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USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 12:51:46


Post by: sarpedons-right-hand


The USA have alledgedly been spying on the German Chancellor, Angela Merkel. If it's true, one has to ask, why?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-24651975

I thought this sort of thing went out with 'Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy'? It does bring to mind some delicious images of gritty 50's Spy Movies though.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 12:53:27


Post by: Wilytank


I thought the USA spies on everyone. Doesn't really surprise me.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 12:56:59


Post by: sarpedons-right-hand


I guess not, but if true it shows a remarkable lack of tact by the US Govt. After all, it seems as though Obama needs all the Allies he can get at the moment...


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 13:01:05


Post by: Seaward


 sarpedons-right-hand wrote:
I guess not, but if true it shows a remarkable lack of tact by the US Govt. After all, it seems as though Obama needs all the Allies he can get at the moment...

For what?


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 13:15:06


Post by: motyak


Yeah I can't really bring myself to care. It is a big power spying on people. It happens. If they used it to hurt Germany or something then it'd be an issue, but as it is it's just a big power spying on people around them, asking them to stop that would be...well, pointless.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 13:16:55


Post by: Easy E


Yes, and France, Mexico, Brazil, it's own citizens; etc, etc.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 13:19:13


Post by: hotsauceman1


Atleast we are not denmark those guys are crazy when it comes to spying
Spoiler:


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 13:30:32


Post by: Ketara


On one hand, yes, all governments spy on all other governments. This sort of thing really shouldn't come as a surprise. Conversely though, the fact that it doesn't come as a surprise does not necessarily mean that it is acceptable. The Germans in particular are a bit touchy on this sort of thing, as they were still fairly recently under the boot of the Stazi, and remember all too well what 'surveillance in the name of state security' can entail.

Ultimately, this is a relatively minor incident. A small hiccup and something interesting to talk about for a short while in the halls of power.

As a historian though, one tends to note that major world history, shifts, and trends are often made or caused by groups of such hiccups. The US and Europe have been steadily binding ourselves together tighter and tighter for the last sixty years or so. I am personally inclined to believe that over the course of the next hundred and fifty or so years, the end result will be either the arisal of a new superpower to rival the US (the United States of Europe, as it were), or an eventual amalgamation of the US & the EU.

Naturally, the US Government worries more about the former, and as such, attempts to keep extensive tabs on the slow machinations, intrigues, and realpolitik of Europe. Getting caught out to this extent though, may well turn out to be one of those hiccups that shifts the potential outcome a notch or two towards an independent European power. We're already seeing calls for European databanks and cloud servers based away from the US for security reasons. There's also been symbolic (if largely devoid of significance) handwaving in the European Parliament to exclude the US from the SWIFT data exchange. I would also be surprised if the respective intelligence agencies of Europe were not even now reviewing American access to their files and operational methods (as US knowledge of such things aids them in circumventing European security).

The interesting thing to note will be whether this stagnates the free trade talks currently underway between the US and the EU. If that one becomes a dead duck, I'd say the odds of eventual amalgamation would be severely compromised.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 15:06:43


Post by: Frazzled


 sarpedons-right-hand wrote:
The USA have alledgedly been spying on the German Chancellor, Angela Merkel. If it's true, one has to ask, why?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-24651975

I thought this sort of thing went out with 'Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy'? It does bring to mind some delicious images of gritty 50's Spy Movies though.


Why? Because its what they get paid the big bucks to do. The Germans and French spy onthe US and US corporations all the time. So does the UK.
Welcome to the real world.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 15:27:32


Post by: sarpedons-right-hand


Oh, I love being patronised... Gives me shudders.....

It was a rhetorical question really. I mean, what have the Germans got that the mighty US doesn't?


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 15:35:39


Post by: Wilytank


 sarpedons-right-hand wrote:
I mean, what have the Germans got that the mighty US doesn't?


Decent cars?


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 15:50:05


Post by: Frazzled


Hondas, Toyotas, and Nissans are made here. There are giant honking VW and Mercedes plants here. What are you talking about?


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 15:59:03


Post by: Wilytank


 Frazzled wrote:
Hondas, Toyotas, and Nissans are made here. There are giant honking VW and Mercedes plants here. What are you talking about?


Well, the people who designed them certainly weren't from here.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 16:00:06


Post by: Ketara


 sarpedons-right-hand wrote:
Oh, I love being patronised... Gives me shudders.....

It was a rhetorical question really. I mean, what have the Germans got that the mighty US doesn't?


Just about everyone in the halls of power of the West have been worried about the German industrial juggernaut for the last hundred plus odd years. The EU was originally designed by the French as a bridle and harness to control it and cease it from ever posing a risk to them again.
Unfortunately for them, the latest economic crisis, combined with a reunified Germany and a shaky economy at home mean that the horse is now riding the jockey. Germany is now the main industrial and economic power of Europe once again, and is beginning (if shakily and slowly) to reassert the political power that goes with that.

The thing is, for all the carping on that some people do about the US bearing the burden of world police and guarding European borders, the fact remains that the US prefers it that way. Europe is the only place in the world technologically on par with America, and whilst the militaries there remain weak and European politics remain restricted to backstabbing in Brussels, the US is in a position of unparalleled world dominance. But that will likely not remain the state of affairs forever, governments are always in flux. And if a new world rival is to arise out of Europe over the next century, Germany is where the power will be, both economically and industrially. France is too internally weak, and Britain too tied to America and suspicious of the continent.

The result being that the US keeps an especially close eye on Germany.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 16:01:14


Post by: sarpedons-right-hand


Actually, the person that rescued the VW Beetle and made it hugely popular was English..

From Wikipedia

'The re-opening of the factory is largely accredited to British Army officer Major Ivan Hirst.[27] Hirst was ordered to take control of the heavily bombed factory, which the Americans had captured. His first task was to remove an unexploded bomb that had fallen through the roof and lodged itself between some pieces of irreplaceable production equipment; if the bomb had exploded, the Beetle's fate would have been sealed. Hirst persuaded the British military to order 20,000 of the cars,[13] and by March 1946 the factory was producing 1,000 cars a month, which Hirst said "was the limit set by the availability of materials". During this period, the car reverted to its original name of Volkswagen and the town was renamed Wolfsburg. The first 1,785 Type 1s were made in 1945.'

Edit: Sorry, posted after Ketara made some fine points about the whole 'Spying' thing. The above comment seems a little out of place now.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 16:09:53


Post by: LuciusAR


Intelligence agencies are bound to keep tabs on prominent world leaders, it’s what they are there for. The BND almost certainly has a large file on David Cameron and President Obama as well.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 16:12:42


Post by: Frazzled


 Wilytank wrote:
 Frazzled wrote:
Hondas, Toyotas, and Nissans are made here. There are giant honking VW and Mercedes plants here. What are you talking about?


Well, the people who designed them certainly weren't from here.


You'd better research that more. Much of the design work is done in Cali.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 16:16:15


Post by: kronk


 Wilytank wrote:
I thought the USA spies on everyone. Doesn't really surprise me.



Everyone can, does, and should spy on everyone else. Just be good about it.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 16:21:50


Post by: d-usa


Well, if Merkel has nothing to hide then she shouldn't have any problems amiright?


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 16:22:52


Post by: kronk


You are supposed to add "Citizen" at the end of that line.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 16:23:22


Post by: Ensis Ferrae


 sarpedons-right-hand wrote:
The USA have alledgedly been spying on the German Chancellor, Angela Merkel. If it's true, one has to ask, why?




As a general rule, everyone collects intel on everyone else. Just about the only exceptions to this, to my knowledge is that we (the US) don't "spy" on the UK or Canada, due to us being such chummy mates and all, we have intel sharing agreements in place, etc.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 16:24:24


Post by: kronk


Of course we spy on Canada. They have the Strategic Maple Syrup Reserves.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 16:40:02


Post by: Manchu


This Just In:

Countries Spy On Each Other

I bet Hollywood can make a buck or two on this revelation.

Oh wait:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_James_Bond_films


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 16:41:32


Post by: Grey Templar


 kronk wrote:
Of course we spy on Canada. They have the Strategic Maple Syrup Reserves.


Maybe we just solved the Syrup heist.

Peckish US Spies decided to make off with it.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 17:08:22


Post by: juraigamer


No surprise here, group A spies on group B who spy on group A and group C spies on both A and B while A and B spy on group C.

What?


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 17:10:07


Post by: kronk


And group C and A are the same group!


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 17:24:16


Post by: Manchu


Silence is golden, Mr. Kronk.

*shoots Kronk with silenced pistol made of gold in super-expensive Parisian hotel room*


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 17:30:32


Post by: marv335


I find it incredibly naive of people to think that governments around the world aren't spying on each other.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 18:20:18


Post by: cadbren


 marv335 wrote:
I find it incredibly naive of people to think that governments around the world aren't spying on each other.


They're not supposed to get caught doing it.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 22:50:02


Post by: Haight


Everyone spies on everyone, nations only complain about it when they catch someone.

Seriously. If you think the French and Germans are not spying on us, you're either incredibly naive, or simply have no concept of how foreign intelligence services work.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 23:06:40


Post by: Weltenwolf


Nobody spied on Mutti. She just ass dialed the NSA and they were so bored from her, that they only had 2 options left: commit suicide or leak a lie about spying, so they could get a bit of joy back into their lives.

I mean, really? Spying on Merkel? What a waste of tax money. Spy on Deutsche Bank or VW or Mercedes or whatever managers, there's something to get.

Spying on german politicians is useless, they have no power. What happens here is decided by the bureaucrats.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 23:07:29


Post by: Ketara


 Haight wrote:
Everyone spies on everyone, nations only complain about it when they catch someone.

Seriously. If you think the French and Germans are not spying on us, you're either incredibly naive, or simply have no concept of how foreign intelligence services work.


Judging by the fact that you fellows seem to have tapped the German Premier's phone, I think the efficacy of their Secret Services compared to your own has been revealed somewhat.


Also, I'm also not necessarily buying the argument that 'everyone does it, so the US have nothing to be ashamed of'. Do they? I actually have a slightly sneaky feeling that whilst the rest of the West have our ways and means have finding things out on the sly, the US Secret Service is a lot bigger and nastier than what we tend to run these days. I genuinely do not think the British Secret Service would set out to actively bug the US President for example. The Chinese one? Yes. The Russian one? Yes. The Indian one? Maybe.The US one? Probably not. Conversely, would the US set out to bug Downing Street all over? Right here and now, I'd undoubtedly say yes.

I think it's something of a case of the extent to which the US goes to in doing these sorts of things. Guantanamo Bay, drone attacks in Pakistan, landing commando teams in other countries to abduct men wanted by the US, hacking embassies, bugging world leaders, and so on. I'm not saying that all European hands are bloodless these days, far from it. But nobody else in the world quite takes self-righteous paranoid hypocrisy to the extremes of the US Secret Service/military.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 23:09:38


Post by: Ensis Ferrae


 Ketara wrote:

Also, I'm also not necessarily buying the argument that 'everyone does it, so the US have nothing to be ashamed of'. Do they? I actually have a slightly sneaky feeling that whilst the rest of the West have our ways and means have finding things out on the sly, the US Secret Service is a lot bigger and nastier than what we tend to run these days. I genuinely do not think the British Secret Service would set out to actively bug the US President for example. The Chinese one? Yes. The Russian one? Yes. The Indian one? Maybe.The US one? Probably not. Conversely, would the US set out to bug Downing Street all over? Right here and now, I'd undoubtedly say yes.


As I said earlier, the US doesnt spy on only a couple of countries, mostly due to us having "intelligence trade agreements" if you want to call them such.

Also, I'd say your Secret Service is plenty nasty... I've seen James Bond


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/24 23:15:20


Post by: Ketara


 Ensis Ferrae wrote:


As I said earlier, the US doesnt spy on only a couple of countries, mostly due to us having "intelligence trade agreements" if you want to call them such.

Also, I'd say your Secret Service is plenty nasty... I've seen James Bond


I have no doubt that the US gathers plenty of intelligence on the UK. The 'special relationship' is grand for the most part when things are going smoothly, but America has always been perfectly happy to smack us down or back out whenever they perceived it to be in their own interests to do so. From the economic situation post world wars, to the Suez Canal, to uhming and ahhing over the Falklands. America is the premier world power, and will brook no potential opposition, threat, or inconvenience to that.

If it came down to bugging a UK embassy to try and replace a BAE contract with one from Lockheed? The US Intelligence service wouldn't bat an eyelid. And neither would the US President.

Bizarely enough though, I don't think we would, reversing the situations. We might try and bribe someone in the local government, give away a small pile of honorary degrees, and even bug the house of the fellow making the buying decisions. But no further than that.

I suppose it's a question of where you draw the line, and America seems to draw it a lot further than most of the rest of us in the West. Which is....kind of sad really. In a sort of wasted potential sort of way.

I must admit, I do wonder what the American response would be if it was the Germans having bugged the President's phone for the last year, and if the American posters here would be quite so nonchalant and blase.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 11:05:52


Post by: Frazzled


 Ketara wrote:
 Haight wrote:
Everyone spies on everyone, nations only complain about it when they catch someone.

