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So how about it?

No political arguments, no explanations for your prediction, no "you are wrong/no you are".

Just post who you think will win, and by how much.

There will be no prizes.

So here are the predictions:

d-usa: Obama by 1.3%, 293 electoral votes.
LordofHats: Obama
whembly: Romney by 5%, over 290 electoral votes
Cheesecat: Obama
kronk: Romney by 38 electoral votes, Obama by 0.9%
Jihadin: EV Tie
azazel the cat: Obama by 5%, 293 electoral votes
Alfndrate: Obama by 2-3.5%, 276 to 290 Electoral Votes
Frazzled: Obama by 2%
AustonT: Rombey with 270 electoral votes, Obama by <1%
rodgers37: Obama
gregor_xenox: Rombey wins popular, bin-Laden wins electoral
labmouse42: John Boehner/Joe Biden through a series of unfortunate events
Ahtman: copy d-usa
juraigamer: Obama
Shadowseer_Kim: Romney by a slim margin, taking several states that would normally go for the Democrats in the electoral college plus one of the major swing states
Ouze: Obamay with more than 200 EV, Romney by less than 1%
Piston Honda has Romney 275, Obama 263 (right?)
Maddermax has Obama 332, Romney 206 with Obama winning the popular vote by 2.3% (right?)

Obama. I don't know enough to guess by how much but I do think he's gonna win.

If we can keep everything on-topic I will try to post all the predictions in the OP for easy tracking.

I'll be different...

Romney by 5% over 290 EV.

Yeah... very unlikely... *shrugs*

Barack Obama (also does anyone else thinks he as a bad ass name?) is going win it guys! Also where the feth is the poll options?!?

Romney by 38 electoral votes, Obama by 0.9% popular vote.

This number was brought to you by the letters that spell "my ass".

I was thinking of having the fun "% and electoral vote" options included, to get tie breakers and such. Let me be geeky!

Both at 269

Obama by 5% in the popular vote; 293 electoral votes

5%? Day-amn!

I'm going to go with Obama in the 5th, followed up by Lucky Mistress and Cool Runnings in the 6th and 7th...

Seriously, I see Obama winning by 2 to 3.5% of the popular vote, and winning... 276 to 290 Electoral Votes...

Note: I can decrease the spread I've given myself if need be.

I've been informed my opinion doesn't matter but I'll take Obama by 2% of the popular vote. I can't be arsed to care about the electoral vote.

Yeah. I think the electoral vote will be decisive, but the popular vote is going to be a goddamned landslide. It's that insurmountable margin amongst women-voters.

269:270 Romney
http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=SGz
Obama with a 1% or less popular vote edge.

Well I don't really know what the popular vote and electoral vote things are, but sounds fun.

Obama to win for me, he's just cool. Who cares what he's like as a president when he's just so damn cool?




(I suppose you American citizens care what he's like as a president, as such things probably effect your day to day life...)

 rodgers37 wrote:
inane things for the inane things throne

40ked that for you.

Romney wins popular vote. Obama Bin-Ladin wins electoral.

I predict that the electoral college will be tied at 269 electoral votes each!

The decision will then be passed onto the states, where each state will get one vote. This will also be tied! 25 states will go with Obama, then 25 for Romney.

According to the constitution, John Boehner will be the next president!!

Congress will then have to vote on the vice president. The democrats will lose a few more seats in congress, so the vice-president vote is also tied 50 to 50.

The tie-breaker goes to the current vice-president, so Joe Biden will elect himself as Vice-President.

So I'm calling a victory for a John Boehner/Joe Biden white house!!!

 AustonT wrote:
269:270 Romney
http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=SGz
Obama with a 1% or less popular vote edge.

I looked at that site when I was thinking about who might win... They seemed... a little bit too in Romney's corner... That's fine, I voted for Gary Johnson... my candidate ain't getting into the white house...

For predictions I would go with with d-usa said in the initial post, as they are not radically different enough to quibble over atm.

Obama wins, fox news throws a hissy fit, voter fraud is highly investigated, nothing is found, fox news cries itself to sleep.

In Oregon.

Kate Brown holds onto her seat for Secretary of State by the slimmest of margins.

US Representative Peter Defazio and his challenger Art Robinson have such a tie that the vote needs to be recounted several times. Either side cries foul.

For president, Romney by a slim margin, taking several states that would normally go for the Democrats in the electoral college plus one of the major swing states.

These predictions are based on casual observation, gut feeling, and hearing reports from a friend who volunteered in the Democractic Party call center for several days. When registered Democrats in a place like Oregon say boldly "No way I am voting for Obama again." he is in trouble.

Updated

My head says Obama, but I have this sneaking suspicion that people might give Romney a shot. This election comes at a difficult time for Obama, in that millions of Americans are hurting economically. There's not much to feel good about when casting a status quo vote at present, whereas some people might feel that it couldn't hurt to give someone else a go at turning things around in a meaningful way.

Obama, 271 electoral votes, 1-1.5% up in popular vote.

I think Romney will have a good showing on election night, but I just don't see how he gets to 270. Obama looks very solid in 22 states that total 271.

I hope Obama wins, I really really do, but there's this sinking feeling that Romney has a tiny chance to win, which worries me.
I'm gonna say Obama wins, with 90% certainty.
That 10% worries me deeply.

My prediction: Romney announces his entire campaign has been the greatest trolling effort in history, laughs at the people who were stupid enough to consider voting for him, and drops out of the race with an endorsement for Obama. Despite no longer running Romney still gets 40% of the vote from people who vote for anyone with an 'R' next to their name, preventing this from being the most one-sided election in the history of democracy. End result: 60/40 Obama win, republican party leadership commits mass suicide in shame.

 Peregrine wrote:
My prediction: Romney announces his entire campaign has been the greatest trolling effort in history, laughs at the people who were stupid enough to consider voting for him, and drops out of the race with an endorsement for Obama. Despite no longer running Romney still gets 40% of the vote from people who vote for anyone with an 'R' next to their name, preventing this from being the most one-sided election in the history of democracy. End result: 60/40 Obama win, republican party leadership commits mass suicide in shame.

Man, you really hate Republicans.

My prediction's Romney wins, Republicans pick up the Senate.

Obama carries the woman vote (women's vote, women's votes?) to victory.

Joe Biden retires to the deep woods where he has grinning contests with racoons.