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Made in us
Decrepit Dakkanaut






Leerstetten, Germany

A reaffirmation of a promise made a few months ago to do something at some point in the future to have fewer nukes and to agree to something at some point with some conditions to be determined to verify that the thing we haven’t actually agreed on is actually happening.
   
Made in fi
Confessor Of Sins




 SickSix wrote:
 d-usa wrote:
Iran was a successful result of sanctions, until we decided to ignore the results and told Iran they can get back to making nukes.


Sure, I mean Iran being the worlds leader in state sponsored terrorism is better than having nukes I guess. I wouldn't really call anything about Iran a 'success'. But the most recent 'Iran Deal' was definitely NOT a successful strategy.


Iran is way less dangerous than premier US ally Saudi Arabia, but ofc they also don't provide big US business with billions of dollars. Where there's money the US frequently looks the other way. Saudi-funded terrorists mostly kill the other sort of muslims anyway (or often their own to make a show) so it's no big deal.
   
Made in us
Fixture of Dakka





 whembly wrote:
 d-usa wrote:
Well, according to the Trump administration and many people in here, they signed a worthless non-binding paper since the POTUS can’t make any deals with anyone that actually matter.

I’m surprised Kim didn’t insist on meeting with our Congress and the real leaders of making deals rather than our figurehead.

So... you think previous potus can bind future potus??? Because that’s really what you’re saying....


Clearly they can't, given Trump's circular-filing of the Iran agreement...

CHAOS! PANIC! DISORDER!
My job here is done. 
   
Made in us
5th God of Chaos! (Yea'rly!)




The Great State of Texas

 BaronIveagh wrote:
 Whirlwind wrote:

Is there not laws against such conflicts of interest? But yes I can definitely see the potential.


Nope, seems the law says the opposite, POTUS is immune to Conflict of Interest.


Automatically Appended Next Post:
 Frazzled wrote:

are you going to vote Libertarian if the Democrats control both houses and are running a decent non HRC candidate?


Would depend on the Candidate. Just 'non HRC' is a bit... broad. If I felt they're President grade material, yes, I'd vote Democrat. Because Trump most definitely is not. He just gave up South Korea for a vaguely worded promise to do 'something'. That's not negotiation, that's capitulation.


Then you're not a libertarian. A libertarian is not going to vote to give any party control of both Congress and the executive.

-"Wait a minute.....who is that Frazz is talking to in the gallery? Hmmm something is going on here.....Oh.... it seems there is some dispute over video taping of some sort......Frazz is really upset now..........wait a minute......whats he go there.......is it? Can it be?....Frazz has just unleashed his hidden weiner dog from his mini bag, while quoting shakespeares "Let slip the dogs the war!!" GG
-"Don't mind Frazzled. He's just Dakka's crazy old dude locked in the attic. He's harmless. Mostly."
-TBone the Magnificent 1999-2014, Long Live the King!
 
   
Made in us
Decrepit Dakkanaut






Leerstetten, Germany

Libertarians voting and running for office kind of goes against libertarian arguments anyway.
   
Made in us
Longtime Dakkanaut





 Frazzled wrote:
 BaronIveagh wrote:
 Whirlwind wrote:

Is there not laws against such conflicts of interest? But yes I can definitely see the potential.


Nope, seems the law says the opposite, POTUS is immune to Conflict of Interest.


Automatically Appended Next Post:
 Frazzled wrote:

are you going to vote Libertarian if the Democrats control both houses and are running a decent non HRC candidate?


Would depend on the Candidate. Just 'non HRC' is a bit... broad. If I felt they're President grade material, yes, I'd vote Democrat. Because Trump most definitely is not. He just gave up South Korea for a vaguely worded promise to do 'something'. That's not negotiation, that's capitulation.


Then you're not a libertarian. A libertarian is not going to vote to give any party control of both Congress and the executive.


I think you may be grossly overestimating our pull and clout in elections, at the moment our votes are ... principle only.
   
Made in us
Fixture of Dakka





 Ustrello wrote:
 djones520 wrote:
 SickSix wrote:
Personally I felt Trudeau really went sleezeball with somehow invoking WWII in a dispute over tarriffs. Really dude?


Hey hey hey hey hey... Trump is involved, so we're not allowed to talk about anyone else maybe, possibly, remotely, having the chance at doing something wrong.


I'd like to imagine your reaction if Obama was making a deal with a dude who is literally the dictionary definition of a despot and as was pointed out earlier running holocaust level concentration and forced labor camps


Well, we already know how they reacted to Obama making a deal with a hostile theocracy that has violated diplomatic immunity in the past....

CHAOS! PANIC! DISORDER!
My job here is done. 
   
Made in dk
Stormin' Stompa





 djones520 wrote:
 SickSix wrote:
Personally I felt Trudeau really went sleezeball with somehow invoking WWII in a dispute over tarriffs. Really dude?


Hey hey hey hey hey... Trump is involved, so we're not allowed to talk about anyone else maybe, possibly, remotely, having the chance at doing something wrong.


That is somewhat rich coming from the side, that has continually deflected any kind of criticism with invocations of Hillary and Obama - to such a degree that it has reached meme-status.


Automatically Appended Next Post:
From the now-closed spin-off thread about Kim Jong-un being willing to visit the White House

Xenomancers wrote:it was essentially the US giving Iran tons of money while Iran could still very easily continue to produce Nukes in secret.


Can you clarify what you mean by this?

This message was edited 2 times. Last update was at 2018/06/13 02:24:21


-------------------------------------------------------
"He died because he had no honor. He had no honor and the Emperor was watching."

18.000 3.500 8.200 3.300 2.400 3.100 5.500 2.500 3.200 3.000


 
   
Made in us
Imperial Guard Landspeeder Pilot




On moon miranda.

