Freman Bloodglaive wrote:Both using their power fist equivalents.
Logan hits on 3+ with re-rolls of ones, and wounds on 2+ with re-rolls of ones. Calgar saves on a 4+.
Calgar hits on 4+, and then wounds on a 2+ with re-rolls. Grimnar saves on a 4+.
Both have 5 attacks base 6 when charging, Grimnar gets up to 7 if he uses his high king ability and can get +1 attack even if charged if he can pass a leadership test. Grimnar has 3 wounds, Calgar has 4.
Working back, Grimnar needs to inflict 8 wounds on average, Calgar needs to inflict 6, wounding on 2+ with re-rolls we can reasonably assume they will wound with every hit.
Grimnar needs 8 hits, Calgar needs 6. Having 3+ to hit, with re-rolls of one, Grimnar needs 10-11 attacks to get that number of hits, on 4+ Calgar needs 12.
Since Grimnar has 5 attacks base (with the ability to get +1 attack with counter/charging and the high king rule), he can get the requisite 10-11 attacks in two combat rounds.
Even if he charges Calgar can only get the requisite 12 attacks in three combat rounds.
I could do a full bionomial analysis of the fight, but the above averages give a reasonable picture. Grimnar will win because of his superior "to-hit" ability.