong suit, so I set it to the task of calculating every possible outcome of N dice, and then filtering through them to find the successful rolls given certain criteria. In this case I tried casting values, the chances of miscasting/IF, and the chance of getting a spell from a lore if you have X tries at it (either via level or multiple wizards).

**jonolikespie**

This helps me, thank you.

I'm taking a magic heavy army to a tourney today so I just took a pic of that on my phone :p

**The Shadow**

This is great, nice work Evertras! Thanks a lot!

**Makutsu**

Did you include rolling double 6s into account for auto cast?
Like there would be 1/36 extra for 2 dice and so on an so forth?

**Evertras**

Glad people found it useful!

Makutsu wrote:
Did you include rolling double 6s into account for auto cast?
Like there would be 1/36 extra for 2 dice and so on an so forth?

Yes, that's included. That's why the percentages level out to the IF value as the target gets sufficiently high.

1 and 2 autofail is also included, which is why it's a 66% chance for a 1+ on 1 die.

**DukeRustfield**

Not to steal your thunder but this is one thing I've used and I like. You can have however many dice, looking for a total, looking for a number or higher (or lower or equal). I make no provisions about it, since I didn't make it.

http://www.fnordistan.com/smallroller.html#downloads

But like, if you have 20 archers who need 6s, your chance to do 3 wounds and kill a hero is 67.13%.

edit: added source link

**Evertras**

No thunder stolen, that looks super useful!