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2016/03/21 22:06:02
Subject: The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
The idea that to dislike the idea of Trump means you hate the working class is, quite frankly, idiotic. I cannot express my contempt for that article or its author enough in written words.
I wish I had time for all the game systems I own, let alone want to own...
2016/03/21 23:14:25
Subject: The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
motyak wrote: The idea that to dislike the idea of Trump means you hate the working class is, quite frankly, idiotic. I cannot express my contempt for that article or its author enough in written words.
I think you need to read that piece a little closer... unless you define contempt=hate.
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2016/03/21 23:22:21
Subject: The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
Polonius wrote: Contempt is a form of hate, mixed with disgust. Either way, it's mighty fine hair splitting.
The premise of that article is to ascertain why Trump is popular now... that is, for all that ails the US Political Sphere, try bring up "the working class"...
and, you'll be met with various forms of derision.
The author is simply pointing out that Trump is tapping into this frustration.
I'm not sure I 100% agree with it, but it does have some merits to ponder this line of thinking a bit.
This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2016/03/21 23:34:21
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2016/03/21 23:44:03
Subject: The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
No, it doesn't. Trump mentions the working class the same way a sports star who has no connection to the real world beyond hearing cheers thanks 'the fans' he couldn't give two gaks about. They'd never do anything for the people supporting them beyond the most token of gestures, but they'll talk about them again and again so that some of those people fall in love and buy tickets and merchandise/vote for them.
His care for the working class will end the minute he wins the election, and start back up 2 days before beginning to run for reelection.
I wish I had time for all the game systems I own, let alone want to own...
2016/03/21 23:53:15
Subject: The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
motyak wrote: No, it doesn't. Trump mentions the working class the same way a sports star who has no connection to the real world beyond hearing cheers thanks 'the fans' he couldn't give two gaks about. They'd never do anything for the people supporting them beyond the most token of gestures, but they'll talk about them again and again so that some of those people fall in love and buy tickets and merchandise/vote for them.
His care for the working class will end the minute he wins the election, and start back up 2 days before beginning to run for reelection.
I don't disagree with you.
In fact... that's like every politician... like ever.
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2016/03/22 00:08:13
Subject: The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
d-usa wrote: Just look at his "made in China" stuff that he continues to manufacture in China while his working class supporters see their jobs outsourced.
which is often why I point out to people, love him or hate him, Sanders is pretty much the only candidate running right now with a record of actually helping the working class. I hate that I have to bring it up with Vet friends, but of the group, he's also the only one who consistently works to improve the VA, and to improve veterans' benefits in general.
Heck, you can even point out Sanders' and Trump's "Campaign hats" that you can buy. I saw on FB, that Trump's are (surprise, surprise) made in China, while Sanders' hats are made in the USA.
2016/03/22 01:11:16
Subject: Re:The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
What might be called "transnational progressivism" is the ideology for an age once thought not to need one. President Obama, for example, was hailed as 'not a doctinaire liberal' and 'centrist and pragmatic'. The truth, as eight sorry years have shown, is very different.
For more than half a century leading global thinkers have heralded the death of ideology. Beginning with Daniel Bell’s famous 1962 book The End of Ideology, prominent scholars have repeatedly maintained that the role of ideology was diminishing and the exercise of pragmatism ascending throughout the Western world. In The End of Ideology (listed by the Times Literary Supplement as among the “100 most influential non-fiction books since World War II”), Bell declared that the “ideological age has ended” in the West (although it would intensify in the developing world).
Bell argued that the rise of affluence and the advance of social modernisation had led to a broad consensus on political values and an exhaustion with grand ideological debates in the developed world. Bell’s thesis was amplified by leading American social scientists including Edward Shils and Seymour Martin Lipset.
Decades later Francis Fukuyama declared that with the collapse of communism we had reached “the end of history”, meaning the great ideological issues of politics (who should govern and why) had been solved. Although (small h) history in the sense of wars and political upheavals might continue for hundreds of years, (capital H) History in the Hegelian sense was over, because liberal democracy had triumphed in the realm of ideas. Fukuyama maintained liberal democracy was the ideological endpoint of humankind’s age-old quest for the best regime. In the future, even autocratic rulers would claim to be democratic or cite democracy as their end goal.
In January 2009 as Barack Obama was being inaugurated as President of the United States, David Brooks wrote in the New York Times that “Obama aims to realize the end of ideology politics that Daniel Bell and others glimpsed in the early 1960s. He sees himself as a pragmatist, an empiricist.” Indeed, from the beginning of Barack Obama’s first presidential campaign to the present, scores of books, essays and blogs have been marshalled to argue that Obama eschews ideology and embraces pragmatism. Harvard law professor Cass Sunstein (who served in the White House from 2009 to 2012) wrote that Obama was “not a doctrinaire liberal”, that “his skepticism about conventional ideological categories is principled”, and that, above all, he is an empirical pragmatist who understands that “real change requires consensus, learning, and accommodation”. The journalist Fareed Zakaria declared that “Obama is a centrist and a pragmatist”. Academics and public intellectuals compared Obama’s thought to the tradition of the pragmatist school of American philosophy embodied by Charles Peirce, William James and John Dewey.