 SickSix wrote:
 d-usa wrote:
Iran was a successful result of sanctions, until we decided to ignore the results and told Iran they can get back to making nukes.


Sure, I mean Iran being the worlds leader in state sponsored terrorism is better than having nukes I guess. I wouldn't really call anything about Iran a 'success'. But the most recent 'Iran Deal' was definitely NOT a successful strategy.
According to basically the US GOP and Israel. Certainly not to any other signatories to the agreement.

Likewise, if we're going to harangue Iran over state sponsored terrorism, it's not like we haven't spent the last...17 years literally surrounding them on two fronts from Afghanistan and Iraq, supplying hundreds of militant groups with mountains of cash and equipment through Pakistan to Libya and almost literally every nation in between (but especially the nations right on their border).

To boot, within living memory, going back to WW2, they've been invaded and had their governments overthrown or had oppressive regimes imposed or supported by the UK and USA multiple times, and fought a brutal decade long war with US supported Iraq (during the course of which the US shot down an Iranian airliner, however one wants to frame the circumstances of that event). As is today, they have chaos in nations on two flanks as a result of US foreign policy, and see the US backing their immediate regional rivals, Saudi Arabia and Israel. It's not like they have a whole lot of reasons to feel comfortable about US intentions, even before Trump just arbitrarily dumped the deal.


IRON WITHIN, IRON WITHOUT.

New Heavy Gear Log! Also...Grey Knights!
The correct pronunciation is Imperial Guard and Stormtroopers, "Astra Militarum" and "Tempestus Scions" are something you'll find at Hogwarts.  
   
Made in us
Secret Force Behind the Rise of the Tau




USA

 Vaktathi wrote:
 SickSix wrote:
 d-usa wrote:
Iran was a successful result of sanctions, until we decided to ignore the results and told Iran they can get back to making nukes.


Sure, I mean Iran being the worlds leader in state sponsored terrorism is better than having nukes I guess. I wouldn't really call anything about Iran a 'success'. But the most recent 'Iran Deal' was definitely NOT a successful strategy.
According to basically the US GOP and Israel. Certainly not to any other signatories to the agreement.

Likewise, if we're going to harangue Iran over state sponsored terrorism, it's not like we haven't spent the last...17 years literally surrounding them on two fronts from Afghanistan and Iraq, supplying hundreds of militant groups with mountains of cash and equipment through Pakistan to Libya and almost literally every nation in between (but especially the nations right on their border).

To boot, within living memory, going back to WW2, they've been invaded and had their governments overthrown or had oppressive regimes imposed or supported by the UK and USA multiple times, and fought a brutal decade long war with US supported Iraq (during the course of which the US shot down an Iranian airliner, however one wants to frame the circumstances of that event). As is today, they have chaos in nations on two flanks as a result of US foreign policy, and see the US backing their immediate regional rivals, Saudi Arabia and Israel. It's not like they have a whole lot of reasons to feel comfortable about US intentions, even before Trump just arbitrarily dumped the deal.



This.

I mentioned this earlier in thread. Iran generally plays by the same rules everyone else plays by, which is pretty remarkable considering how trying to do so continually screws them. Literally every Middle Eastern state partakes in state sponsored terrorism, and lots of non-Middle Eastern states. It's part of the status quo in a world order where open warfare is deemed unacceptable (EDIT: Unless your a US led coalition anyway) and generally gets your country slammed with those pesky sanctions that supposedly do nothing according to some people.

I'd agree that sanctions don't really work on dictators. Important note, Iran is a democracy with a theocratic specific executive authority. Sanctions worked on Iran because building the bomb became more trouble than it was worth more than a decade ago which is why they gave up by all accounts in 2003-2007. However against dictatorships sanctions are effective in curtailing the power of the dictatorship. Sanctions in the lates 80s and 90s completely crippled Saddam Hussein, and have kept North Korea in the 50s in a shocking number of ways. Countries with growing economies and democratic systems have a pretty good track record of caving to sanctions. For dictatorships, well just cause you can't remove the brutal dictator doesn't mean you can't remove yourself from enabling their brutal dictatorship.

This message was edited 4 times. Last update was at 2018/06/13 03:06:46


   
Made in au
The Dread Evil Lord Varlak





The NK thing finally gave me some insight in to the appeal of Trump. The pomp and ceremony around this deal were kind of amazing. Because there's been past deals with NK, first in 1994 then in 2007. Both deals got far greater levels of commitment from North Korea than this deal, but neither deal received much fanfare, I don't remember either deal getting out of the international section of the broadsheets. It certainly didn't get breathless, live coverage from every news service.

But Trump's deal got amazing coverage, despite that deal being almost completely hollow. The whole of the deal is Kim will 'work towards the complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula'. So he's committing to working towards doing something. But that doesn't really matter. We got pictures of Kim and Trump walking the grounds, smiling together. We got the announcement of the deal. We got Dennis Rodman crying on tv wearing a MAGA hat.

The details of the deal slowly came out later, and we learned Trump agreed to end joint exercises and a drawdown of US troops, in exchange for that commitment to work towards doing something. But it doesn't matter, Trump only has to keep the spectacle going for about an hour, when the wheels fall off after 61 minutes the only people still watching are the political junkies. Everyone else has had their fill of the Trump show for the day, and moved on to living their actual lives or something.

I'll happily admit that me noticing Trump is all show and no substance is hardly a great insight. It isn't so much that I learned this for the first time, but it's the first time I understood it more than just knew it. Because I was busy last night with sick kids, so all I got was the news headline saying there was a deal for denuclearisation, which was all I knew for about 5 hours until I could sit down and read the actual deal and learn it was junk. For five hours I lived in the world that a lot of Trumpers live in all the time, sold on Trump performance, and never actually seeing the real substance.


