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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/25 05:51:59
Subject: Re:Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Douglas Bader
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Tactical_Spam wrote:Yes, but last time I checked, wasn't Hitler a Right winger? Or was he Left because he was technically part of a "socialist" party?
Right. The "socialist" part was a leftover from before Hitler purged the party of its left-wing elements. Automatically Appended Next Post: Manchu wrote:I know many conservatives who balk at expanded government oversight but at the same time revere the military, the most terrifying of all government institutions.
The problem is that a lot of the time when conservatives "balk" at expanded government it's only when that government doesn't agree with conservative ideology. For example, the conservative republicans in the NC state legislature passed that bathroom bill banning local governments from having gender-neutral bathroom laws. It's conservatives that vote to ban lower governments from having increased minimum wage laws. Etc. The idea of "local people know what is best for themselves" that is used to justify small-government positions seems to be rather quickly forgotten whenever it's convenient to have increased state/federal government advance conservative ideology.
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This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2016/06/25 05:56:45
There is no such thing as a hobby without politics. "Leave politics at the door" is itself a political statement, an endorsement of the status quo and an attempt to silence dissenting voices. |
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/25 06:12:39
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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[MOD]
Solahma
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Peregrine - Agreed, I recall when the Republican AG here in VA wanted to require all women attempting to procure an abortion to have a trans-vaginal ultrasound. If that's not government intrusion then I don't know what is.
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/25 07:13:55
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Avatar of the Bloody-Handed God
Inside your mind, corrupting the pathways
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Governments the world over have cracked down on freedoms over spurious "terrorists want to kill you!" And "think of the children!" claims; people are starting to resent this.
I think there is a lot of protest voting for more extreme parties going on over the last 10 or so years (in the UK and EU). The major parties are no longer seen as representing the people on the street and the processes of government are seen as protecting the few over the many.
While the individual parties they vote for may be extreme, at least they are seen to stand for something. And a vote for them is pretty much the only choice when none of the major parties represent you; and it might just prompt the government to evaluate what it is they are doing and see that people don't like it...
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/25 08:26:00
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Most Glorious Grey Seer
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I don't want this to be a gun-rights issue so I'm posting it here as an example of authoritarianism. What Hawaii has done is to require a certain segment of society - gun owners - who have committed no crime, be put on an FBI watch list. If these people commit a crime in another state, local police in Hawaii will be notified.
Aside from the obvious issues, such as violating the 1986 Firearm Owners’ Protection Act, what problem in society does this law address? What defect is corrected? Are there really that many Hawaiians going abroad to ConUS, committing felonies, and returning to Hawaii afterword to polish their revolvers?
Or is this overreach an example of government trying to "do something" instead of doing the right thing?
https://www.yahoo.com/news/hawaii-becomes-first-u-state-place-gun-owners-210248882.html?ref=gs
My point of view is that this should never be allowed to stand. If there is such a concern about people committing crimes in other states, then the solution is to make a nationwide database of criminals. Remove a person once the dept to society has been paid and all rights restored.
Or is that too much common sense?
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/25 08:36:48
Subject: Re:Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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[MOD]
Anti-piracy Officer
Somewhere in south-central England.
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It's perfectly obvious that authoritarianism has been on the rise for 10 years or more. You only need to see people like Le Pen (France), Geert Wilders (Holland) and similar people in Austria and Sweden growing in popularity.
As far as the UK goes, the points made in the article about 'sovereignty' and 'immigration' being a kind of shorthand for isolationism and racism do have some truth in them. The sea change in the Brexit campaign came about when they let rip with anti-immigration stories two or three weeks ago. That's when the polls began to move in favour of Leave.
However, it's also important to note that almost half the UK electorate voted to stay in the EU.
The other point that the article makes, which has been made in many other editorials from respected sources including The Economist and the Evening Standard, is that people are suffering economically from globalisation and the 8-year recession. The rewards of the past 30 years of economic liberalisation have disproprortionately gone to the already rich. Meanwhile, social and job security has been cut for the rest of us.
The Evening Standard made the very good point that it's no use telling people that a vote to Leave is a vote to tank the economy if for them the economy has already tanked.
From this viewpoint, the Brexit vote is an emotional protest vote against power elites who have ignored the genuine concerns of the "lower orders'.
Unfortunately history teaches us that economic bad times bring popularism and authoritarianism in their wake.
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/25 08:58:47
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Douglas Bader
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Breotan wrote:https://www.yahoo.com/news/hawaii-becomes-first-u-state-place-gun-owners-210248882.html?ref=gs
Ah yes, thank you for the demonstration of why everything is "THE GREATEST ABUSE OF GOVERNMENT POWER EVER". From the article:
"As you can imagine, the NRA finds this one of the most extreme bills we've ever seen," said Amy Hunter, a spokeswoman for the National Rifle Association's institute for legislative action.
Yep, you got that right. A law that allows the police to notify other police when someone is arrested is "one of the most extreme bills we've ever seen". Not the various proposals for bans on "assault weapons", not laws heavily restricting concealed handguns, the law that your local police will be informed if you are arrested elsewhere is the most extreme. Of course really all of those other bills are also "the most extreme bill we've ever seen". Just like it can't be a mere disagreement over policy decisions, the other side must be "authoritarian".
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There is no such thing as a hobby without politics. "Leave politics at the door" is itself a political statement, an endorsement of the status quo and an attempt to silence dissenting voices. |
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/25 09:58:53
Subject: Re:Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Longtime Dakkanaut
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Kilkrazy wrote:It's perfectly obvious that authoritarianism has been on the rise for 10 years or more. You only need to see people like Le Pen (France), Geert Wilders (Holland) and similar people in Austria and Sweden growing in popularity.