In response, Hoover Institution scholar Peter Berkowitz noted that, in fact, Obama does share similarities with the pragmatist philosophers in the sense that he is, as they were, a progressive ideologue promoting a decidedly ideological agenda (think John Dewey), while masquerading as a rational non-partisan “pragmatist” committed to “what works” rather than to a progressive utopian vision of the future. Berkowitz quotes the late twentieth-century “new pragmatist” philosopher and progressive political theorist Richard Rorty, to the effect that the “new pragmatist” will make “shared utopian dreams” his guide to politics.
Whether one examines national health care, immigration, racial and gender politics, LGBT rights, executive orders, aggressive “diversity” initiatives promoting “substantive equality” throughout the federal government in education, housing, energy, defence and elsewhere, judicial appointments, and foreign policy openings to Iran and Cuba—after seven years, it is clear that the current American President is the most ideological since Ronald Reagan. After all, the stated goal of the Obama administration is the “fundamental transformation of the United States of America”, which suggests neither a “centrist” nor “pragmatic” agenda.
Obama’s ideology is progressivism, an American branch of a global ideology that could be described as transnational progressivism or global progressivism. The American wing of progressivism (sometimes confusingly called liberalism) shares a broad worldview with the Western Left generally.
The ideology of transnational progressivism has a strong base among Western elites. Its adherents can be found in the editorial offices of the Guardian, the BBC, the New York Times, Le Monde, Der Spiegel and the Australian Broadcasting Corporation; among the politicians and global business leaders who gather at Davos; among human rights activists and NGOs; among the leadership of almost all EU, UN and international organisations; and among the “Sixty-Eighters”, the ageing politicians who cut their activist teeth in the protests of the 1960s.
At home, global progressives focus on promoting what they call “marginalised” groups, such as women, LGBT people, racial minorities, linguistic minorities, immigrants, particularly Muslims. For example, the Western Left calls for “gender parity” (imposed proportional representation) across the board in all institutions of civic life, by fiat if necessary (violating the tenets of a free society). They tout an adversarial multiculturalism or identity politics that problematises national patriotic cultures, traditional institutions (religion, family), the concepts of free speech, individual citizenship and equality under the law (because the marginalised groups are awarded special rights). Despite the recent popularity of Thomas Piketty’s neo-Marxist writings an with its cod Bernie Sanders’s speeches, the general trajectory of today’s Western Left is (as both Daniel Bell and his critics predicted) away from class conflict and towards new antagonisms. These new (post-1960s) fault lines are based on ethnicity, race, gender, sexual orientation, immigration, language, religion, globalism and other issues that are even more divisive for national cohesion than traditional class struggle.
Abroad, Western Leftists promote (in varying degrees and where politically possible) what they call “global governance”, meaning the building of supranational institutions and policies that diminish the role of the nation-state, including the democratic nation-state. The ultimate goal of this grand ideological project is the creation of an increasingly integrated global order with laws and institutions that are superior to those of the nation-state.
The problematic questions that this raises for consensual democracy, civic identity, individual rights, free speech, and even the practicality of day-to-day international relations are noted by globalist advocates, but not successfully addressed. Thus, for example, EU adherents have still not explained the union’s “democratic deficit” to the satisfaction of their citizens. In a powerful new book, Todd Huizinga of the Acton Institute labels the transnational progressive ideologists of the European Union “soft utopians”, distinguishing them from the “hard” utopianism of totalitarian movements.
Western progressives appear to approach external and internal politics with sharply different mindsets. International relations are viewed through the prism of “win-win”. The idea is that hostile ideological regimes like the Islamic Republic of Iran or geopolitical adventurers like Vladimir Putin’s Russia can be won over through negotiations, bribery and appeals to what the Western Left considers the “real” (that is, material) interests of the outlier regimes, premised on a global progressive view of the world. In this view, anti-democratic adversaries can be persuaded into abandoning their zero-sum approach to international politics and embracing the globalist “win-win” or non-zero-sum scenario, as Robert Wright (Non-Zero: The Logic of Human Destiny) argued more than a decade ago.
On the other hand, the progressives view domestic politics as strictly a zero-sum game. Their opponents at home, Western conservatives, are often excoriated as racists, xenophobes and reactionary retrogrades. The current President of the United States and the leaders of, for example, the European Parliament and European Commission, appear to expend much more vitriol on Republicans and Eurosceptics, respectively, than on the West’s anti-democratic enemies. This hostility is often reciprocated, hence the increasing polarisation of Western politics.
While international relations in Asia are focused on the geopolitical implications of the rise of China, ideology plays an oversized role in the Middle East and the Muslim world. Both the Shiite and Sunni wings of millenarian radical Islam exemplified by the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Islamic State (ISIS) attest to the significance of ideology in the world of twenty-first-century global politics (as opposed to simply national interests, pragmatism, economics and material power). The Washington Post has reported that ISIS’s media-propaganda “emirs” receive higher pay than their combat officers, suggesting the supreme importance that ISIS attaches to ideology.