Seriously. If you think the French and Germans are not spying on us, you're either incredibly naive, or simply have no concept of how foreign intelligence services work.


Judging by the fact that you fellows seem to have tapped the German Premier's phone, I think the efficacy of their Secret Services compared to your own has been revealed somewhat.


Also, I'm also not necessarily buying the argument that 'everyone does it, so the US have nothing to be ashamed of'. Do they? I actually have a slightly sneaky feeling that whilst the rest of the West have our ways and means have finding things out on the sly, the US Secret Service is a lot bigger and nastier than what we tend to run these days. I genuinely do not think the British Secret Service would set out to actively bug the US President for example. The Chinese one? Yes. The Russian one? Yes. The Indian one? Maybe.The US one? Probably not. Conversely, would the US set out to bug Downing Street all over? Right here and now, I'd undoubtedly say yes.

I think it's something of a case of the extent to which the US goes to in doing these sorts of things. Guantanamo Bay, drone attacks in Pakistan, landing commando teams in other countries to abduct men wanted by the US, hacking embassies, bugging world leaders, and so on. I'm not saying that all European hands are bloodless these days, far from it. But nobody else in the world quite takes self-righteous paranoid hypocrisy to the extremes of the US Secret Service/military.


It is extremely well known in business cricles that the governments of Germany and France actively spy on foreign companies. There are warnings about executives travelling to those countries to protect their papers etc - the same level of threat as when going to China.

As Jon Stewart noted about Geremany. Really? This is the country that invaded Poland for looking at it funny. Besides, we're the perfect partner, because we listen...


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 12:01:45


Post by: Seaward


Indeed. One of the many gems of the State Department cables that Wikileaks put up back in the noughts was that France is responsible for more espionage in Europe than either Russia or China.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 12:10:17


Post by: Minx


Indeed, their Eiffel tower is not just an attractive phallus symbol it's also host to a myriad sensors to intercept brain waves. Keep your thoughts straight on the attractive moulin rouge dancers legs lest you get caught.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 12:14:16


Post by: kronk


They need to up their game and stop getting caught.

Or... Maybe they wanted to get caught so that they can give more credence to the whistle blower who is ACTUALLY the spy all along!


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 12:15:26


Post by: Seaward


They didn't get caught. This is, apparently, more leaked gak, likely courtesy of Snowden.

Might be time to start thinking about putting some ricin in the end of an umbrella.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 12:16:10


Post by: kronk


Or Snowden is actually a double naught spy!


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 14:10:32


Post by: Da Boss


Ketara, I don't think the UK intelligence guys are as nice as you're making out.

On the other hand, would US posters be as nonchalant if they found out Germany was spying on the US president?

Meh. Though my flag is German, the only people who ever spy on my home country are the British, and that's because we kept putting bombs in all their bins.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 14:17:39


Post by: Frazzled


 Da Boss wrote:
Ketara, I don't think the UK intelligence guys are as nice as you're making out.

On the other hand, would US posters be as nonchalant if they found out Germany was spying on the US president?

Meh. Though my flag is German, the only people who ever spy on my home country are the British, and that's because we kept putting bombs in all their bins.


I assume Germany is spying as much as it can.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 15:43:20


Post by: Weltenwolf


 Frazzled wrote:
I assume Germany is spying as much as it can.

If you're good at something, why stop? Old habits die hard and we have quite a number of old Stasi members & IMs, they need something to do.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 15:52:18


Post by: Frazzled


exactly. Germany, the only country where spying is an employment works program.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 16:04:34


Post by: Hulksmash


Honestly I'd be surprised if Germany wasn't spying. As THE economic powerhouse for the EU it'd be ridiculous for them not to spy on the US. Our economy heavily effects theirs and that's more than enough of a reason to spy.

And if we caught you guys at it I'd say cool, it's just how major nations operate. I don't think Germany is looking for a war with us nor us with the EU or anything. But todays allies can be tomorrows enemies and that doesn't take into account economic decisions that can affect us. So yeah, countries spy and stuff


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 16:06:46


Post by: Do_I_Not_Like_That


 Minx wrote:
Indeed, their Eiffel tower is not just an attractive phallus symbol it's also host to a myriad sensors to intercept brain waves. Keep your thoughts straight on the attractive moulin rouge dancers legs lest you get caught.


And what about all those German cars that are everywhere? That BMW badge looks suspicious


Automatically Appended Next Post:
 Hulksmash wrote:
Honestly I'd be surprised if Germany wasn't spying. As THE economic powerhouse for the EU it'd be ridiculous for them not to spy on the US. Our economy heavily effects theirs and that's more than enough of a reason to spy.

And if we caught you guys at it I'd say cool, it's just how major nations operate. I don't think Germany is looking for a war with us nor us with the EU or anything. But todays allies can be tomorrows enemies and that doesn't take into account economic decisions that can affect us. So yeah, countries spy and stuff


Who told you that Germany is the EU powerhouse? Our newspapers say otherwise!

Then again, our newspapers still think it's 1940


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 16:41:06


Post by: Weltenwolf


 Do_I_Not_Like_That wrote:
And what about all those German cars that are everywhere? That BMW badge looks suspicious

That's because BMW is bavarian, not german. We would like to kick them out, but Austria is not willing to take them.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 16:46:00


Post by: d-usa


Bavaria is Germany's Texas...


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 16:51:35


Post by: purplefood


Texas is Germany's Texas.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 16:59:20


Post by: Orlanth


The actual problem is that the US controls a lot of the companies that provide the tooling for information networks.

The main offshoot of this might be the rise of challenges to this current monopoly.

A lot of government departments in the EU use Linux as a base for systems because its much easier to secure than Windows based systems, and ugly runours persist that Microsoft OS's have deliberate backdoors in it facing Langley.


Automatically Appended Next Post:
 Orlanth wrote:
The actual problem is that the US controls a lot of the companies that provide the tooling for information networks.

The main offshoot of this might be the rise of challenges to this current monopoly.


Just found out its starting already:

http://in.reuters.com/article/2013/10/25/usa-spying-germany-idINL5N0IF2GV20131025


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 18:14:54


Post by: Ketara


Frazzled wrote:

It is extremely well known in business cricles that the governments of Germany and France actively spy on foreign companies. There are warnings about executives travelling to those countries to protect their papers etc - the same level of threat as when going to China.


Seaward wrote:Indeed. One of the many gems of the State Department cables that Wikileaks put up back in the noughts was that France is responsible for more espionage in Europe than either Russia or China.


Da Boss wrote:Ketara, I don't think the UK intelligence guys are as nice as you're making out.
.


Hulksmash wrote:Honestly I'd be surprised if Germany wasn't spying. As THE economic powerhouse for the EU it'd be ridiculous for them not to spy on the US. Our economy heavily effects theirs and that's more than enough of a reason to spy.


I'm not disputing that intelligence capabilities exist in other countries. I'm just stating that that American intelligence activities and operations seem to be somewhat more.....extreme than their Western counterparts in general. There is no German equivalent of Guantanamo Bay. There are no French Commando teams sneaking their way into Africa to illegally abduct people they deem to be terrorists. The British, despite having been deployed in Afghanistan alongside the US, have yet to resort to lobbing drone bombs over at people they spot through satellite images. The Spanish have no government ability to monitor and process vast amounts of internet usage.

Generally speaking, European intelligence agencies do not engage in any of the above, and that is without even including anything to do with Merkel or the French embassies. You have the occasional odd exception or parallel, but they tend to be rare. With the US however, such activities are regularly carried out in flagrant violation of international law or human rights. And when these things get caught and picked up upon by the international community, the average American response is, 'Eh. We're the good guys. Innocent people have nothing to fear/everyone else does the same thing/it helps keep us secure/It's necessary for our national security'.

Yet if any of the activities I just listed above were committed against Americans or on American soil, the American public would be baying for blood. Germans wiretapping Obama? Chinese troops abducting people in America and then imprisoning them without trial? Russians throwing drones into America? I mean seriously, we'd be in World War 3 within 24 hours. Hence my statement that the American intelligence/military machine is a self-righteous hypocritical set of organisations. And that in this modern day and age, European intelligence operations do not even begin to come close to the violence or scale of American intelligence activities.

It's an uncomfortable truth, and one the American public generally does not appreciate.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 18:21:30


Post by: Seaward


I think you're missing one key element in all of this, Ketara. The United States is a superpower. Like it or not, we can get away with far more than everyone else. If we get caught with our hand in the cookie jar, the most anyone can do is suggest bilateral talks.

Despite that, we do regularly have the Chinese and the Russians hacking us. It's the world we live in.

What you should really be putting some thought into, though, is that you wouldn't know about any of this if some self-appointed jackass of a traitor hadn't decided to leak a bunch of gak he should never have had access to. We don't know the extent of European intelligence operations. We don't know the extent of American intelligence operations. Drawing conclusions about who's doing more nefarious gak in such an environment is going to be nothing but speculation.

I also think it's important to separate the secret squirrel military stuff from the NSA/CIA stuff. Sending SEALs into Somalia isn't us being "aggressive" with our intelligence-gathering, it's prosecuting the war on terror. We do it because we have the capability to do it, though I have little doubt that the SAS/SBS would be doing the same if Britain had the same reach and knowledge of high-value targets. In fact, I have very little doubt that they have done the same. One of the many things I will never understand is NSW's eagerness for the spotlight.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 18:23:56


Post by: whembly


So... what do you propose that US to do?

I'd chalk this up as normal state's brinksmenship.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 18:24:05


Post by: kronk


 Ketara wrote:
There is no German equivalent of Guantanamo Bay. There are no French Commando teams sneaking their way into Africa to illegally abduct people they deem to be terrorists. The British, despite having been deployed in Afghanistan alongside the US, have yet to resort to lobbing drone bombs over at people they spot through satellite images.


We know.

You're welcome.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 18:26:17


Post by: whembly


 kronk wrote:
 Ketara wrote:
There is no German equivalent of Guantanamo Bay. There are no French Commando teams sneaking their way into Africa to illegally abduct people they deem to be terrorists. The British, despite having been deployed in Afghanistan alongside the US, have yet to resort to lobbing drone bombs over at people they spot through satellite images.


We know.

You're welcome.

Yep.

Ketara... isn't the US's action really stems from that fact that we're practically the lone superpower at the moment?


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 18:27:19


Post by: Frazzled


 Ketara wrote:
Frazzled wrote:

It is extremely well known in business cricles that the governments of Germany and France actively spy on foreign companies. There are warnings about executives travelling to those countries to protect their papers etc - the same level of threat as when going to China.


Seaward wrote:Indeed. One of the many gems of the State Department cables that Wikileaks put up back in the noughts was that France is responsible for more espionage in Europe than either Russia or China.


Da Boss wrote:Ketara, I don't think the UK intelligence guys are as nice as you're making out.
.


Hulksmash wrote:Honestly I'd be surprised if Germany wasn't spying. As THE economic powerhouse for the EU it'd be ridiculous for them not to spy on the US. Our economy heavily effects theirs and that's more than enough of a reason to spy.


I'm not disputing that intelligence capabilities exist in other countries. I'm just stating that that American intelligence activities and operations seem to be somewhat more.....extreme than their Western counterparts in general. There is no German equivalent of Guantanamo Bay. There are no French Commando teams sneaking their way into Africa to illegally abduct people they deem to be terrorists. The British, despite having been deployed in Afghanistan alongside the US, have yet to resort to lobbing drone bombs over at people they spot through satellite images. The Spanish have no government ability to monitor and process vast amounts of internet usage.

Generally speaking, European intelligence agencies do not engage in any of the above, and that is without even including anything to do with Merkel or the French embassies. You have the occasional odd exception or parallel, but they tend to be rare. With the US however, such activities are regularly carried out in flagrant violation of international law or human rights. And when these things get caught and picked up upon by the international community, the average American response is, 'Eh. We're the good guys. Innocent people have nothing to fear/everyone else does the same thing/it helps keep us secure/It's necessary for our national security'.

Yet if any of the activities I just listed above were committed against Americans or on American soil, the American public would be baying for blood. Germans wiretapping Obama? Chinese troops abducting people in America and then imprisoning them without trial? Russians throwing drones into America? I mean seriously, we'd be in World War 3 within 24 hours. Hence my statement that the American intelligence/military machine is a self-righteous hypocritical set of organisations. And that in this modern day and age, European intelligence operations do not even begin to come close to the violence or scale of American intelligence activities.

It's an uncomfortable truth, and one the American public generally does not appreciate.

You say that but fail to notice the country with the most nukes on the planet is now run by the KGB...
Besides you're just whining because all this got released by Snowden. It would be interesting to see a similar dump by a UK intelligence person.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/25 18:31:38


Post by: Ketara


 Seaward wrote:
I think you're missing one key element in all of this, Ketara. The United States is a superpower. Like it or not, we can get away with far more than everyone else. If we get caught with our hand in the cookie jar, the most anyone can do is suggest bilateral talks.