As far as the UK goes, the points made in the article about 'sovereignty' and 'immigration' being a kind of shorthand for isolationism and racism do have some truth in them. The sea change in the Brexit campaign came about when they let rip with anti-immigration stories two or three weeks ago. That's when the polls began to move in favour of Leave.
However, it's also important to note that almost half the UK electorate voted to stay in the EU.
The other point that the article makes, which has been made in many other editorials from respected sources including The Economist and the Evening Standard, is that people are suffering economically from globalisation and the 8-year recession. The rewards of the past 30 years of economic liberalisation have disproprortionately gone to the already rich. Meanwhile, social and job security has been cut for the rest of us.
The Evening Standard made the very good point that it's no use telling people that a vote to Leave is a vote to tank the economy if for them the economy has already tanked.
From this viewpoint, the Brexit vote is an emotional protest vote against power elites who have ignored the genuine concerns of the "lower orders'.
Unfortunately history teaches us that economic bad times bring popularism and authoritarianism in their wake.
I'd agree with this, but note that it was only half of the voting electorate that voted to leave and/or remain. There is still a significant fraction that didn't vote so to an order of magnitude 1/3 want to leave, 1/3 want to remain and third don't care/don't know/weren't engaged/put off by poop slinging
There is a larger and larger proportion of the population that are getting frustrated and annoyed at a political system that is skewed to favour only the large parties (first past the post) and that favours a funding model for these parties that in essence ensures that the rich few will control these parties (and hence ensure their market dominance). At the same time we have had a party that despises publicly funded bodies and has stripped local authorities, charities and other organisations of funding which in the main helped those on lower incomes. This in turn leaves them more isolated, less educated, more open to polarised views and ripe to be exploited by populists of which the leaders of the leave campaign are either wilfully (as it benefits them) ignorant or just plainly ignorant of these issues. Unfortunately for the vast majority that voted leave their lives are likely to get worse as the government will lurch further to the right, become even more reliant on a few rich donors and further reduce funding to state bodies to help the less mobile become better off - this could then set off a new wave of more extreme popularism and we ended up on dark roads we have travelled before.
It is unfortunate that our politicians fail to recognise the mistakes of the past and keep on repeating them. Maybe the market shock of the last few days will open their eyes but given it appears as the UK government is about to swing further towards the populist movement I am not overly confident. With increasing pressures over resources, global warming instigating migrations I am worried about where all this is going.
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"Because while the truncheon may be used in lieu of conversation, words will always retain their power. Words offer the means to meaning, and for those who will listen, the enunciation of truth. And the truth is, there is something terribly wrong with this country, isn't there? Cruelty and injustice, intolerance and oppression. And where once you had the freedom to object, to think and speak as you saw fit, you now have censors and systems of surveillance coercing your conformity and soliciting your submission. How did this happen? Who's to blame? Well certainly there are those more responsible than others, and they will be held accountable, but again truth be told, if you're looking for the guilty, you need only look into a mirror. " - V
I've just supported the Permanent European Union Citizenship initiative. Please do the same and spread the word!
"It's not a problem if you don't look up." - Dakka's approach to politics |
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/26 01:44:30
Subject: Re:Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Secret Force Behind the Rise of the Tau
USA
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Manchu wrote:My feeling is, these children and many of their parents have no commitment to democracy itself.
I'd expand that by saying that it feels a lot like being the democratic equivalent of a spoiled child. They assume that because they want it, it must be given to them and that any scenario in which it is not is either government overreach/a conspiracy/<insert victim complex here>. I think that everyone involved likes the notion of democracy, but they are too immature/are willingly ignoring democratic reality. Democracy is not a form of government where everyone gets what they want. it's a form of government where everyone has a vote. There's a big difference. I think we see this exact behavior in the US all the time. I think ti certainly leads to many embracing notions of authoritarianism like "we need an amendment banning flag burning" or "we need a law banning hate speech entirely"*. It's convenient to think that when you're frustrated with not getting exactly what you want. But people indulging such notions does not per se mean they want authoritarian government.
*This is not a crticism of countries that have laws against hate speech. I think that when you sit back, democracy is not a system of government that produces equality on its own. It's a system prone to tyranny of the majority. That's why many modern democracies have stop gaps in place to protect from such things. A degree of authoritarianism can actually enhance the stability and equality of a democratic system (another case of the OP article being poorly thought out imo).
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This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2016/06/26 01:50:27
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/26 17:43:17
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Longtime Dakkanaut
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Frozocrone wrote:Probably not going to happen, since the future generations voted had a super majority to remain (close to 75% for Remain in ages 18-25).
Not to call out Leave voters as xenophobic, but there is a greater sense of multiculturalism found within Remain voters.
We might expect that, as they gain the wisdom and experience with the world that comes with age, their opinions are likely to change.
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This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2016/06/26 17:43:37
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/26 20:26:24
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Assassin with Black Lotus Poison
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NuggzTheNinja wrote: Frozocrone wrote:Probably not going to happen, since the future generations voted had a super majority to remain (close to 75% for Remain in ages 18-25). Not to call out Leave voters as xenophobic, but there is a greater sense of multiculturalism found within Remain voters. We might expect that, as they gain the wisdom and experience with the world that comes with age, their opinions are likely to change. Alternatively, their experiences in a more multi-cultural world have given them the wisdom to see the benefits, while older people lack the life experiences and opportunities to understand, having grown up and lived their lives in a much more isolated world. I mean think about it. Someone who is 60 now spent almost two thirds of their life with Eastern Europe locked away behind the Berlin Wall. That kind of experience has not made them any wiser about Eastern Europe and its peoples, it has made them more ignorant.