First and foremost, in the West today, an intense ideological struggle is raging non-stop over the most momentous issues of world politics, including the singular, primary political question: Who should govern? The current migrant crisis and the ongoing issues of mass immigration, multiculturalism and cultural assimilation highlight this ideological conflict throughout Western politics.
Who decides immigration policy: democratic nation-states or hundreds of thousands or millions of migrants on their own? Who accommodates to whom: host nationals or newcomers? What principles determine policy: government by consent of the governed or evolving concepts of global human rights? If the latter, who decides what those universal human rights are?
On these most basic of political questions, the West is polarised. On one side of this grand ideological conflict are the transnational progressives. On the other side are what could be called democratic nationalists. This counter-ideology could be divided into two wings: Reaganism-Thatcherism in the Anglosphere nations, and Gaullism in most of the non-English-speaking West and other Western-allied developed nations.
The spirit of Reaganism-Thatcherism is captured in a recent article by former Australian Prime Minister John Howard in National Review. Unlike progressive Western elites who focus on building a global order of transnational institutions, Howard emphasises national sovereignty and bilateral international relations as opposed to multilateralism. He explicitly rejects the “pooled sovereignty” touted by EU elites and notes that the British are justifiably angry that “their nation’s courts are subjugated to the European Court of Justice”. Howard insists that border control is “a basic element of national sovereignty” and proudly reminds National Review readers that in 2001 he declared: “We will decide who comes to this country and the circumstances in which they come.”
The spirit of contemporary Gaullism is exemplified in Poland’s new conservative Law and Justice Party government. Like the original French version of Gaullism, the new Polish government promotes the country’s patriotic and cultural traditions and favours strong and honest state institutions within a vibrant democracy. National sovereignty is emphasised over post-national EU institutions as party leaders insist that “the EU should benefit Poland, not the other way around”. As firm defenders of Poland’s often historically challenged national identity, the new Polish government takes a decidedly more cautious and sceptical approach to the current migration crisis than EU elites generally, or Frau Merkel in particular.
In a recent Telegraph essay, the Thatcherite Charles Crawford (the British Ambassador to Poland from 2002 to 2007) looks favourably on what he describes as Poland’s “carefully Eurosceptic etatist-patriots”. Crawford remarks that just as de Gaulle had “a certain idea of France”, today the Law and Justice Party leader Jaroslav Kaczynski “has a similarly subtle but powerful view of Poland”.
To be sure, Reaganism-Thatcherism and Gaullism differ on economic policy. In the Anglosphere, contemporary conservatives in the US, Britain, Canada, Australia and New Zealand have looked to Adam Smith, Hayek and Von Mises and placed free-market economics front and centre on their political agenda. Gaullists look more to the state and favour protectionist policies defending national industries and companies.
Nevertheless, the two blocs are united on the core issues of national sovereignty, national cohesion and patriotism, and oppose the Western progressives’ promotion of both an increasingly post-national global order externally, and an expanding multicultural ethos internally. Hence, principled democratic nationalists, whether Reaganite-Thatcherite or Gaullist, have more in common with each other than with their leftist opponents who emphasise identity politics, or with the non-ideological centre-Right politicians in their own parties who accommodate to the prevailing progressive media zeitgeist.
Thus, it is not surprising that the Polish Law and Justice Party sits in the European Parliament with the British Conservatives (whose intellectual leader in that parliament is the quintessential Reaganite-Thatcherite, Anglosphere conservative Daniel Hannan). Under the banner of the Alliance of European Conservatives and Reformists (AECR), a centre-Right Reaganite-Thatcherite-Gaullist coalition is locked in ideological battle with the forces of Western transnational progressivism. To complicate matters, the Christian Democratic European People’s Party (EPP) standing to the left of the AECR, consists of both Gaullists and globalists, while to the AECR’s right, a group of parties usually labelled “populist”, contains both decent democratic Gaullists as well as unsavoury thuggish elements.
To further complicate matters, Western Left elites often attack British Tory allies, including the Law and Justice Party, as xenophobic and anti-Semitic, and given the party’s broad-based support they can find examples. But when, in a move to pressure Israel, the European Parliament voted by 84 per cent (525 out of 626 votes) to fix “labels” to goods produced by Jews from the West Bank, East Jerusalem and the Golan Heights (Benjamin Netanyahu complained that “we already have a historical memory as to what happened when Europe marked products of Jews”) the Law and Justice Party, in opposition to the entire Left and the centre-Right EPP, stood with the 16 per cent that did not gang up against Israel. Daniel Hannan explains the hostility to the Law and Justice Party by Western progressives as: opposition to the Poles’ criticism of Brussels overreach; attempts to undermine the Tory-led AECR coalition; and rejection of the Law and Justice Party’s determined effort to check the influence of corrupt post-communist elites in Poland.