Certainly. When the Russians assassinated Litvinenko here in London with Polonium, nobody bats an eyelid. It is the Russians after all. They have a harsh reputation, and have never claimed to be the good guys.

The problem is that America regularly talks about 'democracy' whilst sponsoring attempts to overthrow democratically elected governments, it talks about 'freedom' whilst abducting and imprisoning people, promotes 'international peace' whilst simultaneously refusing to sign anything that might bring it about in some way. And then wonders why people the world over get upset at this.

Heck, we wouldn't even care if we thought you were lying. But the weird thing is, the American Government seems to believe what it says at the same time!

Nobody bats an eyelid when a superpower acts like a superpower and promotes itself and it's maintenance of that position. That's standard since the days of the Romans. It's just this weird thing where the US tells the world it cares about all these moral values it upholds, and then does its level best to dodge the lot.

Sending SEALs into Somalia isn't us being "aggressive" with our intelligence-gathering, it's prosecuting the war on terror.


"We declared war on terror—it's not even a noun, so, good luck. After we defeat it, I'm sure we'll take on that bastard ennui."

What you should really be putting some thought into, though, is that you wouldn't know about any of this if some self-appointed jackass of a traitor hadn't decided to leak a bunch of gak he should never have had access to.


If a paper gets leaked next week letting me know the NSA has a bunch of cameras in the Queen's bedroom, please don't take any offence when I say I'd rather know about it (as an Englishman).


We know.

You're welcome.


Amusingly enough, if we hadn't taken part in Iraq/Afghanistan, would the UK be such a prominent target for terrorists? Had the USA not done so, would there even be a need for such extreme American countermeasures? When your intelligence activities merely spawn more enemies by their extreme nature, does it ever end?

Difficult questions, with no easy answer.

 Frazzled wrote:

You say that but fail to notice the country with the most nukes on the planet is now run by the KGB...


Distraction from the actual issue at hand, namely the behaviours of the US. Like I said up above:

when these things get caught and picked up upon by the international community, the average American response is, 'Eh. We're the good guys. Innocent people have nothing to fear/everyone else does the same thing/it helps keep us secure/It's necessary for our national security'.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 05:37:58


Post by: Seaward


 Ketara wrote:
The problem is that America regularly talks about 'democracy' whilst sponsoring attempts to overthrow democratically elected governments, it talks about 'freedom' whilst abducting and imprisoning people, promotes 'international peace' whilst simultaneously refusing to sign anything that might bring it about in some way. And then wonders why people the world over get upset at this.

Heck, we wouldn't even care if we thought you were lying. But the weird thing is, the American Government seems to believe what it says at the same time!

Nobody bats an eyelid when a superpower acts like a superpower and promotes itself and it's maintenance of that position. That's standard since the days of the Romans. It's just this weird thing where the US tells the world it cares about all these moral values it upholds, and then does its level best to dodge the lot.

I disagree. Profoundly, in fact, but I'm not sure it's worth arguing over. If you think you're seeing the US unleashed and acting with indifference towards its ideals, I don't really know what to tell you. Pretending that the choice doesn't often come down to a decision between 'bad' and 'worse' is a luxury that just doesn't occur in the real world when your reach is as long as ours and your interests as extended.

"We declared war on terror—it's not even a noun, so, good luck. After we defeat it, I'm sure we'll take on that bastard ennui."

I've always found this to be one of the weakest arguments of the anti-war folks. It's shorthand. It's a war on organizations and individuals engaged in terrorist plots against us or our allies. That's a mouthful, however, so "war on terror" is easier to say.

If a paper gets leaked next week letting me know the NSA has a bunch of cameras in the Queen's bedroom, please don't take any offence when I say I'd rather know about it (as an Englishman).

What I mean is that we only know about all of this gak because of some douchebag leaking it. Claiming that the British or the French or whoever are above it all is nice, but until you get your own Snowden, it's not really evident that there's a factual basis for such a claim.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 11:21:27


Post by: Orlanth


 whembly wrote:

Ketara... isn't the US's action really stems from that fact that we're practically the lone superpower at the moment?


This is far from the truth.

China is a superpower, and it is now flexing its muscles, and the US is backing away. The Chinese dont vocalise things the same way as the Cold War adversaries did.
China has been a superpower for awghile now, but until recently they prefered to hide and pretend they were not, mostly to keep America asleep, some still are even now China is doing frankly very agrssive moves like claiming all ocean territory (and offshore resources) in the South China sea, regardless of who it actually belongs to in international law.

Russia is still a nuclear superpower, if never an economic one anytime they fancy playing hardball they can. Putin doesn't do this often as its not in Russia's interest.


If anything whembly the NSA are flexing their muscles because the US has fewer muscles than it had, doesn't like that and uses the ones it can. A bit like post war Britain in the early 50's. Unlike the Uk America will remain powerful because of its natural size, but the US Empire days are drawing to their close very rapidly. It's China's world now.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 11:27:22


Post by: Allod


I would like to add that, funnily enough, Europe has little qualms about anything the US do as long as it benefits us as well in some way, so accusing the US and only the US of double standards is a bit unfair.

I'm also hesitant to call the appeasement policy of European powers towards Islamic extremism wiser than the US' war on terror.

Finally, I'm more outraged at the level of incompetence displayed by our secret services when they seemingly are unable to protect the phone of the German chancellor, the French president etc. etc. than the fact that the US (successfully) attempted to tap them. I mean, what are we paying these guys for again?


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 12:35:46


Post by: Seaward


 Orlanth wrote:
This is far from the truth.

No, it's quite accurate. China may become a superpower some day, but it's very far from being so currently. It still has a lot of economic and military development to do before it can claim that title.

And Russia's certainly not.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 15:04:56


Post by: Ketara


Seaward wrote:
I disagree. Profoundly, in fact, but I'm not sure it's worth arguing over. If you think you're seeing the US unleashed and acting with indifference towards its ideals, I don't really know what to tell you.


I can provide multiple examples of the US helping to overthrow democratically elected governments, we've just seen the US sending in small teams to abduct people in other nations in breach of law and correct protocol, the US has refused to sign many interesting and potentially good pieces of legislation brought before the UN, and I'm pretty certain that nobody can argue Guantanamo Bay is anything but 'acting with indifference towards its ideals'.

In short, I'm not just coming up with this on the cuff, or out of some bizare irrational dislike of America. I can provide evidence and substantiation for each and every opinion I have expressed so far. Truthfully? I don't like or dislike America really, any more than I do the French or the Germans. I certainly 'like' (for a given value) it more than the Chinese and Russians.

I also make a strong distinction between the actions of the American people and the American Government (I'm actually quite fond of you guys on a personal level ).


Pretending that the choice doesn't often come down to a decision between 'bad' and 'worse' is a luxury that just doesn't occur in the real world when your reach is as long as ours and your interests as extended.


The problem is that America claims that interfering with the entire world and its business, is in the American interest. Which is how a global superpower works(and indeed, is what makes it global). The British did it, and now you're following in our footsteps to an extent.

I've always found this to be one of the weakest arguments of the anti-war folks. It's shorthand. It's a war on organizations and individuals engaged in terrorist plots against us or our allies. That's a mouthful, however, so "war on terror" is easier to say.


I'm hardly anti-war as a military historian!

I still think that the phrase 'war on terror' is a daft political phrase though, and was simply invented to justify hostile acts against whoever the American Government judges as being against them with a minimum amount of substantiation or evidence required. Labelling someone a 'terrorist' before dragging them off to waterboard them in a cell means that everybody knows they don't get human rights! Lobbing bombs at them and their families? We're at war on 'terror'! We don't need evidence in a courtroom before executing them!

'War on terror' excuses a multitude of sins(metaphorically speaking). It also means that you're not forced to confront what might have turned them into terrorists in the first place (in some cases, it turns out be things like having bombs lobbed at the house next door because the government said they were terrorists, and your sister got killed).


What I mean is that we only know about all of this gak because of some douchebag leaking it. Claiming that the British or the French or whoever are above it all is nice, but until you get your own Snowden, it's not really evident that there's a factual basis for such a claim.


I'm not sure if it's that they're above such things. I'm not trying to paint our secret services as 'nicer' for a given value. It's entirely possible that if they could do the same, they would. But as things stand, they don't. Whether that's because they're not physically capable of it, because they hold foreign relations as more important, because they value human rights more, or whatnot, I don't know, wouldn't care to speculate, and think the reason would be different for each nation.

All I can say, is that America regularly goes much further and is far more blase about these sort of things than anyone in Europe. Which is more or less the case and pretty self-evident to anyone who reads the news. As I said, we're not chucking drones about/abducting foreign nationals yet. America though, does such things regularly.


 whembly wrote:

Ketara... isn't the US's action really stems from that fact that we're practically the lone superpower at the moment?


Possibly. But the US need fear no serious retaliation by the opponents it has selected. You'll note that when Russia flexed over Southern Ossetia, America stayed well away from it. I severely doubt that if China started hosting Taliban, the US would start lobbing in drones as well.
I get the impression that the US Government respects military might past a certain level, and then when it faces something one that scale, it falls back on the same games we in Europe do ( namely hacking, and photographs).

The thing is though, acting in a high-handed manner and committing atrocities/causing deaths and mayhem simply because it's in your own interest and nobody can stop you? The ideals preached by America and believed in by the majority of its citizens are totally against such things. But the American Government works on the lines of some of the most ruthless Realpolitik I've ever seen.

I believe that the American populace is ill served by those it raises up.


China is a superpower


Hardly.

and it is now flexing its muscles, and the US is backing away.


Again, nope. If there's one thing the Americans are almost psychologically incapable of doing, it's backing away.

The Chinese dont vocalise things the same way as the Cold War adversaries did.


That's because the Chinese relations with the West are completely different to those of the Soviet Union. As are its goals.

China has been a superpower for awghile now, but until recently they prefered to hide and pretend they were not, mostly to keep America asleep,


Just...no. Chinese cultural psychology and form of Government the yhave is responsible for the way they behave. They're not sitting in chairs with white fluffy cats in secret underwater bases cackling and saying, 'Soon, those filthy Westerners will pay!'


some still are even now China is doing frankly very agrssive moves like claiming all ocean territory (and offshore resources) in the South China sea, regardless of who it actually belongs to in international law.


International law applies to those who dare not break it (as the US, and many others have frequently demonstrated over the years). But the Chinese are hardly subtle in this case.

Russia is still a nuclear superpower, if never an economic one


Theirt economic muscle has been rebuilding steadily for a while now. They're not the US, but not doing badly.

anytime they fancy playing hardball they can.


In what way? Militarily? Politically? Economically?


If anything whembly the NSA are flexing their muscles because the US has fewer muscles than it had


Again, hardly. The internet and modern technology is a godsend for intelligence. Now they don't just have to squint at satellite photography and hope they can get someone close enough to physically wiretap a phonline.

A bit like post war Britain in the early 50's.

Inaccurate.


Unlike the Uk America will remain powerful because of its natural size, but the US Empire days are drawing to their close very rapidly. It's China's world now.


No. Just no.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 15:10:55


Post by: Do_I_Not_Like_That


Everybody knows everybody spies on each other - the NSA have probably got guys spying on other NSA guys!

But the impression is that the NSA is out of control. I seriously doubt that Obama gave the go-ahead for spying on Merkel, but this wild west attitude amongst American intelligence is the problem. Whatever your views, Snowden was a low-level guy who was able to walk away with a ton of stuff. The consensus is that this could happen again because so many people and so many agencies have access to data.

I wish the NSA would find my missing phone before the battery goes!


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 15:30:51


Post by: Seaward


 Ketara wrote:
I can provide multiple examples of the US helping to overthrow democratically elected governments, we've just seen the US sending in small teams to abduct people in other nations in breach of law and correct protocol, the US has refused to sign many interesting and potentially good pieces of legislation brought before the UN, and I'm pretty certain that nobody can argue Guantanamo Bay is anything but 'acting with indifference towards its ideals'.

What laws are breached by sending special operations forces into Pakistan, Somalia, and Libya, out of curiosity?

The US has refused to sign most things brought up in the UN that would limit US sovereignty. That, hopefully, is something that will never change.

And as far as Gitmo goes...well, you want to compare it with others' attempts at similar set-ups? Guys captured in the field who aren't lawful combatants have come up in history before, and frequently they were simply executed. That's a far cry from what we're doing. And truly, we'd be happy to release quite a few of them, the problem is their countries of origin don't want them back.

The problem is that America claims that interfering with the entire world and its business, is in the American interest. Which is how a global superpower works(and indeed, is what makes it global). The British did it, and now you're following in our footsteps to an extent.

That's a bit of an exaggeration.

I'm hardly anti-war as a military historian!

I still think that the phrase 'war on terror' is a daft political phrase though, and was simply invented to justify hostile acts against whoever the American Government judges as being against them with a minimum amount of substantiation or evidence required. Labelling someone a 'terrorist' before dragging them off to waterboard them in a cell means that everybody knows they don't get human rights! Lobbing bombs at them and their families? We're at war on 'terror'! We don't need evidence in a courtroom before executing them!