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This message was edited 3 times. Last update was at 2016/06/26 20:45:02
The Laws of Thermodynamics:
1) You cannot win. 2) You cannot break even. 3) You cannot stop playing the game.
Colonel Flagg wrote:You think you're real smart. But you're not smart; you're dumb. Very dumb. But you've met your match in me. |
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/26 20:33:43
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Longtime Dakkanaut
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NuggzTheNinja wrote: Frozocrone wrote:Probably not going to happen, since the future generations voted had a super majority to remain (close to 75% for Remain in ages 18-25).
Not to call out Leave voters as xenophobic, but there is a greater sense of multiculturalism found within Remain voters.
We might expect that, as they gain the wisdom and experience with the world that comes with age, their opinions are likely to change.
Yes I can imagine they will change. Probably from frustrated, concerned and unhappy to right royally peeved in 20 years when they realise all the opportunities they missed out on.
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"Because while the truncheon may be used in lieu of conversation, words will always retain their power. Words offer the means to meaning, and for those who will listen, the enunciation of truth. And the truth is, there is something terribly wrong with this country, isn't there? Cruelty and injustice, intolerance and oppression. And where once you had the freedom to object, to think and speak as you saw fit, you now have censors and systems of surveillance coercing your conformity and soliciting your submission. How did this happen? Who's to blame? Well certainly there are those more responsible than others, and they will be held accountable, but again truth be told, if you're looking for the guilty, you need only look into a mirror. " - V
I've just supported the Permanent European Union Citizenship initiative. Please do the same and spread the word!
"It's not a problem if you don't look up." - Dakka's approach to politics |
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/27 03:08:26
Subject: Re:Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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The Dread Evil Lord Varlak
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There's really four factors at play. The first is that we are currently in the long shadow of a global financial collapse. Employment has recovered in some but not parts of the developed world, but wages are pretty much flat everywhere. People will accept flat wages for a few years, but stretch that out to 8 years as we have, and people start thinking 'holy crap will this be what wages will be like forever?!'
This is compounded by the second issue - most income growth in the past 30 years going to the highest income earners, which meant wages growth at the middle and lower end was already pretty crappy. When the long term pattern of very modest wages growth suddenly become zero, and not just for a little while but almost stretching to a decade now... well it isn't hard to see how that produces economic and therefore political tension.
On top of this there's the geographical nature. While the overall economic picture is fairly average, in many locations it's absolutely terrible. There are manufacturing and agricultural hubs that have been losing jobs every year for decades. There's an overall economic pressure, but in some specific locations that pressure is absolutely crushing.
The last element is terrorism. Islamic terror has had an impact on people way in excess of the actual deaths caused. Ultimately people aren't driven by national and international stats... they're driven by what's on the news. What's on the news shows developed countries that can't keep people safe, even though the existential threat to any individual person is absolutely tiny.
With all those pressures, it isn't that hard to understand how people might instinctively opt for something that gives them a feeling of control or power. Joining an energised political movement promising big changes now kind of logically follows. Typically those groups offer direct and hardline solutions that sound great to anyone who is under stress and doesn't really understand the complexity of the issues involved. Rejecting trade with other countries sounds great to someone who's struggling for manufacturing work, no matter how stupid that actually is. Similarly stupid but equally appealing is any of the issues that target Islam as a whole, visa bans, burqua bans... all those things ultimately appeal because they make people feel like they're putting control over a group of people that they are currently afraid of.
I'm not sure this means those radical groups are necessarily authoritarian, although I can see how more authoritarian groups might flourish in those circumstances, and in many cases more radical groups can appear more authoritarian to anyone who isn't a part of them.
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This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2016/06/27 03:12:06
“We may observe that the government in a civilized country is much more expensive than in a barbarous one; and when we say that one government is more expensive than another, it is the same as if we said that that one country is farther advanced in improvement than another. To say that the government is expensive and the people not oppressed is to say that the people are rich.”
Adam Smith, who must have been some kind of leftie or something. |
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/27 04:38:07
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Heroic Senior Officer
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Easy E wrote:Here is a hyperbolic story about how Brexit is a sign that Liberal Democratic values are beginning to fail with regular citizens in the "West".
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/06/britons_radical_rejection_of_the_status_quo_should_terrify_all_liberal_democracies.html
However, this little factoid struck me as deeply concerning....
Across most countries in North America and Western Europe, voters have grown deeply dissatisfied with the political class. For a rapidly growing number, this dissatisfaction with particular leaders has started to transform into an actual rejection of democratic institutions. Across North America and Western Europe, the number of citizens who say that it is important to live in a democracy is shrinking. At the same time, the number of citizens who are open to making their countries more authoritarian is rising.
This trend is especially striking in the United States. Two decades ago, 1 in 16 Americans believed that Army rule would be a good way to run the country. Today, it is 1 in 6. The picture is even bleaker among the young and affluent: Support for military rule in this group has increased nearly sixfold, from 6 percent to 35 percent.
Well, is it truly the beginning of the end for Liberal Democracy as its own citizens begin to turn away from it as an effective form of government?
Yes and no?
I think its a very clear sign to just how badly division amongst people has gotten. Even remotely considering a compromise these days is met with more and more resistance on both sides, and this causes an absolute breakdown in a democracy.