Adam Garfinkle, editor of the American Interest, portrays the European refugee crisis in particular (and by extension, immigration generally) as a clash of competing rights and moral arguments. The moral argument in favour of the admission of asylum seekers (and, for some, economic migrants) is met by the moral argument “for a community’s own sense of self-determination, which presumes the right of self-definition and self-composition”. Garfinkle is starting to put his finger on the main issue, but the stakes are even higher.
What is at stake in determining refugee-immigration-assimilation policy (which must be seen as one interdependent issue) is the right of societal preservation and societal reproduction: Does a free people have the right to perpetuate its way of life or not? That “way of life”, Alexis de Tocqueville famously wrote, is based on particular political foundations (laws, institutions) and, most importantly, on cultural foundations (mores, manners, customs, habits, principles, religious and philosophical presuppositions).
Do the French, British, Poles, Hungarians, Czechs, Americans and Australians have the right to decide for themselves whether or not to perpetuate their cultures, institutions and ways of life? Or will these questions be decided for them (and against their will) by transnational elites (through ideologically partisan interpretations of global human rights) and/or by millions of migrants from the developing world “voting with their feet” and arriving without the consent of the host nation’s citizens? The American conservative thinker Willmoore Kendall once wrote that the greatest political “right” of all was not any individual right, but the right of a free people to rule themselves.
Whatever one’s political viewpoint, it is clear that we are facing, not pragmatism, but a question of ideology par excellence. Put otherwise, we are facing a capital W, capital H, World Historical question: Does Western-style government by consent of the governed have the moral right of societal reproduction in the twenty-first century? The immediate migration issue and the continuing immigration-assimilation question tells us that the contemporary West is not living in a Kojevian post-historical world with “pragmatic” civil servants adjusting bureaucratic post-national rules because all the big questions have been settled (Francis Fukuyama) or because “the ideological age has ended” in the West (Daniel Bell). Instead we are still addressing Hegelian big issues, specifically, the most important question of political philosophy: Who should govern, and by what moral authority?
Ideas have consequences. Ideology, whether democratic or non-democratic, Western or non-Western, positive or negative, continues to shape history as much as so-called material factors.
That is an interesting question... World Historical question: Does Western-style government by consent of the governed have the moral right of societal reproduction in the twenty-first century?
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2016/03/22 01:20:50
Subject: The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
So from reading the replies from earlier, it does kinda seem from the outsiders point of view that the US is well, sorta huge that it is difficult to get the whole impact / influence thing across from individual normal people.
In the UK, I could, if I was motivated enough about an issue, pester my MP about something. - For example, I know where his office is in my town.
Alternatively, if I was in Scotland (which I used to be), I could literally walk up to the SNPMP candidate and chat to him while he was out walking his dog. - There was that kind of closeness.
Admittedly, the MP could still hypothetically be a twit that'd ignore everything you personally said or whatever. Yet, it was still enough to feel that you could be involved in something if sufficiently motivated.
But yeah, that diagram of the Senate, well, wow. I genuinely have nothing. Except maybe naively saying, 'maybe it is a case of trying to fix state politics first?' - Even though from the sounds of it, that's a whole other gigantic mess of different problems.
I dunno, as an outsider, I imagine if I were to map my politics onto the US system, I'd probably end up going for Hillary. I'd kinda want Sanders to be involved in the running of the country but I've never been able to shake my impression that there's kind of a naivete of 'realpolitik' about him that would see him run roughshod by not-friendly types (both externally and interally in the country) and potentially taken advantage of by those who are yet still kinda friendly inclined.
Anyhows, that's the impression I get of him. No idea whether that matches the reality, or it's a case of "if I study the stats" it's different.
Yet, of course, as we all know, when it comes to politics, impression counts for more than the reality.
2016/03/22 01:35:09
Subject: The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
whembly wrote: Not sure I'd advocate increasing the House 3x the size... but, I'm just spitballing here.
It’s an interesting idea, but I’m not sure that the size of districts is causing the lack of engagement. Given modern communications and the possible staffing levels a Representative could have, it wouldn’t be too hard to manage a district that size. The problem is a lack of focus, not a lack of ability.
I posted earlier about a change in Federal politics, the old district focus, which prioritised what pork a Rep can deliver for his district above all else, that culture is gone. It’s been replaced by a partisan focus on national issues. Now what matters is being in lockstep with the rest of your party. The idea of crossing the floor to vote with something against your own party’s wishes, even when it’s best for your electorate is rapidly disappearing.
This isn’t to say the old pork barrelling system was all sunshine and happiness, it wasted lots of government money, and meant many things clearly in the national interest were sunk by local interests. But for all its issues it was a functioning system, whereby things happened and progress stuttered forward.