'War on terror' excuses a multitude of sins(metaphorically speaking). It also means that you're not forced to confront what might have turned them into terrorists in the first place (in some cases, it turns out be things like having bombs lobbed at the house next door because the government said they were terrorists, and your sister got killed).

I don't know. I personally think it's rather doubtful that any but a very small minority of radicalization occurs due to drone strikes or whatever else. The twin terror of poverty and radical religion's the driving factor for most of your line grunts.

I'm not sure if it's that they're above such things. I'm not trying to paint our secret services as 'nicer' for a given value. It's entirely possible that if they could do the same, they would. But as things stand, they don't. Whether that's because they're not physically capable of it, because they hold foreign relations as more important, because they value human rights more, or whatnot, I don't know, wouldn't care to speculate, and think the reason would be different for each nation.

How do you know what all European NSA analogues are getting up to, is my point. All that we're finding out about PRISM and listening to Merkel trying to flog BMWs we're finding out solely because of Snowden.

All I can say, is that America regularly goes much further and is far more blase about these sort of things than anyone in Europe. Which is more or less the case and pretty self-evident to anyone who reads the news. As I said, we're not chucking drones about/abducting foreign nationals yet.

And that is, almost entirely, because we're doing it for you. We get an awful lot of information turned over to us from the Europeans, especially from the Brits, and they know precisely what we're doing with it. Collusion would be an accurate term, I think. There were plenty of SAS/SBS guys running around with the various HVT task forces in Iraq and Afghanistan, and I'd wager a guess - and it's officially a guess, NSA, nothing more - that there are plenty still doing so in the Horn of Africa and elsewhere.

I think standing back and claiming no part of it isn't accurate.



USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 16:13:54


Post by: Ketara


 Seaward wrote:

What laws are breached by sending special operations forces into Pakistan, Somalia, and Libya, out of curiosity?


Generally speaking, the countries in question have laws against being kidnapped. Be it by rapists, people traffickers, foreign powers or anybody else. And y'know, it being their country, those laws are in effect.

The US has refused to sign most things brought up in the UN that would limit US sovereignty. That, hopefully, is something that will never change.


Alright. How about the Kyoto protocol? If I recall, Bush pulled out at the very last second because it would increase the domestic power costs of the average US consumer by about 5%. And hacked off just about every other signatory in the process.

And as far as Gitmo goes...well, you want to compare it with others' attempts at similar set-ups? Guys captured in the field who aren't lawful combatants have come up in history before, and frequently they were simply executed. That's a far cry from what we're doing. And truly, we'd be happy to release quite a few of them, the problem is their countries of origin don't want them back.


Distraction.

Ketara wrote:when these things get caught and picked up upon by the international community, the average American response is, 'Eh. We're the good guys. Innocent people have nothing to fear/everyone else does the same thing/it helps keep us secure/It's necessary for our national security'.


The US is abducting and torturing people. What other people do or have done is neither here or there. The fact remains that America as is currently does this, and it is morally questionable at absolute best, and downright condemned by the American espoused sense of ethics at worst.


I don't know. I personally think it's rather doubtful that any but a very small minority of radicalization occurs due to drone strikes or whatever else. The twin terror of poverty and radical religion's the driving factor for most of your line grunts.


That was just a single example. The point I was attempting to drive home was that just labelling people 'terrorists' means that you don't have to consider why they might hate the US, or what might have driven them to it. You just put them in this nice little box marked 'enemy of the state', and lo and behold, you don't have to apply your own system of ethics/morality to them. You can torture them, shoot them, abduct them, kill their families around them, and that's all okay because you're engaged in a 'war on terror', and they are 'terrorists'. It's tapping into that very basic us vs them mentality all humans have. And it requires no justification/substantiation beyond the fact that you've delineated them as 'enemies'.


How do you know what all European NSA analogues are getting up to, is my point. All that we're finding out about PRISM and listening to Merkel trying to flog BMWs we're finding out solely because of Snowden.


I've deliberately not mentioned the latest NSA shennanigans in making my points here. Like I said, if France was running a Gitmo equivalent, we'd know about it. The fact is though, that they're not. And Russian soldiers aren't picking off 'terrorists' in Finland, and Britian did not lob drones into Pakistan.


And that is, almost entirely, because we're doing it for you.

No. Equivocation I'm afraid(from the perspective of Europe as a whole). You don't see many muslim terrorists blowing up parts of Switzerland to promote the Jihad. And I daresay if Gitmo got shut down and you stopped throwing drones into Pakistan, Switzerland would continue to not have muslim terrorists blowing things up.


We get an awful lot of information turned over to us from the Europeans, especially from the Brits,

Sure. We made the mistake of going into Iraq and Afghanistan, so like it or not, we're somewhat in the same boat now.

and they know precisely what we're doing with it. Collusion would be an accurate term, I think. There were plenty of SAS/SBS guys running around with the various HVT task forces in Iraq and Afghanistan, and I'd wager a guess - and it's officially a guess, NSA, nothing more - that there are plenty still doing so in the Horn of Africa and elsewhere.


If it turns out that the British have HVT squads abducting people and bringing them back to Britain, please show it to me. That would be something that I would rather disapprove of, and would probably write to my MP about.

To my knowledge though, America more or less calls the shots on those sorts of ops. And even if we just take the premise that Britain was doing exactly the same thing on every single score, and imagine a world where we also lob drones about and whatnot, at best that establishes moral equivalency in the mud.

I think standing back and claiming no part of it isn't accurate.


I'm not claiming no part. As I keep saying, everyone engages in these things to an extent. But America seems (judging by the news over the last few years) to take it further than anybody else does. Which is surprising, considering the values America usually claims to be upholding in the process.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 16:38:17


Post by: Seaward


 Ketara wrote:
Generally speaking, the countries in question have laws against being kidnapped. Be it by rapists, people traffickers, foreign powers or anybody else. And y'know, it being their country, those laws are in effect.

Ah, a shame. I was really hoping you'd point to international law.

Anyway, yes. I'm sure Somalia does have nominal laws against kidnapping. If you're functionally unable to police your own, however, it's not unreasonable to find someone else doing it for you.

Alright. How about the Kyoto protocol? If I recall, Bush pulled out at the very last second because it would increase the domestic power costs of the average US consumer by about 5%. And hacked off just about every other signatory in the process.

That's not at all how that went, no. Clinton signed it, but we didn't ratify it, because it never would have gotten through Congress. I'm also a little unsure what that has to do with world peace.

Distraction.

Hardly.

The US is abducting and torturing people. What other people do or have done is neither here or there. The fact remains that America is currently do this, and it is morally questionable at absolute best, and downright condemned by the American espoused sense of ethics at worst.

We're not torturing anybody. And as far as "abduction" goes, I haven't heard a proposed alternative. Pakistan harbored Osama bin Laden for years, and one of the many wonders of Wikileaks is the revelation of just how many Pakistani government officials knew about it for the majority of that time. Relying on local authorities in places like Pakistan, Somalia, Libya, Yemen, and Afghanistan to enforce their own laws against individuals that threaten the safety and security of the United States is not an option. We've tried it. It doesn't work.

That was just a single example. The point I was attempting to drive home was that just labelling people 'terrorists' means that you don't have to consider why they might hate the US, or what might have driven them to it. You just put them in this nice little box marked 'enemy of the state', and lo and behold, you don't have to apply your own system of ethics/morality to them. You can torture them, shoot them, abduct them, kill their families around them, and that's all okay because you're engaged in a 'war on terror', and they are 'terrorists'. It's tapping into that very basic us vs them mentality all humans have. And it requires no justification/substantiation beyond the fact that you've delineated them as 'enemies'.

I'm generally pretty indifferent to the argument that 9/11, or the thousands of attempts to kill Americans since, wouldn't have happened if only we understood the people responsible. You try and kill American civilians or service members, we're not going to simply let you amble about the world if we can help it. If you choose to utilize human shields in an attempt to deter retaliation, it's ultimately not going to work. I realize the image that gets portrayed is that we simply Hellfire anything moving regardless of the potential for non-combatant casualties, but I can tell you, from experience, that isn't the case.

I've deliberately not mentioned the latest NSA shennanigans in making my points here. Like I said, if France was running a Gitmo equivalent, we'd know about it. The fact is though, that they're not. And Russian soldiers aren't picking off 'terrorists' in Finland, and Britian did not lob drones into Pakistan.

Before using Russia as an example, you might want to consider Chechnya and South Ossetia. As far as Britain and France go...again, you're making some weird distinction between being the guys who say, "Hey, here's a target," and the guys who actually pull the trigger.

No. Equivocation I'm afraid(from the perspective of Europe as a whole). You don't see many muslim terrorists blowing up parts of Switzerland to promote the Jihad. And I daresay if Gitmo got shut down and you stopped throwing drones into Pakistan, Switzerland would continue to not have muslim terrorists blowing things up.

Pointing to a country that decided neutrality in the face of unquestioned evil was the way to go as an example to follow is pretty questionable. You're absolutely right, though, the Swiss won't have anybody blowing anything up in their cantons, because they'll happily allow atrocities to occur next door without ever considering lifting a finger to stop them. If the national equivalent of the guy who sees a pregnant woman getting beaten up across the street and keeps on walking is your ideal, fair enough, but it's not mine, and I doubt it's most Americans'.

If it turns out that the British have HVT squads abducting people and bringing them back to Britain, please show it to me. That would be something that I would rather disapprove of, and would probably write to my MP about.

Why would they bring them back to Britain? They turn them over to us. It works out better for everybody. We get what we want - intel - and the Brits get what they want - an illusory higher ground their citizens can occupy.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 17:03:22


Post by: Ketara


 Seaward wrote:

Ah, a shame. I was really hoping you'd point to international law.


I couldn't point to anything the US has signed about not abducting the citizens of other countries. Mainly because the US would never sign anything like that. Which was kind of one of the later points.

Anyway, yes. I'm sure Somalia does have nominal laws against kidnapping. If you're functionally unable to police your own, however, it's not unreasonable to find someone else doing it for you.


'Police your own'. As in, 'if you're unable to stop people America thinks you should be stopping, it's not unreasonable to send our military in to do whatever we like'.

Alright. How about the Kyoto protocol? If I recall, Bush pulled out at the very last second because it would increase the domestic power costs of the average US consumer by about 5%. And hacked off just about every other signatory in the process.

That's not at all how that went, no. Clinton signed it, but we didn't ratify it, because it never would have gotten through Congress. I'm also a little unsure what that has to do with world peace.


George Bush, 2005 wrote:"Kyoto would have wrecked our economy. I couldn't in good faith have signed Kyoto,"



We're not torturing anybody.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guantanamo_Bay_detention_camp#Torture


And as far as "abduction" goes, I haven't heard a proposed alternative.


Do what everybody else does, and accept that 'being designated a threat to the US by the US' is not an offence on the soil of another country?

Pakistan harbored Osama bin Laden for years, and one of the many wonders of Wikileaks is the revelation of just how many Pakistani government officials knew about it for the majority of that time. Relying on local authorities in places like Pakistan, Somalia, Libya, Yemen, and Afghanistan to enforce their own laws against individuals that threaten the safety and security of the United States is not an option. We've tried it. It doesn't work.


This is the thing I'm talking about though. The US Government arbitrarily decides that somebody else somewhere else on the globe is a threat. And so they send in the military to kill/abduct them. There is no courtroom, no respect of the sovereignty of other nations, and no respect for their laws either. Unless those countries possess the military power to be able to fight off US incursions, the US ignores them, their laws, and their mandates. Conveniently though, American laws and rights (the constitution), are also deemed to not apply.


I'm generally pretty indifferent to the argument that 9/11, or the thousands of attempts to kill Americans since, wouldn't have happened if only we understood the people responsible.


The thing is, the US has been meddling in the Middle East, and metaphorically kicking down doors and burning bridges there in pursuit of its own self-interest for the last sixty years. 9/11 wasn't a single nutter, it was a culmination of consequences from earlier foreign policy. \And the bizare thing is that the US continues the same policy that continually spawns more enemies. And then the US shrugs its shoulders and wonders why people dislike them in the Middle-East.

You try and kill American civilians or service members, we're not going to simply let you amble about the world if we can help it.

Even if the reason they hate America is because a) America upheld a government that killed their relatives, b) was a citizen in a country invaded by the US, c) their relatives were killed by the US military, and so on. So you take out the next guy, and then his son hates you as well. It's a vicious never-ending self-perpetuating cycle.

If you choose to utilize human shields in an attempt to deter retaliation,

aka, you're a civilian living in an area with civilians

it's ultimately not going to work.

Because the US genuinely doesn't overly care if they kill civilians in taking you out. They just say, 'Anyone standing within ten foot must also have been an enemy of the US! And a terrorist! And a threat!

I realize the image that gets portrayed is that we simply Hellfire anything moving regardless of the potential for non-combatant casualties, but I can tell you, from experience, that isn't the case.


