I just tried a list similar to this at 2k and got pooped on today. I admit, it might have been the largest rock to my scissors I've ever got smashed with, but it was brutal.
He was running Eldar/DEldar and had a lot of lances, but hey, that's the meta, Eldar and Tau. That's all you see currently (pre-
SM release).
Anyway,
BT can't get Dozer blades on
LR anymore and that just kills it for me. Relying on a single die for 400+ pts worth of model to get into combat is too risky. I don't think I will be using
LR for a long, long time. But that's just me. I'm considering going back to Rhino Rush with 1-3 pods to support. But that's just me.
As for your personal list, not enough scoring potiential and you only have 3 "
cc-oriented" squads. None of which can hold their own against other armies truly
cc-oriented troops. Yes, the honor guard have 2+ and power weapons, they will hurt, but their numbers will dwindle and when you look at the list, you literally have 3
LRs and 3 units. At 1850, you simply don't have enough turns to kill all the enemy's models/
MSU. He can simply spread out on objectives and win the war of attrition.
Taking that many points on
HQ's hurts the list more, you could honestly, take out one and take another
LR if you wanted to. Those 4-5 attacks on the charge isn't going to make or break-up your combats. The number of threats you have and the damage they can cause is way to low. Even after you disembark, you only have 6 threats. 3 infantry squads +
HQ in each, and 3
LRs. That's it. At this point, no tactics in the world can help you, it's purely
RPS at that point.
This list with make some lists sweat and make other lists laugh. My money is on the second if you're taking this somewhere competitive.
YMMV.
Personally, I'm having a really hard time finding benefits to
BT lists. I have over 2500 pts of
BT atm, and I'm strongly considering selling them. Currently, I'm using "count-as" Iron Hands at 1350 and Sallies at 2k.
Sucks though, I just got done buying custom "Iron Cross" dice too
Let me know if you test this list out! Would love to hear positive results. I got poopied on.