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Kilkrazy wrote: I don't know if there is anything like an ideal proportion of representation. The UK has 650 elected MPs, compared to under 600 congressmen and senators for the whole of the USA which has five times the population. So, we are supposedly much better represented. However, people still feel a disengagement from democracy and government. I believe this is because of the First Past The Post system. This system always produces a definitive results, but at the cost of ignoring minority views, or even majority views that aren't represented on the ballot. I believe some form of proportional representation would help. All countries with PR have more parties, with governments consisting more often of coalitions.
I think that it is good to encourage more minority voices, and am concerned about the increasingly narrow set of viewpoints in the major parties in most modern democracies. But while increased democracy and representation is good, we have to be careful about how systems work in practice. The issue with proportional representation is that you end up with flimsy coalitions trying to exercise execution control. It’s hard enough to head up government at the best of times, let alone when your source of power is a flimsy coalition that’s likely to collapse at any given minute.
Some kind of mixed system will likely work best.
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Ensis Ferrae wrote: But the hurdle, or hurdles I'd think would be hardest to get passed, first would be the cost. 3x more people making HoR pay is going to significantly increase tax burden on people.
Another 870 Reps, with a salary of $174k each, would cost $151m. That's not a small number, but out of a Federal budget of $3.5t, it's 0.0043%. That's a very small cost, if it produced greater representation and a better mananged government.
The issue, of course, is whether tripling the size of the house will produce better representation and governance. If people were confident that were true, the 0.0043% increase in management costs would be immaterial.
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Gordon Shumway wrote: Or we could go full Aristotle (or was it Plato?) and not make the HORs elected but appointed randomly for a set term, sort of like jurors.*
*again, only said half in jest.
I was talking about this exact thing with some friends last night. We were talking about how Australia's recent of strange senate appointments has worked out*. Most of the guys elected were 'aussie battlers', which is a nice way of saying stupid, and there was lots of concern before they took office. However, in office they've performed really well. It turns out an independent voice, even a stupid voice, can provide a valuable contrast to the monotone voices of the major parties.
It led to us talking about lotteries that would appoint random people to public office. Not in an executive role, of course, but to a house of review like the senate I'm kind of a bit scared how much I like the idea compared to the current system.
*Some were voted in as part of Clive Palmer's nonsense party that quickly dissolved, but they all stayed on as independent senators, and a couple of others were voted in by a new trend in exploiting Australia's senate election laws to turn tiny primary votes in to senate seats. It produced a massive influx of independent voices in a system that previously had very few.
This message was edited 3 times. Last update was at 2016/03/22 02:08:40
“We may observe that the government in a civilized country is much more expensive than in a barbarous one; and when we say that one government is more expensive than another, it is the same as if we said that that one country is farther advanced in improvement than another. To say that the government is expensive and the people not oppressed is to say that the people are rich.”
Adam Smith, who must have been some kind of leftie or something.
2016/03/22 02:13:17
Subject: The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
Gordon Shumway wrote: Or we could go full Aristotle (or was it Plato?) and not make the HORs elected but appointed randomly for a set term, sort of like jurors.*
*again, only said half in jest.
I was talking about this exact thing with some friends last night. We were talking about how Australia's recent of strange senate appointments has worked out*. Most of the guys elected were 'aussie battlers', which is a nice way of saying stupid, and there was lots of concern before they took office. However, in office they've performed really well. It turns out an independent voice, even a stupid voice, can provide a valuable contrast to the monotone voices of the major parties.
It led to us talking about lotteries that would appoint random people to public office. Not in an executive role, of course, but to a house of review like the senate I'm kind of a bit scared how much I like the idea compared to the current system.
*Some were voted in as part of Clive Palmer's nonsense party that quickly dissolved, but they all stayed on as independent senators, and a couple of others were voted in by a new trend in exploiting Australia's senate election laws to turn tiny primary votes in to senate seats. It produced a massive influx of independent voices in a system that previously had very few.
Maybe that's part of the reason Trump is doing well... in that, he's so different.
Not that he's necessarily right, wrong or flying rodent gak insane... he contrasts so much from the usual "run of the mill" politicians.
*on the campaign trail. As a politician, who knows what he'd be like.
This message was edited 2 times. Last update was at 2016/03/22 02:37:11
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2016/03/22 02:18:28
Subject: The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
LordofHats wrote: I'd propose state politics are nightmarish in part because no one really pays any attention to them. Making state politics relevant again for the general population might reduce the insanity.
I think that's a large part of it. The other part is that state politics are the second lowest rung on the totem pole*. Most of the ones who are any good use their state government representative position as a platform to higher office, moving to federal politics, or at least in to higher levels of state government. It's not an absolute system where only the most talented advance, but its a pretty strong general rule.
“We may observe that the government in a civilized country is much more expensive than in a barbarous one; and when we say that one government is more expensive than another, it is the same as if we said that that one country is farther advanced in improvement than another. To say that the government is expensive and the people not oppressed is to say that the people are rich.”
Adam Smith, who must have been some kind of leftie or something.
2016/03/22 02:18:57
Subject: Re:The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
d-usa wrote: Just look at his "made in China" stuff that he continues to manufacture in China while his working class supporters see their jobs outsourced.