If Osama Bin Laden had been standing surrounded by a hundred innocent virgins, the US would have gladly blown up every last one to get him too. Although on that front, I'm a bit more understanding. It is Osama after all, and he occupies a unique space in American psychology.

I'm not actually claiming that you guys just sit in a control room high fiving each other and drinking kool-aid whilst piloting drones about and killing civilians. But if there's a guy you reckon is an important chap you need to kill, the US military does have a habit of going, 'Oh well.' and killing his entire family and everyone in the three houses next to them.

Unfortunately, that ties into the cycle mentioned above,



Before using Russia as an example, you might want to consider Chechnya and South Ossetia. As far as Britain and France go...again, you're making some weird distinction between being the guys who say, "Hey, here's a target," and the guys who actually pull the trigger.


I tell you where someone is you want to kill. You kill him.

I mean, sure, its morally questionable on one side. But as I keep saying, we do all do the same stuff to an extent, and have never denied it. America just goes slightly further than everybody else does, and tries to tell everyone that they're the good guys for doing it (even though they're totally motivated by self interest).

Pointing to a country that decided neutrality in the face of unquestioned evil was the way to go as an example to follow is pretty questionable. You're absolutely right, though, the Swiss won't have anybody blowing anything up in their cantons, because they'll happily allow atrocities to occur next door without ever considering lifting a finger to stop them. If the national equivalent of the guy who sees a pregnant woman getting beaten up across the street and keeps on walking is your ideal, fair enough, but it's not mine, and I doubt it's most Americans'.


Sure. But since when has american foreign policy ever been to stop atrocities? Mugabe is still around last I looked, along with many other dictators. And a lot of dictators live off US aid and support. This is the whole, 'We're the good guys' mentality I'm talking about. The US regularly help support people who quite happily kill and oppress other people. They run on realpolitik. America is perfectly happy to kick back and watch atrocities, so long as it doesn't impinge on their interests. Just like everybody else.


If it turns out that the British have HVT squads abducting people and bringing them back to Britain, please show it to me. That would be something that I would rather disapprove of, and would probably write to my MP about.

Why would they bring them back to Britain? They turn them over to us. It works out better for everybody. We get what we want - intel - and the Brits get what they want - an illusory higher ground their citizens can occupy.


That's the bizare thing I'm commenting on though. Because the illusory higher ground seems to be the one the US consistently attempts to colonise, when committing acts of a very interesting moral calibre.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 17:04:48


Post by: Dreadclaw69


In principle it goes against what allies and democracies stand for, and violates trust between partners.

In practical terms it is business as usual. Everyone spies on everyone else because that's what intelligence agencies do. They want to know what their enemies are planning, and they want to know whether what their allies are doing are in line with their own interests.

The only reason that this is getting any reaction from the political leaders of other countries is because of the media attention. Soon it'll be business as usual.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 17:29:40


Post by: Allod


 Seaward wrote:

Ah, a shame. I was really hoping you'd point to international law.


Which would have been your hope because...?

We're not torturing anybody.


Ketara probably forgot that torture is not torture if you call it "enhanced interrogation techniques". That silly Brit!

And as far as "abduction" goes, I haven't heard a proposed alternative. Pakistan harbored Osama bin Laden for years, and one of the many wonders of Wikileaks is the revelation of just how many Pakistani government officials knew about it for the majority of that time. Relying on local authorities in places like Pakistan, Somalia, Libya, Yemen, and Afghanistan to enforce their own laws against individuals that threaten the safety and security of the United States is not an option. We've tried it. It doesn't work.


This is actually a point that I can buy. Still, that doesn't make it legal, even if it might be the "right" thing to do from your perspective.

All in all: If the US want to be pragmatic, they should be pragmatic, it's certainly not the worst attitude in the world. But claiming that all the US does is legally sound is exactly the kind of hypocrisy Ketara mentioned before. Accept the heroic vigilante role and be done with it.




USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 17:32:54


Post by: Seaward


 Ketara wrote:
I couldn't point to anything the US has signed about not abducting the citizens of other countries. Mainly because the US would never sign anything like that. Which was kind of one of the later points.

We've signed quite a few extradition treaties. The problem is that they generally require the national government in question to be functionally capable of enforcing its own laws.

'Police your own'. As in, 'if you're unable to stop people America thinks you should be stopping, it's not unreasonable to send our military in to do whatever we like'.

No. As in, "If you're unable to stop your citizens from committing acts of terrorism against us, we will utilize extraordinarily limited, precise-as-possible force." Should someone be free to plant bombs all over London as often as they like simply because the 'government' of Somalia is incapable of stopping them? Your argument in that scenario is that Britain has to just keep on letting them do it.

"Kyoto would have wrecked our economy. I couldn't in good faith have signed Kyoto,"

Yes. He didn't support it, but it was signed long before he took office. That's why he's speaking in the past tense.


Oh, well then it must be true. It also turns out I was tortured. Who knew?

Do what everybody else does, and accept that 'being designated a threat to the US by the US' is not an offence on the soil of another country?

And again we're back to, "Sorry, Yemen doesn't care that this dude planned a terror campaign, Britain. You just have to suck it up."

This is the thing I'm talking about though. The US Government arbitrarily decides that somebody else somewhere else on the globe is a threat.

No. It's not arbitrary. We don't pick names out of a hat. We don't open up the local phone book.

And so they send in the military to kill/abduct them. There is no courtroom, no respect of the sovereignty of other nations, and no respect for their laws either. Unless those countries possess the military power to be able to fight off US incursions, the US ignores them, their laws, and their mandates. Conveniently though, American laws and rights (the constitution), are also deemed to not apply.

Because American laws do not, in fact, apply outside of America.

The thing is, the US has been meddling in the Middle East, and metaphorically kicking down doors and burning bridges there in pursuit of its own self-interest for the last sixty years. 9/11 wasn't a single nutter, it was a culmination of consequences from earlier foreign policy. \And the bizare thing is that the US continues the same policy that continually spawns more enemies. And then the US shrugs its shoulders and wonders why people dislike them in the Middle-East.

And we're back to the assertion that the root of all radicalization is drone strikes, without any merit. Islamic radicalism is nothing new. It didn't start with the United States.

Even if the reason they hate America is because a) America upheld a government that killed their relatives, b) was a citizen in a country invaded by the US, c) their relatives were killed by the US military, and so on. So you take out the next guy, and then his son hates you as well. It's a vicious never-ending self-perpetuating cycle.

I'd buy that if there was any evidence to show that took place on a widespread scale. There isn't.

Because the US genuinely doesn't overly care if they kill civilians in taking you out. They just say, 'Anyone standing within ten foot must also have been an enemy of the US! And a terrorist! And a threat!

There's really no way I can respond genuinely to this without getting banned. So I'll simply say you're wrong, and have trod well over the line into accusing me and a hell of a lot of guys like me of not giving a gak as to what they throw ordnance at. You're going to want to rethink that tack.

If Osama Bin Laden had been standing surrounded by a hundred innocent virgins, the US would have gladly blown up every last one to get him too.

Pretty strange that we sent in a team to get him rather than just bombing the house then, huh? Would have been a hell of a lot easier to just strike the place.

I'm not actually claiming that you guys just sit in a control room high fiving each other and drinking kool-aid whilst piloting drones about and killing civilians. But if there's a guy you reckon is an important chap you need to kill, the US military does have a habit of going, 'Oh well.' and killing his entire family and everyone in the three houses next to them.

And you know this from...what, exactly? Plenty of sorties flown? Extensive work in Predator Bay?

I tell you where someone is you want to kill. You kill him.

No. You want to kill him, too.

Sure. But since when has american foreign policy ever been to stop atrocities?

The former Yugoslavia, Haiti, Somalia, and Libya spring readily to mind.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 17:33:45


Post by: strybjorn Grimskull


USA, spying, never.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 17:36:03


Post by: Dreadclaw69


 Da Boss wrote:
Meh. Though my flag is German, the only people who ever spy on my home country are the British, and that's because we kept putting bombs in all their bins.

And under their cars, and on their buses, and in their shopping malls. and their hotels, and there are some occasionally thrown at Police and Security Services. I'm probably missing a few though


Automatically Appended Next Post:
 Ketara wrote:
The British, despite having been deployed in Afghanistan alongside the US, have yet to resort to lobbing drone bombs over at people they spot through satellite images.

Because using a drone just isn't sporting old chap.....
http://dronewars.net/uk-drone-strike-list/
UK drone strikes in our list: 113 (112 from RAF operation updates; 1 reported by Guardian/ISAF)
Total UK drone strikes at 31/10/12 according to MoD: 349


http://dronewars.net/2012/02/29/uk-drone-strikes-peaking-behind-the-curtain/
Total UN drone strikes at 29 February 2012 248


http://dronewars.net/uk-drone-strike-list-2/
Total UK drone strikes at 31/10/12 according to MoD: 349



Automatically Appended Next Post:
 Ketara wrote:
If Osama Bin Laden had been standing surrounded by a hundred innocent virgins, the US would have gladly blown up every last one to get him too. Although on that front, I'm a bit more understanding. It is Osama after all, and he occupies a unique space in American psychology

And yet after learning where Bin Laden was the US sent in SEAL Team Six on a risky cross border operation rather than flatten his compound with precision munitions that Pakistan would have been unable to intercept


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 18:06:43


Post by: Ketara


 Seaward wrote:

We've signed quite a few extradition treaties. The problem is that they generally require the national government in question to be functionally capable of enforcing its own laws.


There was no extradition treaty between Libya and the US.

No. As in, "If you're unable to stop your citizens from committing acts of terrorism against us, we will utilize extraordinarily limited, precise-as-possible force." Should someone be free to plant bombs all over London as often as they like simply because the 'government' of Somalia is incapable of stopping them? Your argument in that scenario is that Britain has to just keep on letting them do it.


It happened. It was called the IRA. Notably, we did not invade Ireland.

"Kyoto would have wrecked our economy. I couldn't in good faith have signed Kyoto,"

Yes. He didn't support it, but it was signed long before he took office. That's why he's speaking in the past tense.


Ah, fair does. Just dug a bit deeper. Fair enough.

Nevertheless, the point stands. Bush pulled out of Kyoto in 2001, four years before it was about to come into force. Because he felt it would damage American interests (and his possibility of re-election).


Oh, well then it must be true. It also turns out I was tortured. Who knew?


.....So please clarify this for me. Are you saying that inmates are Guantanamo Bay are treated humanely and fairly, and nothing that could be considered to be abuse or torture takes place there?


And again we're back to, "Sorry, Yemen doesn't care that this dude planned a terror campaign, Britain. You just have to suck it up."


You'll note we didn't send in the bombers to Dublin.


No. It's not arbitrary. We don't pick names out of a hat. We don't open up the local phone book.


Arbitrary
adjective
1.
based on random choice or personal whim, rather than any reason or system.
"an arbitrary decision"
2.
(of power or a ruling body) unrestrained and autocratic in the use of authority.


I meant the second one.


Because American laws do not, in fact, apply outside of America


Like I said, conveniently. So the US says that US laws do not apply because they're not in America. And local laws don't apply, just because.

Whelp. Nice to know how easy it is for me as a foreign national to lose all human rights in the eyes of the US Government.


And we're back to the assertion that the root of all radicalization is drone strikes, without any merit. Islamic radicalism is nothing new. It didn't start with the United States.


That is not even remotely close to what I said. I did not specify drone strikes, nor Islamic radicalism beginning with the US. Read again:

The thing is, the US has been meddling in the Middle East, and metaphorically kicking down doors and burning bridges there in pursuit of its own self-interest for the last sixty years. 9/11 wasn't a single nutter, it was a culmination of consequences from earlier foreign policy. \And the bizare thing is that the US continues the same policy that continually spawns more enemies. And then the US shrugs its shoulders and wonders why people dislike them in the Middle-East.


See the complete disconnect with the answer you gave?


I'd buy that if there was any evidence to show that took place on a widespread scale. There isn't.


Mate, human beliefs tend to have causes. People aren't born hating the US. They're not raised hating the US just for fun. There are root causes, and being a muslim is not one of them usually. There's no chapter in Q'uran saying, 'America sucks, you must oppose them at every turn'. And even if there was, 99.9% of muslims would ignore it, like most Christians do Leviticus's statement on mixed fabrics.

You will get nutters, but a lot of people across the middle-east have been disenfranchised by America and its actions there.


There's really no way I can respond genuinely to this without getting banned. So I'll simply say you're wrong, and have trod well over the line into accusing me and a hell of a lot of guys like me of not giving a gak as to what they throw ordnance at. You're going to want to rethink that tack.


Read closer. I'm not throwing it at the pilots. Or even the army in general. More at the justification the US Government as a whole gives for killing people out there, and their seeming response to the continual (and they crop up pretty regularly) reports of civilian casualties from drone strikes.


Pretty strange that we sent in a team to get him rather than just bombing the house then, huh? Would have been a hell of a lot easier to just strike the place.