This division of course leads to radicalism on both sides, from the racist, anti-immigrant, and bigoted leanings of the hard right, to the overly politically correct, borderline authoratian leanings of the left when it comes to rights of others. This leaves those in the middle with more conservative leanings (in the sense of riding the fence in between the two parties as opposed to hardliners, not conservative as in Republican party) out in the cold. This is the product of a huge amount of things, but it seems the main source is modern "news" outlets, social networks, and the anonimity and connectiveness of the internet allowing people to find an echochamber condusive to their beliefs.
It does make me worried for the future of democratic nations. You'd have to be a brainless monkey to not see how easily people can be manipulated these days with a proper event to leverage in your favor and the money to put your plan in motion. The fact that Clinton and Trump are our best odds of nominations is proof enough of that.
And I cant even pretend to be better than the radicals of either side, because ultimately the blame rides with people like me. The "average guys" worrying about the day to day trappings of life and assuming "theres no way trump would get nominated, he's a moron" or "Clinton's a crook, you'd be a madman to think she's president material." Because if we had been voting in the primaries and all that we wouldn't be in this mess. Instead, the nutjobs went out to vote because theyre far more passionate and now we're here. We could of course write in a third party or something, but people have been so thoroughly doctrinated that voting anything aside from the main 2 is throwing away our vote, so it'll never happen.
So... Yes and no. In order for a democracy to succeed you need a population smart enough and mature enough to use it. Because otherwise it's junior playing with daddy's gun, except the consequences are even more disastrous. I would argue this isnt specifically a failing of democracy, education, political integrity, or even faith in government, but a snowballing effect building off all these and more. All it takes for one pillar to weaken and the rest will crumble as well. The worst part is it'll never improve until something truly horrible happens, because unless the whole country suffers a horrible event, not enough people will be motivated to change.
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'I've played Guard for years, and the best piece of advice is to always utilize the Guard's best special rule: "we roll more dice than you" ' - stormleader
"Sector Imperialis: 25mm and 40mm Round Bases (40+20) 26€ (Including 32 skulls for basing) " GW design philosophy in a nutshell |
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/27 04:57:26
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Douglas Bader
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MrMoustaffa wrote:We could of course write in a third party or something, but people have been so thoroughly doctrinated that voting anything aside from the main 2 is throwing away our vote, so it'll never happen.
It isn't indoctrination, it's a consequence of how the US election system works. It pretty inevitably encourages a system where there are two major parties and any minor parties that attempt to emerge are absorbed by the major parties. And it's certainly the case in 2016, even if theoretically the US system could have more than two parties. No third-party candidate has any hope of winning, so either you vote for the least-bad candidate from one of the two major parties or you vote for the worst candidate (including by staying home on election day or voting for a third-party candidate). If you want to change this situation then you need to change the structure US elections and implement a system like other countries have, where you rank your choices and can safely vote third-party while still supporting the least-terrible major party candidate if/when the third-party candidate fails to win.
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There is no such thing as a hobby without politics. "Leave politics at the door" is itself a political statement, an endorsement of the status quo and an attempt to silence dissenting voices. |
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/27 06:21:24
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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The Dread Evil Lord Varlak
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MrMoustaffa wrote:This is the product of a huge amount of things, but it seems the main source is modern "news" outlets, social networks, and the anonimity and connectiveness of the internet allowing people to find an echochamber condusive to their beliefs.
People like blaming 24 hour news and the internet, but the whole of the developed world has those things but we haven't seen anything like the rise in partisan politics that we've seen in the US.
What we've seen in the US is really more the result of things that are unique to the US. The first is your political system - it is very hard for a single party to push through legislation, this means a political party can take up hard line positions and remain politically relevant. That is compounded by the crappy gerrymandering of state and federal reps districts - push to the far right or far left to secure your position in the primary, and then win the general by default. The result is a large number of reps who need to continually prove their hardline ideological bona fides.
Add to that the platform Pat Buchanan got the Republican party to commit to, in which they decided to insist that everything was terrible all the time and it was all the fault of government. That led to a very aggressive stance taken up by the Republican party from the 90s onwards. Democrats have just in the last couple of election cycles started to respond to the same, but even now they've got a long way to go to catch up (although perhaps worryingly the Democrats seem far more belligerent at the grassroots level, which suggests they may end up even more extreme).
Because if we had been voting in the primaries and all that we wouldn't be in this mess. Instead, the nutjobs went out to vote because theyre far more passionate and now we're here.
That's a very strange argument, given throughout the Democratic primary all the enthusiasm was with Sanders. Automatically Appended Next Post: Peregrine wrote:It isn't indoctrination, it's a consequence of how the US election system works. It pretty inevitably encourages a system where there are two major parties and any minor parties that attempt to emerge are absorbed by the major parties. And it's certainly the case in 2016, even if theoretically the US system could have more than two parties. No third-party candidate has any hope of winning, so either you vote for the least-bad candidate from one of the two major parties or you vote for the worst candidate (including by staying home on election day or voting for a third-party candidate). If you want to change this situation then you need to change the structure US elections and implement a system like other countries have, where you rank your choices and can safely vote third-party while still supporting the least-terrible major party candidate if/when the third-party candidate fails to win.
Maybe, we have preferential voting in our system, so you are never 'wasting' your vote by selecting a minor party or independent first. And yet, our last election just produced the most minor party and independent wins in our history, and there's a whopping 5 of them out of 150. All the other seats went to one of the two major parties.
Having proportional representation is the bigger issue. Any system with electorates will tend towards two parties, while awarding representation based on the overall share of the vote will produce a diverse range of parties.
But it is a big mistake to think that being able to get your own favourite minor party in to parliament/congress will somehow produce satisfaction with politics. If you and a bunch of people get 5/100 seats for your special cause, they've still got basically no power. The only way they'll be able to leverage that power is by making deals with larger parties, which is a kind of dirty politics that ultimately no-one gets much satisfaction out of.