Pointing out Trump’s own stuff is made in China is a clever bit of ‘gotcha’, but that’s really all it is. The bigger and more important point is that Trump’s complaints about China, or about international trade in general are either dishonest, or so massively misinformed that it ends up in the same place.
US manufacturing is strong, and grows every year. It’s grown 20% in the last 6 years, that’s stronger growth than most sectors. But there’s been little benefit to working class people, because manufacturing is now heavily automated. While manufacturing grew 20%, manufacturing jobs grew 5%.
The decent paying manufacturing jobs weren’t replaced by China, they were replaced by robots. Trump has tuned in to the anger over those lost jobs, but his solution is smoke and mirrors.
That article is pretty much what happens you delve deep in to the crazy world of tribal politics. Anyone with any beliefs at all is declared to be an ideologue. And any two people who happen to align loosely on general goals are assumed to be part of the same transnational movement.
To show that kind of thinking produces a very silly understanding of the world, consider the author just blithely mentioning that this ‘transnational progressivism’ supports global governance. There’s no consideration that even among the far left that kind of idea is a minority of a minority. For the author and his warped view of the world, the fact that one left winger is in favour of global governance means they all are.
He produces a similarly nutty description of the movement that opposes the transnational progressive for control of the English speaking world. His description of the ‘democratic nationalists’ says they follow the economics of Von Mises and Hayek - who's work can now be best charitably described as utterly irrelevant to everything and everyone.
The two groups he describe are fractions of fractions of a minority of minor political parties. Both groups are almost completely irrelevant to those in real power.
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whembly wrote: Maybe that's part of the reason Trump is doing well... in that, he's so different.
Not that he's necessarily right, wrong or flying rodent gak insane... he contrasts so much from the usual "run of the mill" politicians.
Yeah, I think that is a huge part of the appeal. He talks like people talk. He uses direct sentences that get straight to the point. Nothing he says sounds like it's been managed and perfected by script writers.
I think that's what was so telling about Rubio's Rubiobot gaffe, it wasn't just that he was repeating a line over and over again, because everyone does that, including Trump (if anything he's quite repetitive). But Rubio's line was so obviously written deliberately, to sound just right. It showed a level of stage managing that Trump doesn't have.
That's all surface level stuff, of course. Underneath Trump is running a campaign that's at least as cynical as anyone else in this race. But on the surface his use of more aggressive and more crude language gives an appearance of something more genuine.
This message was edited 3 times. Last update was at 2016/03/22 03:28:29
“We may observe that the government in a civilized country is much more expensive than in a barbarous one; and when we say that one government is more expensive than another, it is the same as if we said that that one country is farther advanced in improvement than another. To say that the government is expensive and the people not oppressed is to say that the people are rich.”
Adam Smith, who must have been some kind of leftie or something.
2016/03/22 08:43:58
Subject: The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
d-usa wrote: Usual "it's not xenophobia, we just want to keep our culture and everybody is welcome of they act just like us" article.
Although the "eight sorry years later" bit on the opening paragraph made it obvious what kind of article to expect.
My regard for the author's analysis was somewhat biased by the glaring typo in the opening paragraph. However, this guy has essentially invented an ideology he calls transnational progressivism so he can accuse Obama of being its foremost practitioner and then say he's a failure and this proves the ideology is bankrupt. That's a long way of saying it's a straw man argument.
d-usa wrote: Just look at his "made in China" stuff that he continues to manufacture in China while his working class supporters see their jobs outsourced.
Pointing out Trump’s own stuff is made in China is a clever bit of ‘gotcha’, but that’s really all it is. The bigger and more important point is that Trump’s complaints about China, or about international trade in general are either dishonest, or so massively misinformed that it ends up in the same place.
US manufacturing is strong, and grows every year. It’s grown 20% in the last 6 years, that’s stronger growth than most sectors. But there’s been little benefit to working class people, because manufacturing is now heavily automated. While manufacturing grew 20%, manufacturing jobs grew 5%.
The decent paying manufacturing jobs weren’t replaced by China, they were replaced by robots. Trump has tuned in to the anger over those lost jobs, but his solution is smoke and mirrors.
Honestly, I'd say it's a bit more than a gotcha. Trump is making a big show of threatening to force some companies (Ford, for example) to pay a 40% tax on any products that they don't produce in the US, whilst he simultaneously does the exact same thing. Is he going to add a 40% tax on his campaign merchandise?
d-usa wrote: Usual "it's not xenophobia, we just want to keep our culture and everybody is welcome of they act just like us" article.
Although the "eight sorry years later" bit on the opening paragraph made it obvious what kind of article to expect.
My regard for the author's analysis was somewhat biased by the glaring typo in the opening paragraph. However, this guy has essentially invented an ideology he calls transnational progressivism so he can accuse Obama of being its foremost practitioner and then say he's a failure and this proves the ideology is bankrupt. That's a long way of saying it's a straw man argument.
