Author |
Message |
 |
|
 |
Advert
|
Forum adverts like this one are shown to any user who is not logged in. Join us by filling out a tiny 3 field form and you will get your own, free, dakka user account which gives a good range of benefits to you:
- No adverts like this in the forums anymore.
- Times and dates in your local timezone.
- Full tracking of what you have read so you can skip to your first unread post, easily see what has changed since you last logged in, and easily see what is new at a glance.
- Email notifications for threads you want to watch closely.
- Being a part of the oldest wargaming community on the net.
If you are already a member then feel free to login now. |
|
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 10:38:24
Subject: Re:UK Politics
|
 |
Ferocious Black Templar Castellan
|
It's not like I included an explanation of why that economic growth might not mean what you think it means or anything...
|
For thirteen years I had a dog with fur the darkest black. For thirteen years he was my friend, oh how I want him back. |
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 10:43:00
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
[MOD]
Anti-piracy Officer
Somewhere in south-central England.
|
Eventually China and Brazil will be as rich as Europe is now, and that means they will be good markets for European goods.
However there is nothing about the EU that prevents the EU from trading with those nations, and the EU will be more easily able to create good trade deals with them because it will be doing so from a position of relatively greater strength than the UK alone.
Plus tourism, etc.
|
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 10:44:32
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
Courageous Grand Master
-
|
nfe wrote: Do_I_Not_Like_That wrote:
Sadly, I'm not a millionaire, and you'll find that most of the middle-class voted Remain. I'm not middle-class either.
I think that everybody, and I mean everybody on dakka, is in complete agreement that most Brexit support came from Britain's working-classes.
Not sure why you thought that a meaningful reply to Thebiggesthat's post, which didn't make reference to your wealth or social class in any way, but people vote against their own interests all the time, so the fact that the bulk of leave voters were working class isn't very meaningful without a wealth of additional data.
I'm all right jack commonly refers to the well to do who've done well for themselves and pulled up the ladder behind them.
Baby-boomers are unfairly seen as living the good life on high value pensions, whilst sitting in ex-council homes in London worth millions, which they were able to buy for £5 back in the 1980s or something. And they all went to Oxford as well, and got grants of £50,000 a year whilst they were there etc etc
The above is the common stereotype abut the baby boomers these days: most of Britain is all living in cardboard boxes, whilst they're living the good life at our expense.
So yeah, I took that comment to be a criticism of my wealth and status.
Automatically Appended Next Post: jouso wrote: Do_I_Not_Like_That wrote: Kilkrazy wrote:Common sense but wrong.
Look at the GAT 7 and see how many European countries are in it.
Also the EU has got trade deals in place or coming with countries like South Korea and Canada. Post-Brexit UK will have to negotiate all of those over again.
Yeah, but Kilkrazy, you know as well as I do that nothing stays the same for ever. As Asia and Brazil continues to develop, these countries will eventually overtake Europe in terms of raw economic clout.
1.- is, of course, that by the time those countries' citizens have similar purchasing power as Europe everyone in this board will probably be dead.
2.- is that the EU as a good head start (at least a decade) on having deals with those countries. Better deals, too, because of clout and leverage the UK will lack post-Brexit.
It's an almost textbook definition of shooting yourself in the foot then try to run a marathon.
We need at least a decade before either one of us is proven right or wrong. We may still be on dakka in 10 years time. Automatically Appended Next Post: Mad Doc Grotsnik wrote:For all aspects of the political spectrum. You may want to ask for clarification and evidence whenever you read the following statements in someone's political musings...
1. Everyone knows
2. It's common knowledge
3. Stands to reason
4. It's just common sense
5. It's obvious that
6. Tells it like it is (this is a great time to play a quick game of 'spot the bare faced liar')
Chances are they're signs of someone trying to present wild opinion as popular opinion, and from there trying to make it a 'fact'.
Like I said earlier, do I really need to provide a source that says most of the world's population lives outside Europe?
Is it not fair to use a term such as: it's common knowledge that most of the world's population lives outside Europe.