Basically, politics is always frustrating. It's dealing with the political opinions of other people, and most people's political ideas are horrible, so how could any system make it anything other than annoying?
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This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2016/06/27 06:33:34
“We may observe that the government in a civilized country is much more expensive than in a barbarous one; and when we say that one government is more expensive than another, it is the same as if we said that that one country is farther advanced in improvement than another. To say that the government is expensive and the people not oppressed is to say that the people are rich.”
Adam Smith, who must have been some kind of leftie or something. |
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/27 07:09:08
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Douglas Bader
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sebster wrote:Maybe, we have preferential voting in our system, so you are never 'wasting' your vote by selecting a minor party or independent first. And yet, our last election just produced the most minor party and independent wins in our history, and there's a whopping 5 of them out of 150. All the other seats went to one of the two major parties.
Well, I certainly wasn't arguing that having a preferential voting system inevitably produces more parties, just that it's necessary to have more than two parties. It doesn't negate all of the advantages that an established major party has, but it at least makes it possible to have that chance of winning as a minor party. And, while Australia is mostly limited to two major parties, other countries with preferential voting have more successful minor parties.
Having proportional representation is the bigger issue. Any system with electorates will tend towards two parties, while awarding representation based on the overall share of the vote will produce a diverse range of parties.
You're right. Proportional voting does also help, though it forces you to have more than one seat per district (and obviously does nothing for things like presidential elections in the US where there's only one winner). Unfortunately making it possible in the US would require major changes to how our legislative districts are drawn, while preferential voting is a very straightforward thing to implement.
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There is no such thing as a hobby without politics. "Leave politics at the door" is itself a political statement, an endorsement of the status quo and an attempt to silence dissenting voices. |
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/27 07:48:52
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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The Dread Evil Lord Varlak
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Peregrine wrote:Well, I certainly wasn't arguing that having a preferential voting system inevitably produces more parties, just that it's necessary to have more than two parties.
It isn't necessary, the Lib Dems do quite well in the UK, and that's a first past the post electorate system. There's more going on than just the formal electorate system, basically.
But it certainly is a step towards better viability for small party support. And on top of that preferential voting does a much better job of capturing what people actually think about the candidates, it is at its core a more democratic process.
It doesn't negate all of the advantages that an established major party has, but it at least makes it possible to have that chance of winning as a minor party. And, while Australia is mostly limited to two major parties, other countries with preferential voting have more successful minor parties.
I don't think there's actually another country that use preferential voting, at least not for federal elections. I might be wrong, though.
You're right. Proportional voting does also help, though it forces you to have more than one seat per district (and obviously does nothing for things like presidential elections in the US where there's only one winner). Unfortunately making it possible in the US would require major changes to how our legislative districts are drawn, while preferential voting is a very straightforward thing to implement.
Very true.
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“We may observe that the government in a civilized country is much more expensive than in a barbarous one; and when we say that one government is more expensive than another, it is the same as if we said that that one country is farther advanced in improvement than another. To say that the government is expensive and the people not oppressed is to say that the people are rich.”
Adam Smith, who must have been some kind of leftie or something. |
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/27 14:11:39
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Assassin with Black Lotus Poison
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sebster wrote: Peregrine wrote:Well, I certainly wasn't arguing that having a preferential voting system inevitably produces more parties, just that it's necessary to have more than two parties. It isn't necessary, the Lib Dems do quite well in the UK, and that's a first past the post electorate system. There's more going on than just the formal electorate system, basically. Errrrm, about that They did get totally destroyed in the last election to the point where the SNP, who can only be voted for in Scotland, overtook them as the third largest party in parliament. Now locally I'm sure they still do reasonably well (as in they actually get elected in more than single figures) but nationally the Lib Dems were basically wiped off the map.
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This message was edited 2 times. Last update was at 2016/06/27 14:44:25
The Laws of Thermodynamics:
1) You cannot win. 2) You cannot break even. 3) You cannot stop playing the game.
Colonel Flagg wrote:You think you're real smart. But you're not smart; you're dumb. Very dumb. But you've met your match in me. |
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/27 14:17:42
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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[MOD]
Anti-piracy Officer
Somewhere in south-central England.
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They got 8% of the votes. The Conservatives got 36%.
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/27 14:29:26
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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5th God of Chaos! (Yea'rly!)
The Great State of Texas
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NinthMusketeer wrote:You know, if the voters are so upset with the politicians they elected maybe they should consider electing better ones. But it's easier to just run with whatever political bias one has rather than, you know, actually researching the people one is voting for.
Yea whatever. Its a two party system of tweedle dee and tweedle dum.
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-"Wait a minute.....who is that Frazz is talking to in the gallery? Hmmm something is going on here.....Oh.... it seems there is some dispute over video taping of some sort......Frazz is really upset now..........wait a minute......whats he go there.......is it? Can it be?....Frazz has just unleashed his hidden weiner dog from his mini bag, while quoting shakespeares "Let slip the dogs the war!!" GG
-"Don't mind Frazzled. He's just Dakka's crazy old dude locked in the attic. He's harmless. Mostly."
-TBone the Magnificent 1999-2014, Long Live the King!
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/27 14:34:49
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Fate-Controlling Farseer
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Easy E wrote:Here is a hyperbolic story about how Brexit is a sign that Liberal Democratic values are beginning to fail with regular citizens in the "West".
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/06/britons_radical_rejection_of_the_status_quo_should_terrify_all_liberal_democracies.html
However, this little factoid struck me as deeply concerning....