I did actually read an account from one of the chaps instrumental in deciding that one, and he basically said it was actually considered, but if they just did that, they thought it would a) mean they would never be 100% sure, b) lead other people to announce they hadn't got him, and c) not look nearly as good to the American public.


And you know this from...what, exactly? Plenty of sorties flown? Extensive work in Predator Bay?


Those sources available for public consumption, naturally. I could be wrong. But I recall reading a statement from one US official about how terrorists are bound to have their families and friends close by, and the US can't allow such considerations to deter them from taking action.

I tell you where someone is you want to kill. You kill him.

No. You want to kill him, too.


Alright. Is intent equivalent to doing the deed?

Sure. But since when has american foreign policy ever been to stop atrocities?

The former Yugoslavia, Haiti, Somalia, and Libya spring readily to mind.


No. Those were atrocities it was politically expedient for the US to try and stop. That does not make it american foreign policy.


Seaward, I'm not saying the things I'm saying out of some irrational hatred for the states or any such. I'm genuinely sorry if my views might upset or offend you, as that's really not my intent here. I'm just defending my perception of American foreign policy over the last fifty odd years, and as you can see, I do believe I can substantiate it.

And Dreadclaw? You'll note those drone strikes were targeted within Afghanistan, which is an active combat zone. I would personally judge that acceptable in an area on a war footing. You can also scroll down, and you'll see the majority of them are identified in hostile acts, and if there is a risk of civilian casualties, we choose not to take the shot.

However, as I'm a consistent man, if you can link me to an American set of similar reports, then I would judge those acceptable as well. I would still be shaky on the ones fired into Pakistan, as that is a separate sovereign territory.


EDIT:-

This, in a nutshell, with the insertion of 'and morally right' after 'legally sound'.

 Allod wrote:


All in all: If the US want to be pragmatic, they should be pragmatic, it's certainly not the worst attitude in the world. But claiming that all the US does is legally sound is exactly the kind of hypocrisy Ketara mentioned before. Accept the heroic vigilante role and be done with it.



USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 18:42:59


Post by: Seaward


 Ketara wrote:
There was no extradition treaty between Libya and the US.

Indeed. Which limits the choice to, "do nothing, and allow the targeted individual to continue to wage a terror campaign," or "go in and get him." You'd opt for the former. I'd opt for the latter.

It happened. It was called the IRA. Notably, we did not invade Ireland.

You did not. You certainly didn't scrupulously avoid doing anything at all someone else in the world might care to criticize, though, did you? You were also dealing with a state that had a functional government capable of actually detaining terrorists when given proof of their activities.

Ah, fair does. Just dug a bit deeper. Fair enough.

Nevertheless, the point stands. Bush pulled out of Kyoto in 2001, four years before it was about to come into force. Because he felt it would damage American interests (and his possibility of re-election).

No. He didn't pull out of Kyoto, because we were never in Kyoto. Clinton signed it, but it was never ratified.

.....So please clarify this for me. Are you saying that inmates are Guantanamo Bay are treated humanely and fairly, and nothing that could be considered to be abuse or torture takes place there.

Nothing I'd consider torture, no.


You'll note we didn't send in the bombers to Dublin.

See above.

Whelp. Nice to know how easy it is for me as a foreign national to lose all human rights in the eyes of the US Government.

It would be remarkably difficult.


And we're back to the assertion that the root of all radicalization is drone strikes, without any merit. Islamic radicalism is nothing new. It didn't start with the United States.


That is not even remotely close to what I said. I did not specify drone strikes, nor Islamic radicalism beginning with the US. Read again:

Mate, human beliefs tend to have causes. People aren't born hating the US. They're not raised hating the US just for fun. There are root causes, and being a muslim is not one of them usually. There's no chapter in Q'uran saying, 'America sucks, you must oppose them at every turn'. And even if there was, 99.9% of muslims would ignore it, like most Christians do Leviticus's statement on mixed fabrics.

So what you're actually advocating is complete disengagement from the Middle East. American military presence, American corporate presence, American investment, American alliance with Israel - all of it, gone. Because that's the demand.

Beliefs have causes, indeed. When you have a core of radicalized individuals who have a poverty-stricken, frequently ill-informed populace to recruit from, backed by a twisted interpretation of a religion, it's not terribly difficult to find people willing to commit atrocities for the cause. The assumption that it all leads back to America is based on the notion that the movement is rational, that it has no wider goals beyond simple vengeance for perceived crimes. That's not how it works.

Read closer. I'm not throwing it at the pilots. Or even the army in general. More at the justification the US Government as a whole gives for killing people out there, and their seeming response to the continual (and they crop up pretty regularly) reports of civilian casualties from drone strikes.

Those sources available for public consumption, naturally. I could be wrong. But I recall reading a statement from one US official about how terrorists are bound to have their families and friends close by, and the US can't allow such considerations to deter them from taking action.

Because we cannot. You cannot commit acts of terrorism consequence-free simply because you hang out around your wife.

The key point, however, is that incidental casualties are minimized as much as possible because, contrary to your assertion, it's not our policy to kill any number of people we choose on a given day.

If nothing else, this conversation's really helping me understand Israeli frustration. If some nutbag sets up a missile battery on top of his house and starts lobbing gak into my neighborhood, I can't bomb it, because you'll scream bloody murder about civilian casualties. I can't go in and get just him, because then you'll scream bloody murder about illegal abductions.

Alright. Is intent equivalent to doing the deed?

That's a remarkably fine hair you're splitting. Jim and Bob both want Steve dead. Jim finds Steve and then tells Bob where he is so Bob can kill him. Jim is somehow morally superior.

No. Those were atrocities it was politically expedient for the US to try and stop. That does not make it american foreign policy.

It does. That we cannot stop them all is an unfortunate reality. Conflict fatigue sets in just as easily here as elsewhere. Triage is required.

Seaward, I'm not saying the things I'm saying out of some irrational hatred for the states or any such. I'm genuinely sorry if my views might upset or offend you, as that's really not my intent here. I'm just defending my perception of American foreign policy over the last fifty odd years, and as you can see, I do believe I can substantiate it.

There's a Tom Hanks movie coming out at some point called Captain Phillips. It's about the hijacking of the Maersk Alabama by Somali pirates that famously ended when a couple SEALs shot some of said Somalis. These were Somali citizens in, if memory serves, Somali waters at the time, killed by the American military in order to preserve the life of an American citizen. They weren't given a trial. The Somali government was incapable of resolving the situation.

The reason I bring it up is because nobody said that the violation of Somali sovereignty was intolerable, that the pirates' human rights were violated, or that we brought it on ourselves by sailing a boat around the Horn. I'd be curious if you thought any of that, though. Maybe one of these guys' dads caught a bullet in Mogadishu during Gothic Serpent. Maybe we should have let the Somali government handle it. Maybe we shouldn't have intervened and just tried to arrest them when they set foot in the States.

I certainly don't think so.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/26 19:23:42


Post by: Ketara


 Seaward wrote:

Indeed. Which limits the choice to, "do nothing, and allow the targeted individual to continue to wage a terror campaign," or "go in and get him." You'd opt for the former. I'd opt for the latter.


It's remarkably difficult to wage a terror campaign against someone from a country. Unless you're a computer hacker.

What most countries do in such a situation Seaward, is simply wait for them to emerge from their hidey-hole, and put pressure on the local government to do something. If the local government refuses, then that action has diplomatic ramifications. The US alternatively, sends in special forces to kick his door down.

That's the difference I'm talking about, when it comes to European nations and America.

You did not. You certainly didn't scrupulously avoid doing anything at all someone else in the world might care to criticize, though, did you? You were also dealing with a state that had a functional government capable of actually detaining terrorists when given proof of their activities.


Being capable of it does not indicate being willing, alas.

http://www.victims.org.uk/extradition.html

I would also postulate that the offences committed by the IRA were infinitely more numerous and widespreadthan those committed by muslims against the US, and the threat level comparatively greater.

Make no mistake, we were engaged in a siege with terrorists on our home soil there. Like with Pakistan and the Taliban, the enemy kept dodging over the border to get home.

And yet we refrained from declaring war on the Republic of Ireland. Or lobbing bombs over it.

No. He didn't pull out of Kyoto, because we were never in Kyoto. Clinton signed it, but it was never ratified.


Okay. Dragging the point laboriously backward, I was merely pointing out the US often does not participate in globally beneficial initiatives, to which you responded about ones that infringed on US Sovereignty. I provioded Kyoto as an example of one that did not do so in any way, shape, or form.

.....So please clarify this for me. Are you saying that inmates are Guantanamo Bay are treated humanely and fairly, and nothing that could be considered to be abuse or torture takes place there.

Nothing I'd consider torture, no.


Okay. I disagree. We'll leave that one there I think.

Whelp. Nice to know how easy it is for me as a foreign national to lose all human rights in the eyes of the US Government.

It would be remarkably difficult.


I don't know. I seem to remember a Mr McKinnon.


Beliefs have causes, indeed. When you have a core of radicalized individuals who have a poverty-stricken, frequently ill-informed populace to recruit from, backed by a twisted interpretation of a religion, it's not terribly difficult to find people willing to commit atrocities for the cause. The assumption that it all leads back to America is based on the notion that the movement is rational, that it has no wider goals beyond simple vengeance for perceived crimes. That's not how it works.


It's easier to hate America when America wades into the Middle-East every ten years, removing countries, backing dictators, supports Israel, and generally stomps around doing whatever it likes.

Because we cannot. You cannot commit acts of terrorism consequence-free simply because you hang out around your wife.


Reading those drone strikes giving by dreadclaw, the British strikes seem to operate under a different principle for the most part.

The key point, however, is that incidental casualties are minimized as much as possible because, contrary to your assertion, it's not our policy to kill any number of people we choose on a given day.


If that's the impression I gave, that wasn't what I intended.

I believe that the US does not want civilian casualties on the whole. They cause problems. But ultimately, when it gets down to it, there's a tipping point for the US. If there's a terrorist they really want, and he's surrounded by fifteen other people who's occupations/motivations are uncertain, the US will ultimately go for it and nail him. They'd rather not kill others. They might even watch him for a bit first, to wait for him to move to a less populated area. But if they think they might lose him, and they want him badly enough? They'll suck up the civilian casualties as collateral damage.

If that's incorrect, then please educate me otherwise. I'd like to be wrong. But that's the impression I have.

If nothing else, this conversation's really helping me understand Israeli frustration. If some nutbag sets up a missile battery on top of his house and starts lobbing gak into my neighborhood, I can't bomb it, because you'll scream bloody murder about civilian casualties. I can't go in and get just him, because then you'll scream bloody murder about illegal abductions.


Horribly unfair isn't it?

Truthfully, if there's a chap taking potshots at a passing copter, nail the fecker. But if he's sitting at home in another country? I don't believe you can justify the civilian casualties when he's currently not an active threat.

That's a remarkably fine hair you're splitting. Jim and Bob both want Steve dead. Jim finds Steve and then tells Bob where he is so Bob can kill him. Jim is somehow morally superior.


Hardly fine. In a court of law, intent does not equal the deed. Collusion, perhaps. But even then, let's expand the analogy to make it more accurate.

Jim and Bob want Steve dead. Jim finds Steve and then tells Bob where he is so Bob can kill him. Bob finds Steve there, and whilst killing him, also kills Kate, Dianne, Paul, Pete, and Kim.

So. Jim colluded in Steve's death. Is he also responsible for the deaths of everyone else?

It does. That we cannot stop them all is an unfortunate reality. Conflict fatigue sets in just as easily here as elsewhere. Triage is required.


Sorry. US foreign policy is not based on goodwill to all men. Here's one historical example, others can be provided:-

In an explosive report released on February 25 by the United Nations' Historical Clarification Commission (CEH), the US government and several American corporations were accused of complicity in the genocide of nearly 200,000 Mayan people during Guatemala's bloody 36-year civil war.

The final 3,600-page CEH report clearly places the blame for most of the 200,000 deaths on the "racist" policy of the Guatemalan government and holds the country's military and paramilitary forces responsible for the actual killings, tortures and disappearances. However, it accuses the US of directly and indirectly supporting a "fratricidal confrontation" by providing sustained training, arms and financial aid. The US role peaked in the 1981-1983 period, but did not end until the peace accords were signed in 1996.

The report is based on the testimony of 9,200 people from all sides of the conflict. The three commission members had an international staff of 272 workers, who spent 18 months assembling the report and who made extensive use of declassified US documents. The CEH investigated 42,000 human rights violations, 29,000 of which resulted in deaths or disappearances.......

The US Role

Commission chairman Christian Tomuschat, a respected German lawyer and human rights expert, stated that the US was responsible for much of the bloodshed. "The United States government and US private companies exercised pressure to maintain the country's archaic and unjust socioeconomic structure." He noted that the CIA and other US agencies "lent direct and indirect support to some illegal state operations." The support consisted of advising, training, arming and financing the overall operation.

The commission listed the American training of the Guatemalan officer corps in counter-insurgency techniques, including torture, as a key factor "which had a significant bearing on human rights violations during the armed confrontation." The US Army School of the Americas (SOA) in Fort Benning, Georgia, was singled out for its role.