Automatically Appended Next Post:
 Disciple of Fate wrote:
So anyone else laughing at Trump's advisor saying Trudeau deserves a special place in hell, but Trump calling Kim, who runs a country with large concentration camps and terrible HR record, a man who loves his country very much? The cognitive dissonance of this admin is breathtaking.


The day after Kudlow said Trudeau deserved a special place in hell, Kudlow had a heart attack. Kudlow is fine now and recovering, so really this was just a rather pointed warning shot from God, who must be quite a fan of Trudeau.

This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2018/06/13 05:15:38


“We may observe that the government in a civilized country is much more expensive than in a barbarous one; and when we say that one government is more expensive than another, it is the same as if we said that that one country is farther advanced in improvement than another. To say that the government is expensive and the people not oppressed is to say that the people are rich.”

Adam Smith, who must have been some kind of leftie or something. 
   
Made in us
5th God of Chaos! (Ho-hum)





Curb stomping in the Eye of Terror!

 sebster wrote:
The NK thing finally gave me some insight in to the appeal of Trump. The pomp and ceremony around this deal were kind of amazing. Because there's been past deals with NK, first in 1994 then in 2007. Both deals got far greater levels of commitment from North Korea than this deal, but neither deal received much fanfare, I don't remember either deal getting out of the international section of the broadsheets. It certainly didn't get breathless, live coverage from every news service.

But Trump's deal got amazing coverage, despite that deal being almost completely hollow. The whole of the deal is Kim will 'work towards the complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula'. So he's committing to working towards doing something. But that doesn't really matter. We got pictures of Kim and Trump walking the grounds, smiling together. We got the announcement of the deal. We got Dennis Rodman crying on tv wearing a MAGA hat.

The details of the deal slowly came out later, and we learned Trump agreed to end joint exercises and a drawdown of US troops, in exchange for that commitment to work towards doing something. But it doesn't matter, Trump only has to keep the spectacle going for about an hour, when the wheels fall off after 61 minutes the only people still watching are the political junkies. Everyone else has had their fill of the Trump show for the day, and moved on to living their actual lives or something.

I'll happily admit that me noticing Trump is all show and no substance is hardly a great insight. It isn't so much that I learned this for the first time, but it's the first time I understood it more than just knew it. Because I was busy last night with sick kids, so all I got was the news headline saying there was a deal for denuclearisation, which was all I knew for about 5 hours until I could sit down and read the actual deal and learn it was junk. For five hours I lived in the world that a lot of Trumpers live in all the time, sold on Trump performance, and never actually seeing the real substance.

I'll comment on the appeal of Trump in a bit...

But, I think all sides are losing their minds over this summit. This is nothing more than a glamorous photo shoot with a promise to meet again at a later date to continue negotiation. This is literally a nothingburger except that both Trump and Kim met to begin negotiations.

As for the "appeal of Trump", consider these two things:
1) The Great Revolt: the Populist Coalition Reshaping American Politics:
Standout syndicated columnist and CNN contributor Salena Zito, with veteran Republican strategist Brad Todd, reports across five swing states and over 27,000 miles to answer the pressing question: Was Donald Trump's election a fluke or did it represent a fundamental shift in the electorate that will have repercussions--for Republicans and Democrats--for years to come.

The history of the American electorate is not a litany of flukes; instead it is a pattern of tectonic plate-grinding, punctuated by a landscape-altering earthquake every generation or so. Donald Trump's electoral coalition is smashing both American political parties and its previously impenetrable political news media.The political experts called the 2016 election wrong and in the wake of the 2016 election surprise, the experts have continued to blow it - looking to predict the coming demise of the President without pausing to consider the durability of the trends and winds that swept him into office.

The Great Revolt delves deep into the minds and hearts of the voters the make up this coalition. What emerges is a group of citizens who cannot be described by terms like "angry," "male," "rural," or the often-used "racist." They span job descriptions, income brackets, education levels, and party allegiances. What unites them is their desire to be part of a movement larger than themselves that puts pragmatism before ideology, localism before globalism, and demands the respect it deserve from Washington.

Zito and Todd have traveled on over 27,000 miles of country roads to interview more than 300 Trump voters in 10 swing counties. What they have discovered is that these voters were hiding in plain sight--ignored by both parties, the media, and the political experts all at once, ready to unite into the movement that spawned the greatest upset in recent electoral history. Deeply rooted in the culture of these Midwestern swing states, Zito and Brad Todd reframe the discussion of the "Trump voter" to answer the question: What next?


2) Then this eye-popping NeverTrumper - The Left Is Turning Me Into A Trump Supporter:
During the election, the deluge of hate that came my way when I expressed my disapproval of then-candidate Donald Trump was so violent that I purchased a gun.

But these days, the vitriol is coming from the other side. Chance the Rapper, for example, was was eviscerated online for suggesting that “Black people don’t have to be democrats,” and eventually pressured into apologizing. His comment came after Kanye West faced a firestorm of criticism after tweeting in support of Donald Trump. Earlier this year, country singer Shania Twain, a Canadian, also felt the need to apologize for stating that, were she an American citizen with voting rights, would have voted for Trump.

Expressing anything resembling support for the Trump administration has become nothing short of a taboo. And while these backlashes are hardly the same as the tweets I would get threatening my family during the election, they do raise the question, should Americans really be publicly shamed and bullied into apologizing for stating that they support the President of the United States?

There is more than a chance that this could spectacularly backfire.

During the primary season and general election, I was a vocal conservative against Trump. I could not fathom how anyone could possibly support such an oaf, such a bully, for President.

But I’m starting to understand.

