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Demi company
Captain - no upgrades
3 x 5 tac marines - no upgrades
Landspeeder - 2 heavy bolters
Devastator squad - no upgrades

Devastator squad - multimelta

I went MSU to play objectives, also gave a dev squad and the speeder an upgrade each in an attempt to fool my opponent thinking this list has more bite than it really does
Would this list work? Its very lacking in damage but I'm hoping to scare off vehicles with a cover camping melta and charge the bolter drill tacs forward with the speeder deep striking backfield for late game objective grabs and rear armour shots.

Any advice?

I think you are trying to cram too many bodies into to few points. It’s one think to keep the strike force in mind for when you grow, but anything tougher then basic infantry is basically immune to you.

At the very least just go with a demi-co. Sure, you don’t get all the special rules, but the points you spent on the second dev squad could actually get you some gear. Or rhinos. Or a little of both.

But right now you are just footslogging targets. You might do OK in some missions vs. some lists, but I fear most games are going to be an uphill battle.

Yup, definitely just get the Demi-Company, this'll give you the points to give the Devastators some good weapons, some special weapons on your Tactical Squads, and some upgrades for your Captain.

I'd give one of the Tactical Squads a Flamer and a Power Weapon in a Rhino and then attach your Captain (and give him a power weapon at least) for a decent (at 500 points) melee unit that can go after enemy characters.

OK, so scrapped the original list to make one a little more versatile:

Librarian
5 tactical marines - multimelta, rhino
5 tactical marines - rhino
land speeder - 2 heavy bolters
predator - autocannon and heavy bolters
much fewer marines, but more mobility, armour and firepower. Not too fussed about dealing with heavy armour - I have a few counters (mmelta + h.bolters against rear armour) worst comes to worst I can try to ignore it and it'll likely have been a huge point sink in such a small scale game.

Rather then the second tac squad, how about a squad of scouts in a LSS? Or just on foot infiltrating/scouting. Pretty much every time I see a naked 5 man tac squad, I ask “Why not scouts?” You trade a bit of armor for a host of special rules.

I think you might get more use out of a meltagun, rather then a multimelta. Combi on the sarge if you can find the points.

As a reminder, Speeders don’t have chapter tactics, so no bolter drill for it’s HBs. If you can find the points, The TML is a lot better then the second HB. Speeders are also a fun place to stick HF/MMs if you want to be aggressive.

While I like the concept of the Dakka pred, you might be better off getting a TFC or a WW to fill that role. If you just want to cash out light troops, they do it better, for about the same/less points.

I don't own any scouts, or a tfc (yet), so I'm stuck with 2x5 tacs
Is the WW worth it on a small board? I could use the points saved from dropping the predator for a WW and make the speeder more dangerous - I know the speeder =/= chapter tactics, the h.bolters were the only upgrade i could get for the points i had left.