I mean, come on. What do people want from me? A round the world tour?
|
This message was edited 2 times. Last update was at 2017/11/30 10:50:25
"Our crops will wither, our children will die piteous
deaths and the sun will be swept from the sky. But is it true?" - Tom Kirby, CEO, Games Workshop Ltd |
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 10:51:00
Subject: Re:UK Politics
|
 |
Calculating Commissar
|
Do_I_Not_Like_That wrote: AlmightyWalrus wrote:You're also making the mistake of assuming that growth numbers will stay constant ad infinitum. Brazil, China, India etc. are growing rapidly because they had, and still have, a really low standard to start with. It's much easier to have double digit GDP growth when the GDP gonsists of a stick and two leaves than when you're dealing with advanced electronics.
Also, you'd think there's been enough instances of being laughably wrong in this thread that common sense would have been brought behind the proverbial shed and taken out of its misery by now. It's getting to the point where "common sense" is now short-hand for "I haven't actually got a clue, but I'll argue my point anyway!"
So when I say that most of the world's population doesn't live in Europe, please tell me which part of that is wrong.
When I say that Asia's economic growth is outstripping that of Europe's, please tell me which part of that is wrong.
It's gotten to the stage where I can't even say a basic fact such as most of the world lives outside Europe, without you querying it.
It's been a familiar pattern from you these past months. If I say grass is green, you say no. if I say snow is white, you say it's black.
I'm giving you notice now that I'm putting you on ignore. I no longer wish to engage in conversation with you.
Good day to you sir.
No one is s ignoring your facts. They are disputing your conclusion. Automatically Appended Next Post: Most of the worlds population is outside of Europe but also gak poor.
Various economies are growing faster than Europe because they started low. They'll take decades to overtake us, and when they do Europe will have better trade deals than us.
Until they overtake Europe, it's stupid to dump Europe for them.
|
This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2017/11/30 10:54:33
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 10:56:58
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
Been Around the Block
|
r_squared wrote:Herzlos wrote:There does appear to be growing demand for a second referendum now that more information is being presented and the realities and lies have been exposed. I watched a few clips from channel 4 about Leave voters reactions to the 50bn, and a good third said they'd change their vote now if they could.
I think this is somewhat optimistic, as the source below shows. But it's also irrelevant. The referendum that got us into this situation had nothing to do with public demand for one, but instead internal Tory politics. If there is a second referendum it will happen for much the same reasons.
YouGov wrote:Remainers beware: people who think Britain was wrong to vote to leave the EU do not necessarily think the referendum result should be reverse
In a recent YouGov poll for The Times, there appeared to be good news for those who want Britain to remain in the European Union and bad news for those who favour Brexit.
After 16 months of tracking Bregret (or rather, thus far, the relative lack of it), a record high of 47% said they thought Britain was wrong to vote leave the EU, coupled with a record low of 42% saying we were right to do so.
Each individual poll has a margin of error so it is important not to take one set of results out of context. In our most recent poll the numbers have reverted back slightly, with just a 3% gap between right and wrong to leave. However, when you look at the last few months together the trend does seem to be towards slightly more people thinking Britain was wrong to vote to leave the EU.
The average of YouGov’s five most recent polls shows 43% saying we were right to vote to leave and 45% saying we were wrong. By contrast, on average the first five polls of this year saw 46% saying we were right to leave and 42% wrong.
But before anyone gets carried away with the possible implications of this shift, it is important to note that thinking Britain was wrong to vote to leave is not the same as thinking the referendum result should be reversed.
Some Remain voters don’t like the destination, but have strapped in for the ride
In a recent poll we asked Britons which of four different routes they would prefer the Brexit process take. Four in ten (40%) wanted to continue with Brexit on current negotiating terms, whilst 12% wanted Britain to seek a “softer” Brexit – meaning a “go ahead” majority of 52%.
Just 18% wanted a second referendum and a further 14% wanted Brexit abandoned completely, a total of 32% for an “attempt to reverse” Brexit. The remaining 16% said they didn’t know.
The main reason there are so many more people wanting Brexit to proceed rather than halted is because some Remain voters, though still thinking that leaving is the wrong decision, believe that the result of the referendum should be respected. (Previous YouGov research on this group labelled them “Re-leavers”). For example, whilst eight in ten (79%) Leave voters pick one of the “go ahead” options, so do 28% of Remain voters.
This might be changing, though.
Over the past few months, Remain voters’ views have started swinging back towards wanting Britain to stay in the EU. While in June a majority of Remain voters (51%) supported a “go ahead” option, by the end of September this had fallen to 28%. Over the same period the proportion of Remain voters backing an “attempt to reverse” approach rose from 44% to 61%.