Specifically named was Guatemalan Military Intelligence (Ml) as the primary organizer of illegal detentions, torture, forced disappearances and executions. The report noted that most Ml officers were graduates of the SOA and maintained close and frequent contact with their US counterparts.........



There's a Tom Hanks movie coming out at some point called Captain Phillips. It's about the hijacking of the Maersk Alabama by Somali pirates that famously ended when a couple SEALs shot some of said Somalis. These were Somali citizens in, if memory serves, Somali waters at the time, killed by the American military in order to preserve the life of an American citizen. They weren't given a trial. The Somali government was incapable of resolving the situation.

The reason I bring it up is because nobody said that the violation of Somali sovereignty was intolerable, that the pirates' human rights were violated, or that we brought it on ourselves by sailing a boat around the Horn. I'd be curious if you thought any of that, though. Maybe one of these guys' dads caught a bullet in Mogadishu during Gothic Serpent. Maybe we should have let the Somali government handle it. Maybe we shouldn't have intervened and just tried to arrest them when they set foot in the States.

I certainly don't think so.


See, Somalia is a country where there basically is no government. I suppose you could argue southern Pakistan is the same. Certainly I'd have some sympathy for such a perspective. And if it could be shown that drone strikes were used only in such areas with maximum restraint, I could be brought around to thinking that it would be justifiable.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/27 09:49:56


Post by: Haight


 Ketara wrote:


It happened. It was called the IRA. Notably, we did not invade Ireland.








.....So please clarify this for me. Are you saying that inmates are Guantanamo Bay are treated humanely and fairly, and nothing that could be considered to be abuse or torture takes place there?



No, you didn't invade. You did set up kangaroo courts and prisons with prisoner of war camp like conditions. Does the Long Kesh detention facility (aka: The Maze) ring a bell ? Easy on the high and mightyness. Your nation has dirty laundry too.

For those that aren't up on their Irish revolutionary history, the Long Kesh was the british version of Guantanamo, where special cell blocks were built to hold IRA and other political dissidents. It was known for it's brutal conditions, guards, and being an all around fairly decent comparison to Hell on Earth.

It was the same place that was responsible for sparking the Bobby Sands Hunger Strike, where ten people eventually starved themselves to death over the conditions of the prison.




You'll note we didn't send in the bombers to Dublin.



Bomb ? No. Shoot 26 unarmed protesters ? Yes. Again, your credibility on the whole IRA front as a shining example of British restraint is highly questionable.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bloody_Sunday_%281972%29

Note, five victims shot in the back. As in, were running away, or not facing their attackers.

I could literally spend ten minutes and link you several dozen more examples. It's well known that in the 1970's and 80's, torture of known and suspected IRA members and affiliates was not only commonplace, but encouraged. Ten seconds of google searching brings up a half dozen examples of news articles proving the same.


Britain has just as checkered a history of dealing with terrorism as the United States does. Easy on your righteous indignation.





USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/27 14:09:22


Post by: Ketara


My dear Haight, why stop there? One could also go back to the Boer War, if we really want to pull out all the stops in trying to misdirect the issue. You could even invoke Godwin's Law!

these things get caught and picked up upon by the international community, the average American response is, 'Eh. We're the good guys. Innocent people have nothing to fear/everyone else does the same thing/it helps keep us secure/It's necessary for our national security'.


I mean, heaven forbid one should actually pay attention to the context I might have used those examples (psst. It wasn't re Guantanamo Bay).

Seaward wrote:No. As in, "If you're unable to stop your citizens from committing acts of terrorism against us, we will utilize extraordinarily limited, precise-as-possible force." Should someone be free to plant bombs all over London as often as they like simply because the 'government' of Somalia is incapable of stopping them? Your argument in that scenario is that Britain has to just keep on letting them do it.


Ketara wrote:It happened. It was called the IRA. Notably, we did not invade Ireland.


Note that the issue in which the IRA example was used, was to refer to foreign terrorists fleeing across the border into another country and you running into legal difficulties with regards to extracting them.

Haight wrote:No, you didn't invade. You did set up kangaroo courts and prisons with prisoner of war camp like conditions.


This answer refers to domestic issues and responses. And is very heavily rooted in the 'NO U SUK' camp of responses, if slightly more eloquently. Guantanamo is not populated with people seized within US borders, and the British didn't particularly kidnap IRA members across the Middle East to bring them to Long Kesh.

The IRA was a long and convoluted issue. I think the British acted abominably in some cases, understandably in others, and abominably understandably in others still. By all means, bring them up if you're going to argue a point properly. But if you're just planning on wading in and dropping, 'You did torture once too! You're just as bad as we are, so shut up!' then okay. Point taken on board, and it will be duly thrown over the side as soon as the ship leaves harbour.

If you want to argue it sensibly, you'll see from my last response on Seaward's point about Pakistan was amicable, thoughtful, and I showed that I am willing to be talked around if logic and examples can be provided. Some things he and me will probably not agree on, such is the way of things. But reasoned discussion is never wasted. Whilst I might not agree with some things he says, the fact that he can put his views across articulately and defend them means that I will at the very least listen to, and respect those opinions. I'm more than happy to engage with you in the some way, but please, don't start pulling points out of context, or I just won't bother.




USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/27 19:02:38


Post by: Haight


If Britain's response to the IRA is a domestic issue, how is it Amerca's response to 9/11 was not ?

Not that agree with that logic, but that's essentially what you are arguing with your IRA comments. That's my point.

I mostly agree with you on your side of the issue, mind you, but your IRA examples are just flatly, absolutely, dead wrong.


Also you say Long Kesh wasn't like Guantanamo bay. Many, many people would argue differently. The Long Kesh H Blocks were studied as a possible example to emulate when determining where and how to house the people that would eventually become the gitmo prisoners. It's as brutal a prison example as you can offer in modern penology of the last 50-75 years in a western democratic country.

People sent there with absolutely no evidence tying them to the IRA, but domestic intelligence agencies knew them to be - like Sands. He was imprisoned on possession of a firearm. This would normally not land you in the highest security block of a prison known to be a place to stick political prisoners and terrorists - it was the British "Troubles" version of Chateau D'if.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/27 19:31:45


Post by: Ketara


 Haight wrote:
If Britain's response to the IRA is a domestic issue, how is it Amerca's response to 9/11 was not ?

Not that agree with that logic, but that's essentially what you are arguing with your IRA comments. That's my point.


Your point is incorrect, as I am arguing no such thing. To reiterate, with a slight modification to help with clarity:

Note that the issue in which the IRA example was used, was to refer to foreign terrorists fleeing across the border into another country and America running into legal difficulties with regards to extracting them.


I am not comparing it to Guantanamo Bay. Nor to 9/11. I'm using it as a point of comparison for abducting terrorists hiding out in Libya, or Taliban fleeing across the border to bases in Pakistan. Because the IRA used to have bases across the border in the Republic of Ireland, and like in Pakistan, the local Government was less than keen to confront the problem, and often supported the terrorists is several subtle ways.

As a result, I am comparing the American response to that scenario (namely lobbing missiles over the border or sending in teams to abduct people), to the British response to that problem (basically leaving them alone once they're over the border). Long Kesh is really ultimately neither here nor there, and I'm really quite uncertain as to why you keep bringing it up. It's about as relevant as the treatment of prisoners in the Boer War as regards the point that I was making.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/27 19:34:06


Post by: AlmightyWalrus


 Haight wrote:
If Britain's response to the IRA is a domestic issue, how is it Amerca's response to 9/11 was not ?

Not that agree with that logic, but that's essentially what you are arguing with your IRA comments. That's my point.


9/11wasn't perpetrated by US nationals and wasn't a continuous attack by people hiding in a neighbouring country.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/28 00:08:12


Post by: whembly


 Ketara wrote:

Again, nope. If there's one thing the Americans are almost psychologically incapable of doing, it's backing away.

I would like for the record to state that this is absolutely true.

Gen. Chesty would approve.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/28 11:42:33


Post by: d-usa


In this thread:






USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/28 18:51:11


Post by: Pacific


 Orlanth wrote:
 whembly wrote:

Ketara... isn't the US's action really stems from that fact that we're practically the lone superpower at the moment?


This is far from the truth.

China is a superpower, and it is now flexing its muscles, and the US is backing away. The Chinese dont vocalise things the same way as the Cold War adversaries did.
China has been a superpower for awghile now, but until recently they prefered to hide and pretend they were not, mostly to keep America asleep, some still are even now China is doing frankly very agrssive moves like claiming all ocean territory (and offshore resources) in the South China sea, regardless of who it actually belongs to in international law.


The difference being that China is only extending its military power within its immediate vicinity.
China has much less of a history of overseas expedition and military projection/imperialism, even going back hundreds of years, and I think it's incorrect to apply a Western-centric point of view to their ambitions.

I would agree with Whembly that the US is the only super-power in terms of projection of power, at least in a military sense. As I once heard it put, the US is the hammer and everyone else nails; the difference being that Russia and of later years China is the kind of wonky nail that has been hit at an angle and is going to be a PITA to get straightened out.



USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/28 19:46:38


Post by: Allod


And that is exactly why China is a Great Power, but not a Super Power.

The United States can project their power in any way they please - China can't.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/28 19:54:00


Post by: Seaward


Well, they do have a carrier, but they bought it from the Russians, and the Russians never figured out how to build carriers right. Naval air power is the cornerstone of modern day force projection, and it's something they're just learning how to do, while we have 80 years' worth of experience.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/28 20:11:24


Post by: Ketara


 Seaward wrote:
Well, they do have a carrier, but they bought it from the Russians, and the Russians never figured out how to build carriers right. Naval air power is the cornerstone of modern day force projection, and it's something they're just learning how to do, while we have 80 years' worth of experience.


This, in a nutshell.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/29 00:04:26


Post by: Pacific


 Allod wrote:
And that is exactly why China is a Great Power, but not a Super Power.

The United States can project their power in any way they please - China can't.


If we are talking about purely military power then yes.. although you could make the argument that the kind of investment China is making in the African sub-continent and South America (actually, pretty much everywhere) is also changing the balance of power around the world. There are various ways to get 'country x' to give you their resource, which is really what it's all about, and having a military presence is only one of those.

One good thing I suppose however is that when you have powers complementing each other's wealth, and with so much mutual gain from trade, it makes cold-war scenarios and potential MAD between them that much less likely (certainly compared to the 50's-1989)


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/29 05:47:09


Post by: sebster


I think a lot of people are missing a key disctinction in all of this - of course the nations of the world are spying on each other. But there is in place an unwritten rule about that spying - that it focuses on institutions and not on the leaders themselves. It is important to understand that these are not abstract leaders we're talking about here, but actual people who in large part set their international policy through the personal relationships they develop with other world leaders.

It isn't nice to think that the policies that impact our lives our based in large part on whether one world leader likes and trusts another, but that's how it is.

And now the US has been caught tapping the private phone of another world leader. It isn't hard to figure out the effect that will have on the next round of trade negotiations.

Now, am I personally morally outraged about this? Not at all, if anything it just shows up the hypocrisy of world leaders like Merkel who were happy to monitor the rest of us while assuming that only enemies would be tempted to monitor them. But I do think it was a boneheaded move from the US intelligence services, with little gain relative to the considerable fallout if it was uncovered.


 Ketara wrote:
And if a new world rival is to arise out of Europe over the next century, Germany is where the power will be, both economically and industrially. France is too internally weak,


Actually, thanks to the relative birth rates of the two countries and the effect that will have on demographics and then in turn on GDP, France will be the larger power within a couple of generations.


Automatically Appended Next Post:
 Do_I_Not_Like_That wrote:
I seriously doubt that Obama gave the go-ahead for spying on Merkel, but this wild west attitude amongst American intelligence is the problem.


The spying on Merkel began in 2002. The US is currently claiming that Obama didn't even know it was going on, but I'm sure if anyone believes that.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/29 09:52:41


Post by: Do_I_Not_Like_That


 Pacific wrote:
 Orlanth wrote:
 whembly wrote:

Ketara... isn't the US's action really stems from that fact that we're practically the lone superpower at the moment?


This is far from the truth.

China is a superpower, and it is now flexing its muscles, and the US is backing away. The Chinese dont vocalise things the same way as the Cold War adversaries did.
China has been a superpower for awghile now, but until recently they prefered to hide and pretend they were not, mostly to keep America asleep, some still are even now China is doing frankly very agrssive moves like claiming all ocean territory (and offshore resources) in the South China sea, regardless of who it actually belongs to in international law.


The difference being that China is only extending its military power within its immediate vicinity.
China has much less of a history of overseas expedition and military projection/imperialism, even going back hundreds of years, and I think it's incorrect to apply a Western-centric point of view to their ambitions.

I would agree with Whembly that the US is the only super-power in terms of projection of power, at least in a military sense. As I once heard it put, the US is the hammer and everyone else nails; the difference being that Russia and of later years China is the kind of wonky nail that has been hit at an angle and is going to be a PITA to get straightened out.