Ya mean... ya'll disagree with Bill Clinton too!!?!?*
*never thought I'd hear the Clintons say this during the election season. o.O
whembly wrote: Maybe that's part of the reason Trump is doing well... in that, he's so different.
Not that he's necessarily right, wrong or flying rodent gak insane... he contrasts so much from the usual "run of the mill" politicians.
Yeah, I think that is a huge part of the appeal. He talks like people talk. He uses direct sentences that get straight to the point. Nothing he says sounds like it's been managed and perfected by script writers.
I think that's what was so telling about Rubio's Rubiobot gaffe, it wasn't just that he was repeating a line over and over again, because everyone does that, including Trump (if anything he's quite repetitive). But Rubio's line was so obviously written deliberately, to sound just right. It showed a level of stage managing that Trump doesn't have.
That's all surface level stuff, of course. Underneath Trump is running a campaign that's at least as cynical as anyone else in this race. But on the surface his use of more aggressive and more crude language gives an appearance of something more genuine.
Wholeheartedly agree with you.
Which sucks 'cuz I'm terrified of a Clinton or Trump administration.
Trump has proven us political junkies wrong...
First we said: He's only doing this for attention... no way he'll last past Christmas.
Then, he caught on fire a bit, and still kicking arse in the primary...
Any major flub or controversy or old-dirt flung his way... he dishes back and still is left standing. It's like, he's Jason in Friday the 13th, where his victims scrambles away, but Jason nonchalantly catches up to them in the end. O.o
Cruz must trigger the winners-takes-all threshold in Utah tonight... at the minimum. Not sure if he can compete in Arizona...
*shudder*
This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2016/03/22 13:58:09
Live Ork, Be Ork. or D'Ork!
2016/03/22 20:03:04
Subject: The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
whembly wrote: *never thought I'd hear the Clintons say this during the election season. o.O
He's trying to recapture those Democrat voters who are defecting to Trump.
"If you believe we can rise together, if you believe we've finally come to the point where we can put the awful legacy of the last eight years behind us and the seven years before that where we were practicing trickle-down economics, then you should vote for her,"
A Bill Clinton aide later clarified that the former President was "referring to the GOP's obstructionism and not President Obama's legacy."
Source Trying to find a complete transcript of the event(in Spokane, Washington) where the speech was made but haven't found one yet.
2016/03/22 20:32:58
Subject: Re:The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
Don’t know that I’d call President Obama's 72 straight months of job growth an “awful legacy.” https://t.co/GUzlY6Wp4h
— Bernie Sanders (@BernieSanders) March 22, 2016
Two of those 8 years the Democrats held majorities in both the House and Senate.... so if Bill was referring to "the GOP's obstructionism and not President Obama's legacy", his math is off.
Nothing more than a little spin here... just a tiny bit.
Anyone who knows Billy-o-Clinton would've figured he's trying to attack the GOp and not Obama.
<shrugs>
This message was edited 2 times. Last update was at 2016/03/22 20:34:59
Live Ork, Be Ork. or D'Ork!
2016/03/22 22:52:42
Subject: Re:The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
Yeah, it's obvious what Bill meant, but sound bites are sound bites.
"Through the darkness of future past, the magician longs to see.
One chants out between two worlds: Fire, walk with me." - Twin Peaks
"You listen to me. While I will admit to a certain cynicism, the fact is that I am a naysayer and hatchetman in the fight against violence. I pride myself in taking a punch and I'll gladly take another because I choose to live my life in the company of Gandhi and King. My concerns are global. I reject absolutely revenge, aggression, and retaliation. The foundation of such a method... is love. I love you Sheriff Truman." - Twin Peaks
2016/03/23 02:00:34
Subject: The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
whembly wrote: Ya mean... ya'll disagree with Bill Clinton too!!?!?*
Spoiler:
*never thought I'd hear the Clintons say this during the election season. o.O
You know it's just a line that was taken out of context. So why did you post it?
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Goliath wrote: Honestly, I'd say it's a bit more than a gotcha. Trump is making a big show of threatening to force some companies (Ford, for example) to pay a 40% tax on any products that they don't produce in the US, whilst he simultaneously does the exact same thing. Is he going to add a 40% tax on his campaign merchandise?
Maybe. Trump's clothing line and the like are vanity projects anyway. The point is that there is simply no way that people are going to accept an increase in the price of consumer goods that could be as high as 40%, in order to create a pitifully small number of new manufacturing jobs.
And not only is the tax so obviously bad, it will also impact a whole lot of special interests. Does anyone on Earth honestly believe that Walmart and Target will tolerate a single Republican or Democrat congressman voting in favour of this, let alone sponsoring it?
EDIT - and now in writing my answer to whembly below, I've maybe talked myself in to being a lot less strong about that tariff never happening. Hmmm...
Automatically Appended Next Post:
Breotan wrote: He's trying to recapture those Democrat voters who are defecting to Trump.
Didn't we go over this, and establish the number of Democrats shifting 'en masse' was pretty small?
Which sucks 'cuz I'm terrified of a Clinton or Trump administration.