As we get further and further away from the referendum itself more people might start to think it is legitimate to try to stop Brexit, and eventually there could be a majority that want to stop Brexit.
But for the moment the public still believe that Brexit means Brexit. Source, from 27 October this year.
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 10:57:31
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
[MOD]
Anti-piracy Officer
Somewhere in south-central England.
|
Briefly returning to the item about Trump's possible state visit to the UK, the smart thinking is that the government will quietly kick the ball into the long grass and hope that Trump never asks for it.
The general opinion is that the British public are so hostile to Trump (something like 80% disapproval rating) that a high profile visit would end up doing worse damage to UK/US relations than not having one at all.
And that ends US politic discussion in the UK thread, please...
|
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 11:01:41
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
Calculating Commissar
|
There are various barriers that exist with trade to China and Brazil that don't exist with Europe; time zone, distance, culture.
China is incredibly hard for the west to make money in. It's a political minefield at all levels. They really don't want to buy that much British stuff and what they do buy can take weeks to get there.
I don't know about Brazilian trade but I doubt it's easier than trading with France.
Distance wise you have fuel and time to worry about. Just in time stock is he'll ish to deal with if goods take weeks to turn up with unpredictable customs clearance.
I don't doubt you've seen a spike in non eu sales since gbp is jn the gutter and some stuff is hard to source for the minority that have the money. From my war games selling its been maybe 90% uk 10% Europe but I don't do the volume you do.
For my day job it's mostly Europe.
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 11:04:25
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
Longtime Dakkanaut
Glasgow
|
Do_I_Not_Like_That wrote:nfe wrote: Do_I_Not_Like_That wrote:
Sadly, I'm not a millionaire, and you'll find that most of the middle-class voted Remain. I'm not middle-class either.
I think that everybody, and I mean everybody on dakka, is in complete agreement that most Brexit support came from Britain's working-classes.
Not sure why you thought that a meaningful reply to Thebiggesthat's post, which didn't make reference to your wealth or social class in any way, but people vote against their own interests all the time, so the fact that the bulk of leave voters were working class isn't very meaningful without a wealth of additional data.
I'm all right jack commonly refers to the well to do who've done well for themselves and pulled up the ladder behind them.
Nope. It quite specifically refers to people who put believe everything is hunky dory so long as they perceive their own circumstances to be so. It doesn't matter whether they're millionaires or impoverished, only that they are contented.
Baby-boomers are unfairly seen as living the good life on high value pensions, whilst sitting in ex-council homes in London worth millions, which they were able to buy for £5 back in the 1980s or something. And they all went to Oxford as well, and got grants of £50,000 a year whilst they were there etc etc
The above is the common stereotype abut the baby boomers these days: most of Britain is all living in cardboard boxes, whilst they're living the good life at our expense.
Nobody thinks this. Lots of people do rightly observe that the baby-boomer generation are vastly wealthier than, and have consistently voted to remove opportunities their generation had from, the following generations.
You really need to stop presenting stereotypes that barely exist as dominant narratives.
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 11:10:35
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
Drakhun
|
And everyone says the next generation is worse than the one before it.
The baby boomers were luckier and they no doubt believed that the previous generation was better off and they were doing everything to prevent their own growth.
|
DS:90-S+G+++M++B-IPw40k03+D+A++/fWD-R++T(T)DM+
Warmachine MKIII record 39W/0D/6L
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 11:11:06
Subject: Re:UK Politics
|
 |
Ridin' on a Snotling Pump Wagon
|
Most people also see that not only did the Baby Boomer generation have it all, they then took the ladder up with them.
Wrecked the housing market? CHECK!
Wrecked the economy? More than once!
Voted to make young folk pay for Uni? Squeezin' them til the pips squeak!
Consider anyone younger than them who haven't had the same privileges to therefore be lazy? DING DING DING! SELFISH BINGO!
Automatically Appended Next Post: welshhoppo wrote:And everyone says the next generation is worse than the one before it.
The baby boomers were luckier and they no doubt believed that the previous generation was better off and they were doing everything to prevent their own growth.
Twaddle.
Previous generation had nowt. They set up the NHS, and ensured all the things their kids then took away from future generations.