*

Before the election, The Atlantic’s Conor Friedersdorf published a dialogue he had with a 22-year old Trump supporter living and working in Silicon Valley. How could such a man possibly support then-candidate Trump, was the question Friedersdorf put to him. “For me personally, it’s resistance against what San Francisco has been, and what I see the country becoming, in the form of ultra-PC culture,” the Trump supporter told him. “That’s where it’s almost impossible to have polite or constructive political discussion. Disagreement gets you labeled fascist, racist, bigoted, etc.”

This backlash against political correctness is what got Donald Trump elected. Not only do Trump’s voters continue to believe his level of political correctness is correct, but surveys consistently find the highest correlation between being anti-P.C. and supporting Trump, stronger even than feelings about immigration. According to a survey in ClearThinking.org covered in Reason, believing “there is too much political correctness in this country” was the second most reliable predictor for whether someone would vote for Trump (the first was party affiliation).

It’s not just on national issues, either. In a survey conducted for their book on the populist revolt that led to Trump’s election, “The Great Revolt”, Salena Zito found that 85% of Trump voters wanted the United States to make our own decisions on major issues and challenge other nations to follow our example.

We’ve seen how that unwillingness to adhere to traditional political norms has paid off in dividends internationally. Every President has been told that he simply cannot move the embassy in Israel to Jerusalem, and watching Trump thumb his nose at that convention has been refreshing for many conservatives including myself.

So it’s ironic that the very cause of Trump’s election — the over-policing of discourse to conform to liberal notions of political correctness — has reached a fever pitch in the wake of his election.

By PC culture, I don’t mean things like the very positive fact that we can’t call minorities ugly epithets anymore. I mean liberals defining what counts as “appropriate” speech and demanding fealty to these standards, such that every perceived wrong step, every comment they don’t like, is turned into something as egregious as the N word.

This obsession with political correctness, which fueled Donald Trump’s election, has now spread and mutated to incorporate him. Part of being a member of politically correct culture has now become an insistence on repudiating the President and his election. Americans are told they should not, they cannot, support this man, under any circumstances. To do so is racist, the cardinal sin of our generation.

In 2018, supporting the President of the United States will get you labeled a racist.

Liberals point to things like the new policy on immigration which separates children from their parents, comparing it to the Nazis. The overreaches and abuses in the realm of immigration are heartbreaking and disheartening. It’s disingenuous, however, for liberals to suddenly be concerned given how much of Trump’s treatment of immigrants is merely an extension of Obama-era policies. Recently several instances of abuses were shared, from kids in cages to prison buses, which were at the time blamed on the Trump administration, but were later exposed to be from before his inauguration.

It’s impossible to take liberals and journalists concerns about the welfare of immigrants at face value after their eight year slumber through the entire Obama administration.

But it’s not only disingenuous. What the President’s opponents don’t seem to understand is the hysteria and excuses are only driving more Americans into believing that we were desperately in need of a corrective.

The refusal to accept that millions of Americans knowingly voted for Trump will only help the President earn another term. For the hysteria from the left over dissent of any kind, but especially pertaining to Trump, is precisely what has resulted in the “owning the liberals” mentality on the right, which is only gaining steam.

As Salena Zito explains in “The Great Revolt”, “Rust Belt voters watched on cable television as the Left and journalists pigeonholed their rebellion as an ugly bout of white nationalism, doubling down on all the elitist snobbery those voters sought to rebuke.”

And it’s starting to get to me, too.

Instead of trying to understand Americans and their choice for President, anyone voicing even a modicum of support for the administration is bullied into apologies and silence. The media turn public statements of support for the President into a news story for their viewers and readers to get outraged over. That’s the least of the media’s campaign against the President, which includes countless mistakes and corrections which only seem to break one way: against the administration. For a group of professionals who express shock and horror at the label “Fake news!” many members of the media are doing nothing but providing more ammunition for Trump’s attacks.

When he does do something well, like finally moving our embassy to Jerusalem or stepping out of an extraordinarily flawed Iran nuclear deal, it’s ignored or villainized. Americans notice the double standard; the refusal to see anything positive, and the fixation on everything negative. There are some accomplishments every American can, or should, admit are positives. The economy is in fantastic shape; Trump has brought home American political prisoners from North Korea and Venezuela; he has pushed through the first steps of important criminal justice reform. Those stories are roundly ignored by a media intent on taking down the President, not reporting on his administration.

It’s enough to make even a NeverTrumper like me into a MAGA hat wearing Trump supporter.

Well, it’s almost enough. Every time he opens his mouth, I am reminded why I couldn’t vote for him. I’m reminded of his words about there being “very fine people” on both sides of Charlottesville. But if the President’s opponents continue to ignore his accomplishments and mindlessly attack him for another few years, it could create even more spiteful Trump voters as a result.

This^...especially her last paragraph.

I'm not sure how big the "I'm a conservative, unlike Trump, and I didn't vote for the jackass the last time, but feth the people on the left and sign me up for moar MAGA 2020" vote is going to be... but I think it's going to be a not insignificant number because that's the sad state of our current politics.

Live Ork, Be Ork. or D'Ork!


 
   
Made in au
The Dread Evil Lord Varlak





 Grey Templar wrote:
I don’t know if you can really say agreeing to not do exercises is a concession. After all we can just start them up again if Kim continues being naughty.

What will really determine if we get change is any future agreements with more concrete conditions.


You don't understand how this works. Trump has agreed to a clear, measurable thing. When he reverses course it will be a clear, measurable break of his commitment. Kim agreed to a vague concept, to be started at some point later on. He can do nothing for years without it being clear he's broken his side of the deal.

Get it now? This is the difference between a clear commitment to do a specific thing starting now, and a commitment to vague concept at some point later on.

“We may observe that the government in a civilized country is much more expensive than in a barbarous one; and when we say that one government is more expensive than another, it is the same as if we said that that one country is farther advanced in improvement than another. To say that the government is expensive and the people not oppressed is to say that the people are rich.”

Adam Smith, who must have been some kind of leftie or something. 
   