The answer is probably to be a lot less afraid. You were scared of Obama as well, and the end result was... well whether you liked his policies and approaches, I think we can all agree that the US didn't sink in to the sea. Same for the Bush admin really, I mean that's almost a poster child for everything I'd fear in a US president (pointless war, unfunded tax cut) but in the end the nation rolled along okay, it didn't sink in to the sea.
Trump has proven us political junkies wrong...
Time and again, yeah
I read an interesting thing a little while ago, an analogy that we understand what is possible by what has happened before. So we might be tricked in to saying the tallest a man can ever possibly be is 8'11", because that's the tallest a man has ever been. But before that guy, we would have thought the tallest a man could be was whatever the previous tallest man might have been.
I think we've fallen in to that trap with Trump. An outsider had never lasted long in to a primary, so we assumed Trump can't. A candidate has never grown his base with massive unfavourable scores, so we assumed Trump can't.
I'm not saying therefore all the rules get thrown out, Trump still has a lot of hurdles to overcome. But we maybe needed to regard that list of things that hadn't happened as things that were unlikely to happen, not things that couldn't happen. And we need to apply that same logic to Trump entering the general and maybe the presidency.
This message was edited 7 times. Last update was at 2016/03/23 02:26:34
“We may observe that the government in a civilized country is much more expensive than in a barbarous one; and when we say that one government is more expensive than another, it is the same as if we said that that one country is farther advanced in improvement than another. To say that the government is expensive and the people not oppressed is to say that the people are rich.”
Adam Smith, who must have been some kind of leftie or something.
2016/03/23 04:20:39
Subject: The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
Which sucks 'cuz I'm terrified of a Clinton or Trump administration.
The answer is probably to be a lot less afraid. You were scared of Obama as well, and the end result was... well whether you liked his policies and approaches, I think we can all agree that the US didn't sink in to the sea. Same for the Bush admin really, I mean that's almost a poster child for everything I'd fear in a US president (pointless war, unfunded tax cut) but in the end the nation rolled along okay, it didn't sink in to the sea.
There will be a mourning period if it's between Clinton and Trump. Then, I'm gunna calvin-ball this gak.
Trump has proven us political junkies wrong...
Time and again, yeah
I read an interesting thing a little while ago, an analogy that we understand what is possible by what has happened before. So we might be tricked in to saying the tallest a man can ever possibly be is 8'11", because that's the tallest a man has ever been. But before that guy, we would have thought the tallest a man could be was whatever the previous tallest man might have been.
I think we've fallen in to that trap with Trump. An outsider had never lasted long in to a primary, so we assumed Trump can't. A candidate has never grown his base with massive unfavourable scores, so we assumed Trump can't.
I'm not saying therefore all the rules get thrown out, Trump still has a lot of hurdles to overcome. But we maybe needed to regard that list of things that hadn't happened as things that were unlikely to happen, not things that couldn't happen. And we need to apply that same logic to Trump entering the general and maybe the presidency.
Frankly... I'm still stunned.
Trump clobbered everyone in the AZ primary largely because if his "I'll build a wall" spiel.
Both Trump and Clinton has extremely HIGH unfavorables for completely different reasons.
I don't know what to think anymore and I'm litterally giving offerings to the Four Chaos Gods to have a Contested Convention.
Live Ork, Be Ork. or D'Ork!
2016/03/23 05:55:48
Subject: The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition
whembly wrote: Because it was remarkably undisciplined of Bill...
"Undisciplined" refers to failing to maintain a consistent message, shifting focus or even changing the whole story to suit a new audience or new circumstance. Bill Clinton didn't do that. He gave a line which was edited and snipped out of its context, to make it seem like he was complaining about the Obama administration.
I understand why team red would twist the story, they’re trying to help their side. But you aren’t claiming the team red interpretation is true, so I don’t know why you’d post it.
There will be a mourning period if it's between Clinton and Trump. Then, I'm gunna calvin-ball this gak.
Seriously, now that we’re almost at the end, do you think the concerns you had about the Obama administration were grounded? Were the things you and other Republicans were scared about in 2008 borne out?
Both Trump and Clinton has extremely HIGH unfavorables for completely different reasons.
Everyone has extremely high unfavourables. Clinton is down by 12, but Cruz is down by around 18, and Trump is down by almost 30. The only people on the national stage with favourable ratings are Sanders, Biden and Kasich, and that’s because they’re kind of irrelevant. If anyone of the got closer to being president we could watch their favourability ratings plummet as well.
That’s just a reality of the political times. People take an immediate dislike to anyone who looks close to winning the presidency.
This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2016/03/23 05:56:48
“We may observe that the government in a civilized country is much more expensive than in a barbarous one; and when we say that one government is more expensive than another, it is the same as if we said that that one country is farther advanced in improvement than another. To say that the government is expensive and the people not oppressed is to say that the people are rich.”
Adam Smith, who must have been some kind of leftie or something.
2016/03/23 13:26:23
Subject: The Political Junkie™ Thread - USA Edition