Do....do you actually live in the real world?
|
This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2017/11/30 11:12:17
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 11:15:19
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
Regular Dakkanaut
|
nfe wrote: Do_I_Not_Like_That wrote:nfe wrote: Do_I_Not_Like_That wrote:
Sadly, I'm not a millionaire, and you'll find that most of the middle-class voted Remain. I'm not middle-class either.
I think that everybody, and I mean everybody on dakka, is in complete agreement that most Brexit support came from Britain's working-classes.
Not sure why you thought that a meaningful reply to Thebiggesthat's post, which didn't make reference to your wealth or social class in any way, but people vote against their own interests all the time, so the fact that the bulk of leave voters were working class isn't very meaningful without a wealth of additional data.
I'm all right jack commonly refers to the well to do who've done well for themselves and pulled up the ladder behind them.
Nope. It quite specifically refers to people who put believe everything is hunky dory so long as they perceive their own circumstances to be so. It doesn't matter whether they're millionaires or impoverished, only that they are contented.
Baby-boomers are unfairly seen as living the good life on high value pensions, whilst sitting in ex-council homes in London worth millions, which they were able to buy for £5 back in the 1980s or something. And they all went to Oxford as well, and got grants of £50,000 a year whilst they were there etc etc
The above is the common stereotype abut the baby boomers these days: most of Britain is all living in cardboard boxes, whilst they're living the good life at our expense.
Nobody thinks this. Lots of people do rightly observe that the baby-boomer generation are vastly wealthier than, and have consistently voted to remove opportunities their generation had from, the following generations.
You really need to stop presenting stereotypes that barely exist as dominant narratives.
You may as well hit your head repeatedly against a brick wall. He reads what he wants to read, and replies accordingly.
It's this behavior from others of his age, that are fueling the growing divisions in this country.
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 13:17:45
Subject: Re:UK Politics
|
 |
Ultramarine Librarian with Freaky Familiar
|
Mario wrote:Shadow Captain Edithae wrote:Deadnight wrote:and I'd prefer a European army to the damned warmongering NATO regime)
What makes you think the EU won't be just as warmongering?
Big military industrial complexes once established need to find ways to justify their continued existence. And the EU like most Empires is expansionist. It is inevitable that the EU will find itself in conflict with other nations.
It's just less bloody to sell warmongering equipment to third parties and let them blow each other apart than to start wars yourself. That's at least what german arms manufacturers are doing.
Oh so warmongering is OK as long as its other people dying and not us? Might as well make a profit out of it, eh?
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 13:40:56
Subject: Re:UK Politics
|
 |
Mekboy Hammerin' Somethin'
Lubeck
|
I'm pretty sure there was sarcastic disapproval in Mario's post. Like many Western countries, Germany profits from selling arms of all kinds to Saudi Arabia and a few other questionable buyers, but I haven't yet talked to anybody actually being happy about German arms being used in opaque, complex, multi-sided and every changing middle eastern conflicts.
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 14:00:41
Subject: Re:UK Politics
|
 |
Inspiring Icon Bearer
|
Witzkatz wrote:I'm pretty sure there was sarcastic disapproval in Mario's post. Like many Western countries, Germany profits from selling arms of all kinds to Saudi Arabia and a few other questionable buyers, but I haven't yet talked to anybody actually being happy about German arms being used in opaque, complex, multi-sided and every changing middle eastern conflicts.
Realpolitik dictates that even modern democratic societies need to keep armed forces, which in turn need to be equipped with very expensive stuff whose almost unique function is to kill people wholesale. Realeconomicks say that the manufacture, sales and maintenance of such people-killing devices employs a lot of people, more often than not very well paid.
And of course, if you don't do it some other country will.
Such is the world we live in.
|
This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2017/11/30 14:00:55
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 14:08:30
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
Jinking Ravenwing Land Speeder Pilot
Wrexham, North Wales
|
Thebiggesthat wrote:.....
You may as well hit your head repeatedly against a brick wall. He reads what he wants to read, and replies accordingly.
It's this behavior from others of his age, that are fueling the growing divisions in this country.
I am a year younger, and I don't think like that at all.
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 15:22:14
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
Regular Dakkanaut
|
MarkNorfolk wrote:Thebiggesthat wrote:.....
You may as well hit your head repeatedly against a brick wall. He reads what he wants to read, and replies accordingly.
It's this behavior from others of his age, that are fueling the growing divisions in this country.
I am a year younger, and I don't think like that at all.