Made in nl
Tzeentch Aspiring Sorcerer Riding a Disc





Well, it’s almost enough. Every time he opens his mouth, I am reminded why I couldn’t vote for him. I’m reminded of his words about there being “very fine people” on both sides of Charlottesville. But if the President’s opponents continue to ignore his accomplishments and mindlessly attack him for another few years, it could create even more spiteful Trump voters as a result.

The thing is, ignore what accomplishments? His tax cut? Dismanteling Obama era regulations and deals? Starting a trade war with your own allies? Praise North Korea and just being downright apologetic for the last Gulag system on Earth?

The issue with this author is that she build up a strawman. In the accomplisment department there is little to look at that is fully attributable to Trump. Even the author doesn't go into accomplishments beyond Trump giving the world the finger and some shallow remarks on the Iran deal and a few prisoners being released (as has every admin). Sure the economy is doing well, but its hard to argue that wouldn't have been the case under a run of the mill replacement.

On the other hand the attacks aren't mindless. Plenty of people have given extensive reasoning behind what Trump is doing is wrong in their opinion. Trump giving the world the finger is damaging the US internationally. Which subsequently gets handwaved away with "oh you just hate Trump". They sound exactly like a Trump supporter instead of a so claimed 'never Trump' one.

This message was edited 4 times. Last update was at 2018/06/13 05:54:03


Sorry for my spelling. I'm not a native speaker and a dyslexic.
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Made in au
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 A Town Called Malus wrote:
It is definitely a concession. Did Trump even consult with the South Korean government or his own before agreeing to that?


South Korea has expressed surprise and concern about the announcement. Which is diplomatic speak for 'what the fu....'

In terms of his own government, I have no idea if Trump's concession was run past the State Department, but the DoD has stated they have received no order to stop future joint operations with South Korea. Which is bureaucratic speak for 'this is the first time I'm hearing about this'.

What was really interesting was China actually announced Trump's concession on joint operations before Trump announced it. Which tells you about the importance of the concession. As soon as the meeting with Trump was over, Kim immediately told his team about the concession, and they immediately told China, who immediately made a public announcement about it.

“We may observe that the government in a civilized country is much more expensive than in a barbarous one; and when we say that one government is more expensive than another, it is the same as if we said that that one country is farther advanced in improvement than another. To say that the government is expensive and the people not oppressed is to say that the people are rich.”

Adam Smith, who must have been some kind of leftie or something. 
   
Made in jp
[MOD]
Anti-piracy Officer






Somewhere in south-central England.

So Trump made the concession during the actual negotiations, and let NK and China get the jump on announcing it? Great diplomatic security!

I thought Trump was just shooting his mouth off from being over-excited at the press conference afterwards.

I'm writing a load of fiction. My latest story starts here... This is the index of all the stories...

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Made in au
The Dread Evil Lord Varlak





 Grey Templar wrote:
And I’m sure Dems would be heaping praises just because Obama did it.


You're trying to argue that it's okay for Republicans be shamelessly partisan, because hypothetical Democrats would be hypothetically partisan if a hypothetical Democrat hypothetically produced the same hypothetical deal. It's a crap argument.

Anyhow, while we don't have an example of a Democratic president ever producing a deal where actual concessions were made in exchange for a promise to being talking about doing something at some point, because we don't an instance of any president doing something that incompetent, what we do have are past North Korea deals. GW Bush built a six party deal with NK, and I said at the time the framework for it was really good. It had clear milestones and timelines for each side, and they were nicely balanced so neither side had to commit more than the other at any point in the process. I was no fan of GW Bush, but his deal was very well constructed. And I was far from alone in this, the deal was broadly applauded.

So while I can't talk about hypothetical Democrats hypothetically loving a bad hypothetical deal signed by a hypothetical Democratic president, I do know that good deals from Republicans presidents are recognised as good deals. Whereas this deal is being attacked because it is terrible.


Automatically Appended Next Post:
 Disciple of Fate wrote:
Even if you manage to craft a deal with Kim on NK nuclear weapons its going to be downright impossible I think to get any serious reform on the HR front. The camps are a vital part of how NK keeps the state together and repress dissent. With that said, it doesn't make Trump's comments on HR any less fething stupid or insensitive.


It's a fair point that a NK deal isn't going to achieve much about NK's brutality. Any deal getting NK to stop its repression would be a deal getting Kim to abdicate, because there's no regime without it.

However, it does mean that any deal with NK would be written within the context of NK repression. It's why past US presidents have refused to meet with NK leadership, and the deals struck have read been focused on specific tit for tat trades and concessions, not general statements of intent. The latter are full of trust and goodwill, things you do with friends and peers, the former are how you deal with tyrants.


Automatically Appended Next Post:
 Xenomancers wrote:
We essentially know nothing right now. Only that Trump says it went better than expected.


We have the deal, signed and publically presented. That's all there is to know and we know it. And that deal sucks.

Trump and Kim talked for five hours and no-one knows what happens in those talks, but it doesn't matter. No other people were present, not even translators, and no notes were taken. What the men discussed and promised does not matter, none of it will ever come up again.


Automatically Appended Next Post:
 Grey Templar wrote:
Indeed. It’s actually more lenient than CA. Here if you miss two cycles they stop sending you stuff and make you inactive.


This is straight up bs. It is the direct opposite of California's electoral law. Here's how the law is applied in California, in case anyone actually cares what the truth is;
"Second, it may not operate to remove the name of any person from an official list of registered voters by reason of the person's failure to vote."

The only way you will be removed from the rolls in California is by your own request, your death, criminal conviction, or if the US postal services informs CA you have moved (in which case CA will contact you to confirm).

This is far from the first time you've claimed something that is in direct contrast to the truth, Grey Templar. Stop it.


