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Getting to the point

HQ
Librarian (Shield of Sanguinius, Blood lance) 100

Elites
Corbulo 105
Sternguardx5, combi-meltax5 on pod 185

Furioso (frag. cannon, HF) on pod (locator beacon) 180

Troops
Assault squadx5, meltagun, on razorback, LAS/PLAS 165
Assault squadx5, meltagun, on razorback, LAS/PLAS 165
Assault squadx5, meltagun, on razorback, LAS/PLAS 165

Sniper squadx5, cloaks 90

Fast attack
Baal predator, AC/HB 145

Heavy support
Stormraven , AC/MM 200

TOTAL 1500 on the dot

No allies (personal thingy). Is a single Raven too risky at 1500? and the baal? should I run more ASM instead? regarding objectives I think the list is quite decent but overall I feel like the raven and baal are just asking to get downed asap but I want some AA w/o relying on allies.

I think it's about as competitive as BA can be. Whilst you have 2 main targets for enemy heavy fire, they are both quick so can hopefully utilise cover. Biggest downside I see is that with only 2 pods, your going to lose one of 2 180 point units as soon as they arrive

I would possibly think about turning one of the ASM into a DP squad, giving you an odd number of DPs. With the points, I would either add another Baal Predator or an Aegis Defense line instead. I always worry using a one of, especially for the Storm Raven.

I would think about turning the stern guard into another Baal Predator. I think one Baal predator is nowhere near as affective as 2 of them.