I think China's goal is to project power by becoming the world's economic powerhouse. The military side will fall into place when they become the world's number one economy.

I wonder what the USA's reaction will be to this?

Will they do a Britain in the 19th Century (faced with the rise of Germany and Russia) and fight them (probably wiping out the world in the process if there is a third world war) or will they innovate and go back to their roots - land of the free and ending restrictions on personal liberty? Interesting times.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/29 10:59:50


Post by: Frazzled


Hopefully the latter. I think we should all start talking with French accents myself. That'll teach 'em.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/29 12:39:16


Post by: Maddermax


 Do_I_Not_Like_That wrote:


I wonder what the USA's reaction will be to this?

Will they do a Britain in the 19th Century (faced with the rise of Germany and Russia) and fight them (probably wiping out the world in the process if there is a third world war) or will they innovate and go back to their roots - land of the free and ending restrictions on personal liberty? Interesting times.


Now, I don't want to make light of the domestic spying issues and violations of personal freedoms in the ongoing war on drugs and terror, they are serious and should be treated as such, but I will say that thinking the US has freedom and personal liberty in their roots is giving me a chuckle. Slavery, debt bondage and persecution of various groups are the roots of the US (not being mean to the US here, many countries had as bad or worse!), and the realization of personal freedom only started to be realized in the progress of last century (and even then it's waxed and waned through various events).


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/29 13:00:58


Post by: DanFST


 Frazzled wrote:


You'd better research that more. Much of the design work is done in Cali.


Just no.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/29 13:48:54


Post by: Do_I_Not_Like_That


 Maddermax wrote:
 Do_I_Not_Like_That wrote:


I wonder what the USA's reaction will be to this?

Will they do a Britain in the 19th Century (faced with the rise of Germany and Russia) and fight them (probably wiping out the world in the process if there is a third world war) or will they innovate and go back to their roots - land of the free and ending restrictions on personal liberty? Interesting times.


Now, I don't want to make light of the domestic spying issues and violations of personal freedoms in the ongoing war on drugs and terror, they are serious and should be treated as such, but I will say that thinking the US has freedom and personal liberty in their roots is giving me a chuckle. Slavery, debt bondage and persecution of various groups are the roots of the US (not being mean to the US here, many countries had as bad or worse!), and the realization of personal freedom only started to be realized in the progress of last century (and even then it's waxed and waned through various events).


Explain! Are you seriously suggesting that America isn't free? That during the revolution, more slaves were freed by the British, or that more Native Americans were allied with Britain than the freedom fighting Americans! I call you liar!
Also, are you suggesting that the Confederacy broke away because they were annoyed by all the red tape from Washington and Lincoln's extravagant spending?

America is the land of the free. I'm not saying that because I'm worried about the NSA or Navy SEALS spiriting me away in the night. The USA is a great country, I wish I were American!

Jokes aside, many countries have had similar historical crimes to the USA (my own country is pretty near the top of the list in that regard) but that doesn't mean the USA can't aspire to more freedoms.





Automatically Appended Next Post:
 DanFST wrote:
 Frazzled wrote:


You'd better research that more. Much of the design work is done in Cali.


Just no.


Can we trust a hammers fan? No?


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/29 14:11:29


Post by: Ketara


 sebster wrote:


 Ketara wrote:
And if a new world rival is to arise out of Europe over the next century, Germany is where the power will be, both economically and industrially. France is too internally weak,


Actually, thanks to the relative birth rates of the two countries and the effect that will have on demographics and then in turn on GDP, France will be the larger power within a couple of generations.



Conjecture. The high rate of immigration into Germany from the rest of Europe combined with the potential for variability of birth rate over several generations means that such a estimate is at best, a guesstimate.

There's also the fact that a larger population does not necessarily correlate with increased industrial power and economic wellbeing.

I'm inclined to think that based on general cultural inclination for productivity, combined with possessing the industrial backbone that France does not, Germany will continue to dominate.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/29 14:15:18


Post by: Dreadclaw69


 sebster wrote:
 Do_I_Not_Like_That wrote:
I seriously doubt that Obama gave the go-ahead for spying on Merkel, but this wild west attitude amongst American intelligence is the problem.


The spying on Merkel began in 2002. The US is currently claiming that Obama didn't even know it was going on, but I'm sure if anyone believes that.

We're faced with the prospect that either the Administration was aware of the program to spy on other world leaders, or that the US's intelligence agencies are beholden to no one in the land.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/30 03:07:34


Post by: sebster


 Ketara wrote:
Conjecture.


So you can just throw "France is too internally weak" out there as just a statement to be accepted, but direct projections of future population based on current growth rates is conjecture? Huh.

There's also the fact that a larger population does not necessarily correlate with increased industrial power and economic wellbeing.


Sure, if we're talking about Mexico or Burkina Faso. But when we're talking about developed nations then the variation in GDP per capita is actually quite small. The reason the Germany is the current powerhouse in Europe is because it has more or less the same GDP per capita as France, the UK and the northern European countries, and the largest population base. Well given current trends, it is likely that France will will become the largest population base.

And on top of that, there's also the issue of population age. A static or slow growing population will have a greater elderly percentage than a faster growing population, and the elderly is not where GDP and productivity is at.

I'm inclined to think that based on general cultural inclination for productivity, combined with possessing the industrial backbone that France does not, Germany will continue to dominate.


Basically you're just buying in to brand Germany and their reputation for 'general cultural inclination for productivity' and just running with that. When was the last time you picked up a cyberpunk book from the 80s, that had Japan dominating the world, or as a rival to the US? Those books were doing what you're doing now, they were relying on brand Japan just as much as you're now relying on brand Germany, and ignoring the underlying demographic and economic realities.

Those books look downright comical now...


Automatically Appended Next Post:
 Dreadclaw69 wrote:
We're faced with the prospect that either the Administration was aware of the program to spy on other world leaders, or that the US's intelligence agencies are beholden to no one in the land.


Or perhaps most likely both.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/30 15:04:23


Post by: Ketara


 sebster wrote:

So you can just throw "France is too internally weak" out there as just a statement to be accepted, but direct projections of future population based on current growth rates is conjecture? Huh.


I said that because I can substantiate the comment about France's industrial muscle. I didn't do so in that particular instance, as it was a single line in the middle of several paragraphs of a broad overview of my opinion on generalised European future political shifts, as opposed to an in depth analysis of France's industrial future.


Sure, if we're talking about Mexico or Burkina Faso. But when we're talking about developed nations then the variation in GDP per capita is actually quite small. The reason the Germany is the current powerhouse in Europe is because it has more or less the same GDP per capita as France, the UK and the northern European countries, and the largest population base. Well given current trends, it is likely that France will will become the largest population base.


Population base does not tell the whole story regardless. We here in the UK have a fairly large nation, however that does not necessarily equate to us being producers of physical goods. There's a general correlation, in that small countries with barely any people are physically incapable of being giant manufacturing nations, but beyond that? I wouldn't care to speculate based on that kind of evidence. Correlation does not necessarily equate to causation. Especially in the age of globalisation where goods are capable of being produced abroad.


Basically you're just buying in to brand Germany and their reputation for 'general cultural inclination for productivity' and just running with that. When was the last time you picked up a cyberpunk book from the 80s, that had Japan dominating the world, or as a rival to the US? Those books were doing what you're doing now, they were relying on brand Japan just as much as you're now relying on brand Germany, and ignoring the underlying demographic and economic realities.


I recommend you cease scoffing and jumping to conclusions about the reasons behind my analysis of the political/industrial future of Europe prior to asking what they actually are.

I base my analysis upon my knowledge of German and French productivity over the period of the last hundred and thirty or so years, and logical deduction about the state of the European Union and the evolution of its processes to date(and likely progression). Not to mention the general cultural factors in both France and Germany. 'Brand Germany' has nothing to do with it.

Germany's burgeoning industrial muscle has been the concern of the better part of Europe for over a century now. It's been destroyed several times, rebuilt several times, and generally has remained exceptional. France alternatively, whilst extremely powerful in its own right, has been blighted with a different setup in terms of trade unions, political interference, and (to be honest) a slightly more Mediterranean attitude to the life culturally. It also finds itself somewhat more mired in loans than Germany, with a third again as much public debt. Combined with the paucity of political leadership and popularity over there for the immediate future, I do not see France rising to call the shots in the Union again anytime soon.

The Germans currently have more finance and the industrial might than France. And as said, the Germans are beginning to wield the political power that goes with that. When Europe speaks these days, Germany tends to be first amongst equals. Britain is too much of a maverick and unreliable, and France is too preoccupied with internal squabbling and economic woes. Whilst this is not to say that things will necessarily always remain that way, it more or less is the current state of affairs. It is possible this could overturn in the next fifteen years. But at best, it will return to a relationship of equals. France will not dominate Germany or the EU again the way it once did. And if Europe continues to be bound ever closer and tighter, it becomes somewhat irrelevant regardless, as French and German power will begin to blend more and more into one along with several other countries.

Which is of course, precisely what the Americans are afraid of. Another power arising of similar economic scale and technological sophistication to them? That, by it's very nature, is a threat.



USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/31 03:15:44


Post by: sebster


 Ketara wrote:
I said that because I can substantiate the comment about France's industrial muscle. I didn't do so in that particular instance, as it was a single line in the middle of several paragraphs of a broad overview of my opinion on generalised European future political shifts, as opposed to an in depth analysis of France's industrial future.


Judging a modern economy on its industrial muscle is liking judging a team's chance of winning the Premier League on whether or not people like the colours in their away strip.

Population base does not tell the whole story regardless. We here in the UK have a fairly large nation, however that does not necessarily equate to us being producers of physical goods. There's a general correlation, in that small countries with barely any people are physically incapable of being giant manufacturing nations, but beyond that? I wouldn't care to speculate based on that kind of evidence. Correlation does not necessarily equate to causation. Especially in the age of globalisation where goods are capable of being produced abroad.


Seriously, stop talking about manufacturing. It's far from the only way to produce income.

Second up, population isn't the only issue, but once you become a developed country, and hit that plateau of 35k to 40k in GDP per capita, then it really is all about population size.

I base my analysis upon my knowledge of German and French productivity over the period of the last hundred and thirty or so years, and logical deduction about the state of the European Union and the evolution of its processes to date(and likely progression).


You honestly think German and French economics and politics from 1883 are relevant? Seriously? The world has changed so much in 30 years that trends from 1983 are probably not valid, let alone 1883.

Not to mention the general cultural factors in both France and Germany. 'Brand Germany' has nothing to do with it.


This idea that Germany has this general cultural factor of hard work and efficiency is 'brand Germany'.

The Germans currently have more finance and the industrial might than France. And as said, the Germans are beginning to wield the political power that goes with that. When Europe speaks these days, Germany tends to be first amongst equals. Britain is too much of a maverick and unreliable, and France is too preoccupied with internal squabbling and economic woes.


And now you're just repeating your initial claim again. So I guess I can just go back to the start as well, and repeat my point that while Germany is the dominat power right now, the demographics and economic trends speak against that being the case in a couple of generations. Because, as you point out, speaking power is all about economic muscle, and France will like be the larger economy in the middle of this century.

Look! Graphs!





It is possible this could overturn in the next fifteen years. But at best, it will return to a relationship of equals. France will not dominate Germany or the EU again the way it once did. And if Europe continues to be bound ever closer and tighter, it becomes somewhat irrelevant regardless, as French and German power will begin to blend more and more into one along with several other countries.


That's all I'm saying. That the trend speaks to France gaining parity and then the upper hand. Not enough to dominate affairs, but any advantage would lie with them.

Which is of course, precisely what the Americans are afraid of. Another power arising of similar economic scale and technological sophistication to them? That, by it's very nature, is a threat.


Agreed.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/31 03:27:42


Post by: Ahtman


Spying isn't always about concern over growing power levels and the like, sometimes it is becuase you care so much it hurts to be away from them. You want to be sure they are safe in the shower. Really isn't this just proof that the USA is in love with the rest of the world?


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/31 12:45:51


Post by: Frazzled


 Ahtman wrote:
Spying isn't always about concern over growing power levels and the like, sometimes it is becuase you care so much it hurts to be away from them. You want to be sure they are safe in the shower. Really isn't this just proof that the USA is in love with the rest of the world?


Exactly.
Message: we care!


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/10/31 13:02:28


Post by: kronk




As with the Japan population thread, I'm willing to do my part.

Fraulines, take a number.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/11/01 04:48:39


Post by: Grey Templar


 kronk wrote:


As with the Japan population thread, I'm willing to do my part.

Fraulines, take a number.


At least German women might be interested in real sex.


USA spying on Germany? @ 2013/11/02 11:47:52


Post by: CthuluIsSpy


 Grey Templar wrote:
 kronk wrote:


As with the Japan population thread, I'm willing to do my part.

Fraulines, take a number.


At least German women might be interested in real sex.


After a bit of "research," I'm not sure that may be a pleasant experience