Automatically Appended Next Post:
 Xenomancers wrote:
Which is also why it's silly to keep saying things like. "He didn't even inform the military about the decision" - well - he doesn't have to.


What? What a president can do is very different to what a functional president operating effectively will do.

Trump deciding without military consultation to cancel joint operations is within his powers, but a president making commitments to other countries without consulting with his military about the consequences of those operations is obviously a terrible way to manage national security.

Your argument here, which is effectively trying to reduce actions down to 'well he can do it therefore there's can't ever be anything wrong with it' is an obviously ridiculous claim. And you know it was ridiculous, because there is no way you've ever spent one second of your life thinking that all a president is ever judged on is whether his action was legal, with no thought given to the consequences of the decision.

This message was edited 4 times. Last update was at 2018/06/13 08:41:10


“We may observe that the government in a civilized country is much more expensive than in a barbarous one; and when we say that one government is more expensive than another, it is the same as if we said that that one country is farther advanced in improvement than another. To say that the government is expensive and the people not oppressed is to say that the people are rich.”

Adam Smith, who must have been some kind of leftie or something. 
   
Made in us
5th God of Chaos! (Ho-hum)





Curb stomping in the Eye of Terror!

General Mattis is on record saying he knew about all that...

Of course, he could be covering Trump's ass here.

Live Ork, Be Ork. or D'Ork!


 
   
Made in us
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Seneca Nation of Indians

 Frazzled wrote:

Then you're not a libertarian. A libertarian is not going to vote to give any party control of both Congress and the executive.


No, I'm an independent. I get to vote in favor of whatever I feel like, since I'm not a slave to a given party. Voting a particular parties way does not make one a member of that party, nor mean that your 100% behind a given parties aims or ideology.


Fate is in heaven, armor is on the chest, accomplishment is in the feet. - Nagao Kagetora
 
   
Made in au
The Dread Evil Lord Varlak





 Xenomancers wrote:
Where do you get the information that he didn't inform the relevant people anyways? I'm sure hes had briefings with his military staff about possible outcomes from this meeting. You know...they can ask questions.


The statement from the force deployed in South Korea;
"USFK has received no updated guidance on execution or cessation of training exercises — to include this fall's schedule Ulchi Freedom Guardian, in coordination with our South Korean partners we will continue with our current military posture until we receive updated guidance from the Department of Defense (DoD)"

Remove the carefully chosen diplomatic speech and what you're left with is a statement that this is the first they've heard of it, and they're going to carry on as they are until ordered otherwise.

Plus - do they even need to know? This is not a pressing matter...


Yes. How is that even a question? The military needs to be informed about what its CinC is committing it to do or not do.




Automatically Appended Next Post:
 Xenomancers wrote:
No - I just know what the US military is capable of. ESP our Navy. SK likely has the most advance anti missle systems on earth. A first strike against NK would result in approx 90% of their offensive capabilities being destroyed within a 30 minute period. Few in SK would die.


North Korea has 14,300 artillery pieces and rocket launchers on the border with South Korea. Most are not in range of Seoul but they're all in range of South Korean population centers.

These weapons are dug in to mountains and housed in reinforced bunkers. It is an old fashioned, low tech way of war but its good enough for what NK wants.

Your claim that the US would destroy 90%, 12,870 weapons, within 30 minutes isn't a military assessment. It is fan fiction. 12,870 successful strikes against hardened positions, all inside of 30 minutes. The US military is awesome in its capabilities, but it isn't powered by make believe.

It's even sillier when you consider that in order to reach serious capability in the region the US would have to begin a lengthy period of build up, likely months, before unleashing their strike. For the US to be ready for this 300 minute alpha strike, we would need NK to just sit there, for months, while the US built up a vast force capable of deploying 12,870 strikes within 30 minutes.

And even if we accept that nonsense, you're asking us to believe that the remaining 330 weapons operating for longer than half an hour would kill only a few South Koreans. That's not even a boisterous faith in US firepower, it's just plain made up silliness.


Automatically Appended Next Post:
 whembly wrote:
It’s.... a first tiny step in right direction...no?

And yeah, the media critic/supporters are losing their minds as this is “historic”. The agreement is nothing more than a promise at this point, but at least peace is given another chance. I think that folks weary of the adventurism of Iraq/Syria//Afghanistan/etc ought to look at the with skeptical and hopeful eyes.
Otherwise we’d be looking at a real ugly war that we haven’t seen in quite some time.


No, this is nonsense. The alternative to big shows of nonsense promises of committing to talk about doing something isn't war, it is the status quo, which was cold relations but no-one actually killing anyone.

This message was edited 2 times. Last update was at 2018/06/13 09:38:49


“We may observe that the government in a civilized country is much more expensive than in a barbarous one; and when we say that one government is more expensive than another, it is the same as if we said that that one country is farther advanced in improvement than another. To say that the government is expensive and the people not oppressed is to say that the people are rich.”

Adam Smith, who must have been some kind of leftie or something. 
   
Made in us
5th God of Chaos! (Ho-hum)





Curb stomping in the Eye of Terror!

 sebster wrote:

Automatically Appended Next Post:
 whembly wrote:
It’s.... a first tiny step in right direction...no?

And yeah, the media critic/supporters are losing their minds as this is “historic”. The agreement is nothing more than a promise at this point, but at least peace is given another chance. I think that folks weary of the adventurism of Iraq/Syria//Afghanistan/etc ought to look at the with skeptical and hopeful eyes.
Otherwise we’d be looking at a real ugly war that we haven’t seen in quite some time.


No, this is nonsense. The alternative to big shows of nonsense promises of committing to talk about doing something isn't war, it is the status quo, which was cold relations but no-one actually killing anyone.

Cold relations where NK launches missiles and acting belligerently.

Yeah... that's what we're probably looking at if history is of any guide.