I didn't say all did.
If you look at the breakdown of vote by age it's stark the difference. You have a rising political left amongst the young, against the aging right.
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 17:05:36
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
Contagious Dreadnought of Nurgle
|
welshhoppo wrote:And everyone says the next generation is worse than the one before it.
The baby boomers were luckier and they no doubt believed that the previous generation was better off and they were doing everything to prevent their own growth.
I don’t know what baby boomers believed when they were young, but there is plenty of objective evidence that anyone under 40 now is worse off in almost every way that the over 55s. Wealth, housing, standards of living, pensions, job security, even life expectancy. These are not subjective feelings, they are objective facts. I will work longer, for less, to pay out more and die younger than my parants.
|
insaniak wrote:Sometimes, Exterminatus is the only option.
And sometimes, it's just a case of too much scotch combined with too many buttons... |
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 19:12:54
Subject: Re:UK Politics
|
 |
Longtime Dakkanaut
|
Mad Doc Grotsnik wrote:
Previous generation had nowt. They set up the NHS, and ensured all the things their kids then took away from future generations.
Do....do you actually live in the real world?
Strictly speaking it wasn't the baby boomers that were responsible for the NHS it was the generation before that as it was set up in 1948.
It's an interesting point that this generation is actually against Wrexit. It really is only the early retirees that (e..g baby boomers) that prefer it. There is thinking that the WWII generation remember the issues that started the whole problems and how it referendums/anti immigration messages/'the world's being mean to us' mentality was used by populists to gain power and retain it. In comparison that is what the Tories are doing, but in a less dramatic style, by killing off debate, using old out dated legislation to force through what they want etc. There is an argument that Baby boomers in general (not all) benefited from a period of sustained growth but and continue to want the best for themselves regardless because of the way they vote (for example even talk about touching the pensions is tantamount to political suicide for the Tories, but happy for the young to indebted for a lifetime etc). It basically comes down to voting what they think is best for themselves (which is by no means prevalent to just that age group, I've heard my brother say the same) but there does seem to be increasing awareness of the damage that causes in the younger generation (likely because they are more exposed to it). Automatically Appended Next Post: Do_I_Not_Like_That wrote:
Like I said earlier, do I really need to provide a source that says most of the world's population lives outside Europe?
Is it not fair to use a term such as: it's common knowledge that most of the world's population lives outside Europe.
I mean, come on. What do people want from me? A round the world tour?
You are also misunderstanding where the money comes from at the moment. Relatively a few people (and big corporations) do well because they exploit the populace at large to make money off Europe and America. The money they create generally comes from the same countries that you are proposing should trade with them. Hence you have a circular system. You can only create wealth if that wealth is genuinely being created in that country. In the end it works to an equilibrium position as the wealth balances out across nations even if not by individuals.
|
This message was edited 1 time. Last update was at 2017/11/30 19:18:20
"Because while the truncheon may be used in lieu of conversation, words will always retain their power. Words offer the means to meaning, and for those who will listen, the enunciation of truth. And the truth is, there is something terribly wrong with this country, isn't there? Cruelty and injustice, intolerance and oppression. And where once you had the freedom to object, to think and speak as you saw fit, you now have censors and systems of surveillance coercing your conformity and soliciting your submission. How did this happen? Who's to blame? Well certainly there are those more responsible than others, and they will be held accountable, but again truth be told, if you're looking for the guilty, you need only look into a mirror. " - V
I've just supported the Permanent European Union Citizenship initiative. Please do the same and spread the word!
"It's not a problem if you don't look up." - Dakka's approach to politics |
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 20:25:15
Subject: Re:UK Politics
|
 |
[MOD]
Anti-piracy Officer
Somewhere in south-central England.
|
I'm surprised no-one has picked up on the latest immigration figures. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-42178038 Net migration falls by more than 100,000 after Brexit vote
|
This message was edited 2 times. Last update was at 2017/11/30 20:25:55
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 20:29:26
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
Calculating Commissar
|
28,000 increase in outward migrants too.
Probably explains why apples are rotting in fields unpicked.