Across most countries in North America and Western Europe, voters have grown deeply dissatisfied with the political class. For a rapidly growing number, this dissatisfaction with particular leaders has started to transform into an actual rejection of democratic institutions. Across North America and Western Europe, the number of citizens who say that it is important to live in a democracy is shrinking. At the same time, the number of citizens who are open to making their countries more authoritarian is rising.
This trend is especially striking in the United States. Two decades ago, 1 in 16 Americans believed that Army rule would be a good way to run the country. Today, it is 1 in 6. The picture is even bleaker among the young and affluent: Support for military rule in this group has increased nearly sixfold, from 6 percent to 35 percent.
Well, is it truly the beginning of the end for Liberal Democracy as its own citizens begin to turn away from it as an effective form of government?
Where did he get those numbers from, because that is just total BS.
And honestly, I don't see how the people rising up and saying "We don't want this un-elected assembly controlling so much of our economy anymore" a rejection of democracy. Whether or not the move was the smartest economically isn't really the point in these regards. 71% of the nation used a democratic process to determine this. Yeah, that's a rejection of democracy alright...
Granted, this is a Slate publication, so color me completely and utterly unsurprised that it's totally out to lunch.
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This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2016/06/27 14:35:50
Full Frontal Nerdity |
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/27 14:38:01
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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[MOD]
Anti-piracy Officer
Somewhere in south-central England.
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The EU isn't an unelected assembly and doesn't control so much of the UK's economy.
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/27 15:45:01
Subject: Re:Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Ancient Venerable Black Templar Dreadnought
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Well, I guess we can look at a few figures to see what is impacting "the people".
Balance of payments in the EU:
http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/guip/mapAction.do;jsessionid=7OaSawXUpQRYjz0_Tusk19b7TL5vS8k3l_zsOKxwjDTUlJE_uA3m!1388471887?mapMode=dynamic&indicator=teibp050_1#teibp050_1
I can see why people would be a bit upset: Uk is in the -42638.1 to -426.6 Million EUR in quarterly payments.
UK is good money for the EU and UK may not like being the one paying.
Uk's GDP is down compared to the same quarter last year:
http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/guip/mapAction.do?mapMode=dynamic&indicator=teina011_2#teina011_2
Some notes on how "savings" are found that exceed the "expense" the UK puts into the union:
http://ec.europa.eu/budget/mycountry/UK/index_en.cfm#cinfo
" The UK government estimates that the single market brings in between GBP 31 billion and GBP 92 billion a year into the UK economy – or between 5 and 15 times the UK net contribution to the EU budget, which, once the UK’s rebate is taken into account, amounted to about GBP 7.258 billion - EUR 8.641 billion in 2013."
Oddly, the facts do not quite line-up but it is like Quebec wanting to separate from Canada: there are measurable benefits to remain in the organization but in the name of "greater self determination" they are willing to take the hit.
The entire reason for an organization like the EU was to create a more fair and open market but then leaders can play on fears of "losing control" and "meddling".
These "Authoritarians" like to position themselves as a means to cut the "red tape" and "reclaim national identity" when really if furthers their goals of gaining more power and not being answerable to anyone. They seem confident, secure in their omnipotence, but they typically know even less than others because they question little.
http://qz.com/643497/we-are-witnessing-the-rise-of-global-authoritarianism-on-a-chilling-scale/
In these rough economic times, people are looking for a safe-haven.
It is easy to fall for the rhetoric of someone who seems to have all the answers but is never able to say what overall plan is.
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A revolution is an idea which has found its bayonets.
Napoleon Bonaparte |
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/29 03:55:12
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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The Dread Evil Lord Varlak
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A Town Called Malus wrote:Errrrm, about that
They did get totally destroyed in the last election to the point where the SNP, who can only be voted for in Scotland, overtook them as the third largest party in parliament.
Now locally I'm sure they still do reasonably well (as in they actually get elected in more than single figures) but nationally the Lib Dems were basically wiped off the map.
Sure, but their electoral losses come directly from political failings in taking up the minority role in a conservative government. And in the election in which they shrivelled up, another party produced a strong number of seats as a third party.
My point is that by a straight reading of how political systems work, that really should happen in a country with a first part the post electorate system. And yet it does, which shows that culture and the actual parties involved matter as much as the system.
All this hints that possibly the reason minor parties don't really have that much presence in US politics is less to do with the system, and more to do with the minor parties themselves. Maybe the libertarian and green parties in the US don't get much of the vote because people actually just don't care for their party platform.
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“We may observe that the government in a civilized country is much more expensive than in a barbarous one; and when we say that one government is more expensive than another, it is the same as if we said that that one country is farther advanced in improvement than another. To say that the government is expensive and the people not oppressed is to say that the people are rich.”
Adam Smith, who must have been some kind of leftie or something. |
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/29 13:22:56
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Battlefield Tourist
MN (Currently in WY)
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sebster wrote:
All this hints that possibly the reason minor parties don't really have that much presence in US politics is less to do with the system, and more to do with the minor parties themselves. Maybe the libertarian and green parties in the US don't get much of the vote because people actually just don't care for their party platform.
That is certainly true of the Constitution Party!
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Support Blood and Spectacles Publishing:
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/29 16:25:06
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Pragmatic Primus Commanding Cult Forces
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sebster wrote: A Town Called Malus wrote:Errrrm, about that They did get totally destroyed in the last election to the point where the SNP, who can only be voted for in Scotland, overtook them as the third largest party in parliament. Now locally I'm sure they still do reasonably well (as in they actually get elected in more than single figures) but nationally the Lib Dems were basically wiped off the map. All this hints that possibly the reason minor parties don't really have that much presence in US politics is less to do with the system, and more to do with the minor parties themselves. Maybe the libertarian and green parties in the US don't get much of the vote because people actually just don't care for their party platform.