Live Ork, Be Ork. or D'Ork!


 
   
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Bristol

 whembly wrote:
 sebster wrote:

Automatically Appended Next Post:
 whembly wrote:
It’s.... a first tiny step in right direction...no?

And yeah, the media critic/supporters are losing their minds as this is “historic”. The agreement is nothing more than a promise at this point, but at least peace is given another chance. I think that folks weary of the adventurism of Iraq/Syria//Afghanistan/etc ought to look at the with skeptical and hopeful eyes.
Otherwise we’d be looking at a real ugly war that we haven’t seen in quite some time.


No, this is nonsense. The alternative to big shows of nonsense promises of committing to talk about doing something isn't war, it is the status quo, which was cold relations but no-one actually killing anyone.

Cold relations where NK launches missiles and acting belligerently.

Yeah... that's what we're probably looking at if history is of any guide.


Well, it's a good thing Trump got him to commit to stop launching missiles in writing!

Oh wait, he didn't. So what we're left with is the status quo minus SK-US military cooperation.

This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2018/06/13 09:48:08


The Laws of Thermodynamics:
1) You cannot win. 2) You cannot break even. 3) You cannot stop playing the game.

Colonel Flagg wrote:You think you're real smart. But you're not smart; you're dumb. Very dumb. But you've met your match in me.
 
   
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 whembly wrote:
Many believed we’re on brink of war.... seems like Trump rattled Kim a bit and brought him to the table.


The reason we appeared on the brink of war is because Trump was trying to provoke NK. You're basically trying to argue that Trump saved us from a war started by Trump.

Also, you're once again parrotting a FOX News line that is a straight up lie. Trump did not bring Kim to the table. NK has been pursuing a sit down with a US president for decades. The US has known the massive boost to its legitimacy that NK leadership would get by sitting with a US president, so it did not grant that meeting, it was to be held back until extensive conditions were met, including extensive progress towards dismantling their nuke program. Then Trump got a call from President Moon suggesting the meeting, and 45 minutes later without any consultation with the State Dept he agreed to the meeting. He gifted NK an enormous boost while getting nothing in return. This wasn't only foolish in itself, it also gifted Kim all the advantages when they did meet. Because Kim already had a huge win, he could walk away from Singapore with no deal and still be a huge winner, while Trump needed a deal. This is why the final deal ended up with Trump giving up joint operations, while Kim did nothing more than repeat the general commitment to do something or other later on.

“We may observe that the government in a civilized country is much more expensive than in a barbarous one; and when we say that one government is more expensive than another, it is the same as if we said that that one country is farther advanced in improvement than another. To say that the government is expensive and the people not oppressed is to say that the people are rich.”

Adam Smith, who must have been some kind of leftie or something. 
   
Made in gb
Courageous Grand Master




-

I may be a minority of one, but I quite like that commemorative coin. It's the sort of thing I collect.


Automatically Appended Next Post:
 sebster wrote:
 whembly wrote:
Many believed we’re on brink of war.... seems like Trump rattled Kim a bit and brought him to the table.


The reason we appeared on the brink of war is because Trump was trying to provoke NK. You're basically trying to argue that Trump saved us from a war started by Trump.

Also, you're once again parrotting a FOX News line that is a straight up lie. Trump did not bring Kim to the table. NK has been pursuing a sit down with a US president for decades. The US has known the massive boost to its legitimacy that NK leadership would get by sitting with a US president, so it did not grant that meeting, it was to be held back until extensive conditions were met, including extensive progress towards dismantling their nuke program. Then Trump got a call from President Moon suggesting the meeting, and 45 minutes later without any consultation with the State Dept he agreed to the meeting. He gifted NK an enormous boost while getting nothing in return. This wasn't only foolish in itself, it also gifted Kim all the advantages when they did meet. Because Kim already had a huge win, he could walk away from Singapore with no deal and still be a huge winner, while Trump needed a deal. This is why the final deal ended up with Trump giving up joint operations, while Kim did nothing more than repeat the general commitment to do something or other later on.


I agree with this. It's a good point.

But let me say something to everybody who's concerned about Trump stopping the military exercises.

When France withdraw from NATO command structures back in the day, there was still high level contacts and staff briefings behind the scenes.

In public, the US and South Korean militaries will go through the motions of obeying Trump but behind the scenes, it will be business as usual.

Nothing to worry about in this regard.

This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2018/06/13 10:05:10


"Our crops will wither, our children will die piteous
deaths and the sun will be swept from the sky. But is it true?" - Tom Kirby, CEO, Games Workshop Ltd 
   
Made in us
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Curb stomping in the Eye of Terror!

 sebster wrote:
 whembly wrote:
Many believed we’re on brink of war.... seems like Trump rattled Kim a bit and brought him to the table.


The reason we appeared on the brink of war is because Trump was trying to provoke NK. You're basically trying to argue that Trump saved us from a war started by Trump.

Can't really disagree with that.

Also, you're once again parrotting a FOX News line that is a straight up lie.

I only watch CNN when I have time.
Trump did not bring Kim to the table. NK has been pursuing a sit down with a US president for decades. The US has known the massive boost to its legitimacy that NK leadership would get by sitting with a US president, so it did not grant that meeting, it was to be held back until extensive conditions were met, including extensive progress towards dismantling their nuke program. Then Trump got a call from President Moon suggesting the meeting, and 45 minutes later without any consultation with the State Dept he agreed to the meeting. He gifted NK an enormous boost while getting nothing in return. This wasn't only foolish in itself, it also gifted Kim all the advantages when they did meet. Because Kim already had a huge win, he could walk away from Singapore with no deal and still be a huge winner, while Trump needed a deal. This is why the final deal ended up with Trump giving up joint operations, while Kim did nothing more than repeat the general commitment to do something or other later on.