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 20:31:35
Subject: Re:UK Politics
|
 |
Been Around the Block
|
Whirlwind wrote:It's an interesting point that this generation is actually against Wrexit. It really is only the early retirees that (e..g baby boomers) that prefer it. There is thinking that the WWII generation remember the issues that started the whole problems and how it referendums/anti immigration messages/'the world's being mean to us' mentality was used by populists to gain power and retain it. In comparison that is what the Tories are doing, but in a less dramatic style, by killing off debate, using old out dated legislation to force through what they want etc. There is an argument that Baby boomers in general (not all) benefited from a period of sustained growth but and continue to want the best for themselves regardless because of the way they vote (for example even talk about touching the pensions is tantamount to political suicide for the Tories, but happy for the young to indebted for a lifetime etc). It basically comes down to voting what they think is best for themselves (which is by no means prevalent to just that age group, I've heard my brother say the same) but there does seem to be increasing awareness of the damage that causes in the younger generation (likely because they are more exposed to it).
Obviously with an anonymous ballot it isn't possible to know with certainty how a particular demographic voted, but here's the final YouGov poll reweighted to produce the actual outcome. It ought to be broadly correct with the specific potentially out a few percentage points.
I can't find anywhere that breaks down the over 65 result, apart from some pre-poll speculation from a pollster that voters 75+ were less hostile (but still pro-Brexit) than those younger than them.
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 20:33:03
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
Ruthless Interrogator
|
AndrewC wrote:I wonder just how many people here actually lived through the troubles? And I mean that in a way that they were actively, cognitivly aware of what was going on?
Unless you are old enough I would ask that you not go slinging accusations about.
I honestly hope that there is not a reoccurence of the violence, because those were very dark days, very much reenacted with the persecution of minority muslims in other countries. However if there is, it is not the sole province of Brexiteers to take responsibility and blame for this. There are two parties to these negotiations and both sides need to take blame. Both parties need to take a long hard look at themselves. Notice has been served to leave the EU. It is then up to both parties to create a solution. Ireland and the EU sticking their heads in the sand saying that its up the the UK to find the solution is deluding themselves. Failure on their side to find that medium solutions puts the blame as squarely on their shoulders as those who voted for Brexit.
Cheers
Andrew
I did, I was around 20 when the ceasefires were declared. I lived went to school in North Belfast (in what was known as the murder triangle) I now live on my uncles farm just a few miles out of the city. It seemed normal at the time for my generation at that time we knew nothing else. Looking back it was crazy.
I don’t think the IRA could return to violence again, at least not for long or in any prolonged way and they know it. The intelligence services had them completely infiltrated by the end. The IRA was a tiny organisation and many of them were locked up, they were beaten but didn’t know how to stop without saving face. Tony Blair gave it to them. They now are still as heavily infiltrated but their weapons are decommissioned...... or at the least pretty rusty by now. Getting fresh arms won’t be so easy this time and they know it.
People in NI have got used to peace and there would be little or no support from the republican community for any full scale campaign.
Also they are having remarkable success politically, i doubt they would risk that for a violent campaign they know will be doomed from the start.
The IRA and Sinn Fein have threatened violence many times over the years when it suits this is nothing new. Remember Gerry’s ‘they haven’t gone away’
Don’t forget we have had the so called dissidents, who have failed to ignite any support or prolonged campaign and have been around for years. Obviously I’m not trying to minimise the misery they have caused but it’s not on the same scale as the provos.
The mouthing from the Republic of Ireland and Sinn Fein should be treated as it is, hot air. Britain should get on with Brexit, there’s enough to worry about without stressing over rusty rifles.
|
EAT - SLEEP - FARM - REPEAT |
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 20:36:25
Subject: Re:UK Politics
|
 |
[MOD]
Anti-piracy Officer
Somewhere in south-central England.
|
If you want to look into a detailed analysis of the voting per ward, the BBC did a very good study.
I will warn you though that it is opening Pandora's box to mention the results in this forum.
|
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 21:14:32
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
Lord Commander in a Plush Chair
|
Our economy is based on low wages. People are paid ‘affordably’ low wages only because food is so cheap, because those prices are based on fruit pickers paid buttons. You could get fruit pickers in the UK if you paid a fair wage, but the food prices would rise. Similarly farmers could be paid properly for milk instead of being ripped off by the supermarkets. Don’t blame UK workers for not wanting to be paid gak wages, or the farmers, or the migrants coming here to live ten to a house to work in a field. Blame the corporate bosses of supermarkets effectiv it running a cartel to depress food prices and pressure food suppliers into taking minimal prices for product.