How dare you suggest the Communist Party USA doesn't enjoy the widespread support of the proletariat? In all seriousness though, isn't it super ironic that the US is one of the last countries in the world to still have a fully functional traditional Marxist-Leninist party? Did the US not get the memo that communism is dead?
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This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2016/06/29 16:25:25
Error 404: Interesting signature not found
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/29 17:33:58
Subject: Re:Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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[MOD]
Solahma
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Still think the term authoritarian needs to be considered more critically here. Since this is Dakka, let me use analogies to game IPs. We are accustomed to thinking about authoritarianism in the style of 40k, where the state demands obedience on a unilateral, vividly ideological basis. The Imperium is the obvious example: the alleged destiny of humanity to rule the galaxy requires that all humans totally submit to the authority of the human state (which is inextricably the human nation, "the people"/das Volk). This is, more or less, Nazism. Although not (explicitly) racist, the Tau work on the same principle: the Greater Good similarly requires any conceivable sacrifice, of which unflinching, zealous devotion is simply the most fundamental. Although they look and feel very different, the Imperium and the Tau are in this sense cut from the same authoritarian cloth. Authoritarianism is not, however, limited to an archly ideological/coercive approach. In Rick Priestley's new game Beyond the Gates of Antares (which I understand is influenced by Ian M. Banks's Culture novels), the most powerful societies are managed by networks of advanced AIs called IMTels. The IMTel constantly mines the population for data to inform its calculations of the best possible social outcomes. As opposed to the style of authoritarianism discussed above, obedience to the IMTel does not require any active ideological commitment much less fervor. There is no great struggle narrative. The IMTel is not revered like the cult of the Emperor/der Führer or some sacred concept like the Greater Good/the Master Race, etc. Rather, the people of IMTel societies totally and largely unconsciously buy into the concept that the IMTel's calculations are indeed perfect, or at least nearly so ("best possible" - something like how Churchill deemed democracy the worst kind of government, besides all the others), and therefore buy into the authority of the IMTel. Even IRL I think many people would struggle to see a problem with the second style, while almost everyone would immediately recognize how sinister the first style is. Apart from the near constant fearful/derogatory cultural reference to Nazism in Western societies, this is probably because the second style (a) doesn't require anything active from the individual and (b) the individual can read whatever they want into the notion of "best possible" outcomes. It's also self-reinforcing: the more you accept that the IMTel is right, or in IRL, the experts, bureaucrats, etc. are right, the more you also accept that the IMTel will manage society in a way that is best for you - and vice versa. No doubt, the article to hand is running up the red flag as to the first style. But to the extent that is on the rise, I think it is because we are already firmly entrenched in the second style. When you read what neo-Nationalists, especially young people, have to say - and yes it is pretty crudely articulated a lot of the time - you start to see that they are using the language of mid-twentieth-century fascism but what they really object to is the IRL equivalent of IMTel.
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This message was edited 2 times. Last update was at 2016/06/29 17:36:05
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/29 17:55:07
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Regular Dakkanaut
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I'm just doing armchair sociology but part of the problem appears to be the inherent selfishness of American culture. In other countries I've been in the community seems to stick together more, and a village truly does raise a child. I moved into my house in December and only one of my neighbors has welcomed me. We also have a high divorce rate here that seems to stem from self centered thinking. I have nothing concrete, it's just what I've seen.
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/29 18:06:11
Subject: Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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Secret Force Behind the Rise of the Tau
USA
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I don't know about the later, but the US does feature far more geographic mobility than most western countries, especially from one generation to the next. Less and less are the Americans who have lived in the same place one generation to the next.
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![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2016/06/29 18:38:09
Subject: Re:Is Authoritarianism on the Rise?
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[MOD]
Solahma
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... on point ...
The Reaction to Brexit Is the Reason Brexit Happened
by Matt Taibbi In 1934, at the dawn of the Stalinist Terror, the great Russian writer Isaac Babel offered a daring quip at the International Writers Conference in Moscow:
"Everything is given to us by the party and the government. Only one right is taken away: the right to write badly."
A onetime Soviet loyalist who was eventually shot as an enemy of the state, Babel was likely trying to say something profound: that the freedom to make mistakes is itself an essential component of freedom.
As a rule, people resent being saved from themselves. And if you think depriving people of their right to make mistakes makes sense, you probably never had respect for their right to make decisions at all.
This is all relevant in the wake of the Brexit referendum, in which British citizens narrowly voted to exit the European Union.
Because the vote was viewed as having been driven by the same racist passions that are fueling the campaign of Donald Trump, a wide swath of commentators suggested that democracy erred, and the vote should perhaps be canceled, for the Britons' own good.
Social media was filled with such calls. "Is it just me, or does #Brexit seem like a moment when the government should overrule a popular referendum?" wrote one typical commenter.
On op-ed pages, there was a lot of the same. Harvard economics professor and chess grandmaster Kenneth Rogoff wrote a piece for the Boston Globe called "Britain's democratic failure" in which he argued:
"This isn't democracy; it is Russian roulette for republics. A decision of enormous consequence… has been made without any appropriate checks and balances."
Rogoff then went on to do something that's become popular in pundit circles these days: He pointed to the lessons of antiquity. Going back thousands of years, he said, Very Smart People have warned us about the dangers of allowing the rabble to make decisions.
"Since ancient times," he wrote, "philosophers have tried to devise systems to try to balance the strengths of majority rule against the need to ensure that informed parties get a larger say in critical decisions."
