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If it's knight vs knight, then odds are that a Lancer wins since it's hitting first, being hit on 5's and has a 5++ save in CC.
If it's some sort of knight free for all, then you'd imagine everyone will gank the Lancers first and then hunt down the "easy" target Crusaders and Castigators.
Regardless, I can't see the point in taking a Magaera since it always strikes last (due to init 2 vs init 4 on literally every other knight) and CC is going to be a huge focus if it's an actual 1v1 joust and its flare shield is going to get easily flanked if it's a free for all.
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