The joint operations is a small thing as the everyday daily training still occurs at the border and the next big US & NK joint operations is next spring. Nothing stopping SK & US from re-engaging the joint operations if NK janks everyone again by then.

You're acting like this is it. Pompeo/SK/NK is working to keep the dialogue/negotiation ongoing.

How 'bout this. Take Trump out of the equation (or even superimpose that it's HRC the President): What would be your criteria(s) that would be considered as a success? Total de-nuclearlization? Reunification? Some believe it's getting them to face up to the Human Rights violations or bust.

What if, the only thing we get out of all of this, is an actual end of the armistice and a peace treaty, and no denuking?

Live Ork, Be Ork. or D'Ork!


 
   
Made in nl
Tzeentch Aspiring Sorcerer Riding a Disc





The issue isn't that this was only the first meeting or that the exercises can be restarted. The issue is that NK developed nuclear weapons and has a much stronger hand to negotiate with.

Now to kick off the negotiation Trump immediately makes a concession on the exercises, which if restarted NK is going to use as proof of US bad faith. Not only did Trump hand Kim that with some vague promise about a rocket site in private, he also praises dear leader and seriously downplays the horrible nature of the regime. If this was a poker game Trump just showed his opponent his hand because he is so desperate to be liked. If the NKs are smart they are going to involve Trump in all major parts from now on, because Trump is going to be much easier to deal with than Pompeo. Trump just wants to look good at home, who knows what he might hand over without being prompted?


Automatically Appended Next Post:
 Do_I_Not_Like_That wrote:

But let me say something to everybody who's concerned about Trump stopping the military exercises.

When France withdraw from NATO command structures back in the day, there was still high level contacts and staff briefings behind the scenes.

In public, the US and South Korean militaries will go through the motions of obeying Trump but behind the scenes, it will be business as usual.

Nothing to worry about in this regard.

Well nobody is worried about stopping the exercises from a military cooperation point of view. We all know they are still going to cooperate. The issue is that you let an enemy nation (make no mistale, NK sunk a SK warship several years ago) dictate the terms of your alliance and that you give in to those terms without getting anything tangible in return.

This message was edited 3 times. Last update was at 2018/06/13 10:35:14


Sorry for my spelling. I'm not a native speaker and a dyslexic.
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Somewhere in south-central England.

The Japanese also are worried about the situation.

Japan is about 80 miles from South Korea at the closest point.

North Korea has for decades kidnapped Japanese citizens to take them to NK to act as language tutors.

I'm writing a load of fiction. My latest story starts here... This is the index of all the stories...

We're not very big on official rules. Rules lead to people looking for loopholes. What's here is about it. 
   
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Poor Abe, he spend so much time trying to convince Trump of Japanese concerns and then Trump just threw Abe under the bus. Well at least all those kidnapped Japanese are the real winners here...

Sorry for my spelling. I'm not a native speaker and a dyslexic.
1750 pts Blood Specters
2000 pts Imperial Fists
6000 pts Disciples of Fate
3500 pts Peridia Prime
2500 pts Prophets of Fate
Lizardmen 3000 points Tlaxcoatl Temple-City
Tomb Kings 1500 points Sekhra (RIP) 
   
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 whembly wrote:
The joint operations is a small thing as the everyday daily training still occurs at the border and the next big US & NK joint operations is next spring. Nothing stopping SK & US from re-engaging the joint operations if NK janks everyone again by then.


Even if you set aside that premise it's still yet another case of Trump provoking our allies while getting nothing in return. Trump insulted our ally (who does have something to offer) to make himself look good, in negotiations where they other side doesn't even have anything to offer besides being nicer to that ally. It's like if you went to the store to buy a gift for your friend's birthday, but in negotiating with the store to pay for the gift you agreed to cancel your friend's party and throw the gift in the trash.

This is what you and Trump don't seem to understand: diplomacy is about perception just as often as it is about practical exchanges of value. Pride, honor, shared values, etc, these things all matter. And building a strong relationship from them takes time, much longer than it takes to damage that relationship. Even if cancelling the joint exercises with South Korea has negligible practical effect it still tells South Korea that they aren't as important, that we don't respect them as much. And that kind of thing comes back to get you in the future, when you really wish you had that solid friendship that you used to have.

How 'bout this. Take Trump out of the equation (or even superimpose that it's HRC the President): What would be your criteria(s) that would be considered as a success? Total de-nuclearlization? Reunification? Some believe it's getting them to face up to the Human Rights violations or bust.


The criteria is meaningful and lasting progress towards North Korea becoming a better country, not just propaganda victories and endless cycles of North Korea's game of good cop/bad cop. We can argue about degrees of success, and all of the things you mentioned would be successes of some degree. But nothing like that has happened yet. All we have had is one more repetition of North Korea's game, except this time they found a US president gullible and narcissistic enough to play along with the game and hand them an even bigger win.

What if, the only thing we get out of all of this, is an actual end of the armistice and a peace treaty, and no denuking?


That would certainly count as a win (assuming the peace treaty is legitimate and followed by actual demilitarization, not just symbolic statements about having peace), but it's also nothing more than wishful thinking. It hasn't happened, and there is no credible reason to believe that it will happen.

This message was edited 3 times. Last update was at 2018/06/13 11:10:50


There is no such thing as a hobby without politics. "Leave politics at the door" is itself a political statement, an endorsement of the status quo and an attempt to silence dissenting voices. 
   
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-

Well some good news for America.

You have won the right to host World Cup 2026. Along with Canada and Mexico.

It's the NAFTA world cup

USA USA USA

But USA 94 was a very good world cup

So I'm confident you guys will put on a good show again.

"Our crops will wither, our children will die piteous
deaths and the sun will be swept from the sky. But is it true?" - Tom Kirby, CEO, Games Workshop Ltd 
   
 
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