Presumably playing the role of one of the "informed parties" in this exercise, Rogoff went on:
"By some accounts... Athens had implemented the purest historical example of democracy," he wrote. "Ultimately, though, after some catastrophic war decisions, Athenians saw a need to give more power to independent bodies."
This is exactly the argument that British blogging supernova Andrew Sullivan unleashed a few months ago in his 8,000-word diatribe against Donald Trump, "Democracies end when they are too democratic."
Like Rogoff, Sullivan argued that over-democratic societies drift into passionate excesses, and need that vanguard of Very Smart People to make sure they don't get themselves into trouble.
"Elites matter in a democracy," Sullivan argued, because they are the "critical ingredient to save democracy from itself."
I would argue that voters are the critical ingredient to save elites from themselves, but Sullivan sees it the other way, and has Plato on his side. Though some of his analysis seems based on a misread of ancient history (see here for an amusing exploration of the topic), he's right about Plato, the source of a lot of these "the ancients warned us about democracy" memes. He just left out the part where Plato, at least when it came to politics, was kind of a jerk.
The great philosopher despised democracy, believing it to be a system that blurred necessary social distinctions, prompting children, slaves and even animals to forget their places. He believed it a system that leads to over-permissiveness, wherein the people "drink too deeply of the strong wine of freedom."
Too much license, Plato wrote (and Sullivan echoed), leads to a spoiled populace that will turn to a strongman for revenge if anyone gets in the way of the party. These "men of naught" will inevitably denounce as oligarchs any wise group of rulers who try to set basic/sensible rules for society.
You have to be a snob of the first order, completely high on your own gas, to try to apply these arguments to present-day politics, imagining yourself as an analog to Plato's philosopher-kings.
And you have to have a cast-iron head to not grasp that saying stuff like this out loud is part of what inspires populations to movements like Brexit or the Trump campaign in the first place.
Were I British, I'd probably have voted to Remain. But it's not hard to understand being pissed off at being subject to unaccountable bureaucrats in Brussels. Nor is it hard to imagine the post-Brexit backlash confirming every suspicion you might have about the people who run the EU.
Imagine having pundits and professors suggest you should have your voting rights curtailed because you voted Leave. Now imagine these same people are calling voters like you "children," and castigating you for being insufficiently appreciative of, say, the joys of submitting to a European Supreme Court that claims primacy over the Magna Carta and the Bill of Rights.
The overall message in every case is the same: Let us handle things.
But whatever, let's assume that the Brexit voters, like Trump voters, are wrong, ignorant, dangerous and unjustified.
Even stipulating to that, the reaction to both Brexit and Trump reveals a problem potentially more serious than either Brexit or the Trump campaign. It's become perilously fashionable all over the Western world to reach for non-democratic solutions whenever society drifts in a direction people don't like. Here in America the problem is snowballing on both the right and the left.
Whether it's Andrew Sullivan calling for Republican insiders to rig the nomination process to derail Trump's candidacy, or Democratic Party lifers like Peter Orszag arguing that Republican intransigence in Congress means we should turn more power over to "depoliticized commissions," the instinct to act by diktat surfaces quite a lot these days.
"Too much democracy" used to be an argument we reserved for foreign peoples who tried to do things like vote to demand control over their own oil supplies.
I first heard the term in Russia in the mid-Nineties. As a young reporter based in Moscow in the years after communism fell, I spent years listening to American advisors and their cronies in the Kremlin gush over the new democratic experiment.
Then, in 1995, polls came out showing communist Gennady Zyguanov leading in the upcoming presidential race against Boris Yeltsin. In an instant, all of those onetime democratic evangelists began saying Russia was "not ready" for democracy.
Now it's not just carpetbagging visitors to the Third World pushing this line of thought. Just as frequently, the argument is aimed at "low-information" voters at home.
Maybe the slide started with 9/11, after which huge pluralities of people were suddenly OK with summary executions, torture, warrantless surveillance and the blithe disposal of concepts like habeas corpus.
A decade and a half later, we're gripped by a broader mania for banning and censoring things that would have been unthinkable a generation ago.
It seems equally to have taken over campus speech controversies (expanding the "fighting words" exception to the First Amendment is suddenly a popular idea) and the immigration debate (where Trump swept to the nomination riding a bluntly unconstitutional call for a religious test for immigrants).
Democracy appears to have become so denuded and corrupted in America that a generation of people has grown up without any faith in its principles.
What's particularly concerning about the reaction both to Brexit and to the rise of Trump is the way these episodes are framed as requiring exceptions to the usual democratic rule. They're called threats so monstrous that we must abrogate the democratic process to combat them.
Forget Plato, Athens, Sparta and Rome. More recent history tells us that the descent into despotism always starts in this exact same way. There is always an emergency that requires a temporary suspension of democracy.
After 9/11 we had the "ticking time bomb" metaphor to justify torture. NYU professor and self-described "prolific thought leader" Ian Bremmer just called Brexit the "most significant political risk the world has experienced since the Cuban Missile Crisis," likening it to a literal end-of-humanity scenario. Sullivan justified his call for undemocratic electoral maneuvers on the grounds that the election of Trump would be an "extinction-level event."
I don't buy it. My admittedly primitive understanding of democracy is that we're supposed to move toward it, not away from it, in a moment of crisis.
It doesn't mean much to be against torture until the moment when you're most tempted to resort to it, or to have faith in voting until the result of a particular vote really bothers you. If you think there's ever such a thing as "too much democracy," you probably never believed in it in the first place. And even low-Information voters can sense it.
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/the-reaction-to-brexit-is-the-reason-brexit-happened-20160627
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