Ultimately food prices would rise if workers and farmers paid properly and expose just how poor the minimum wage really is. The gulf between the rich and poor has grown under successive governments, and middle earners still support the payment of tax credits to subsidise corporations paying low wages.
Things have to change, everyone lower down needs to earn more and it could be done if government wasn’t hand in glove with these corporations kissing their ass.
|
This message was edited 2 times. Last update was at 2017/11/30 21:15:31
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 21:29:08
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
Ruthless Interrogator
|
Howard A Treesong wrote:Our economy is based on low wages. People are paid ‘affordably’ low wages only because food is so cheap, because those prices are based on fruit pickers paid buttons. You could get fruit pickers in the UK if you paid a fair wage, but the food prices would rise. Similarly farmers could be paid properly for milk instead of being ripped off by the supermarkets. Don’t blame UK workers for not wanting to be paid gak wages, or the farmers, or the migrants coming here to live ten to a house to work in a field. Blame the corporate bosses of supermarkets effectiv it running a cartel to depress food prices and pressure food suppliers into taking minimal prices for product.
Ultimately food prices would rise if workers and farmers paid properly and expose just how poor the minimum wage really is. The gulf between the rich and poor has grown under successive governments, and middle earners still support the payment of tax credits to subsidise corporations paying low wages.
Things have to change, everyone lower down needs to earn more and it could be done if government wasn’t hand in glove with these corporations kissing their ass.
Absolutely. Unfortunately continued agri subsidies from Brussels have allowed food to be produced at cost price. The cost of production is met by sales and the farmer picks up he subsidy as his salary..... on a good year, a bad year means he is eating into the subsidy to survive. People think agri subs benefit the farmer but reality is the supermarkets gain most. They get a cheap product which they can massively mark up because the farmer will continue to farm because of the sub. Vicious circle with only one winner.
|
EAT - SLEEP - FARM - REPEAT |
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 21:31:03
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
Drakhun
|
Steve steveson wrote: welshhoppo wrote:And everyone says the next generation is worse than the one before it.
The baby boomers were luckier and they no doubt believed that the previous generation was better off and they were doing everything to prevent their own growth.
I don’t know what baby boomers believed when they were young, but there is plenty of objective evidence that anyone under 40 now is worse off in almost every way that the over 55s. Wealth, housing, standards of living, pensions, job security, even life expectancy. These are not subjective feelings, they are objective facts. I will work longer, for less, to pay out more and die younger than my parants.
Well put it this way. The 1920s were called the Golden 20s for a reason.
I get that life is different than it was 20-30 years ago. But life expectancy is still increasing and that's a problem. People are taking too damn long to die and it affects everything else.
I honestly wouldn't be surprised if we got rid of state pensions and made them all private.
|
DS:90-S+G+++M++B-IPw40k03+D+A++/fWD-R++T(T)DM+
Warmachine MKIII record 39W/0D/6L
|
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 22:06:44
Subject: UK Politics
|
 |
Contagious Dreadnought of Nurgle
|
Maybe they did think the past was better, although one decade being seen as as good doesn’t show much, but all of the evidence shows that it’s not the case. As I said, by all objective measurements the under 40s have been screwed. I will admit life expectancy depends on how you measure it, but in the past that’s not been any doubt that life expectancy would go up:
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/pensioners-uk-life-expectancy-falling-institute-and-faculty-of-actuaries-a7661571.html
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/doctors-warned-life-expectancy-could-go-down-and-it-did-45735996/
And yes, I would not be surprised after spending years paying for it if I don’t get any or much state pension.
|
insaniak wrote:Sometimes, Exterminatus is the only option.
And sometimes, it's just a case of too much scotch combined with too many buttons... |
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 22:08:54
Subject: Re:UK Politics
|
 |
Ferocious Black Templar Castellan
|
Paying farmers more drives inflation, as the wage increase has to come from somewhere. That leads to increased food prices, which means everyone else wants higher wage increases to cope with rising food prices and so on creating an evil circle.
|
For thirteen years I had a dog with fur the darkest black. For thirteen years he was my friend, oh how I want him back. |
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 22:30:14
Subject: Re:UK Politics
|
 |
Longtime Dakkanaut
|
monarda wrote:
Obviously with an anonymous ballot it isn't possible to know with certainty how a particular demographic voted, but here's the final YouGov poll reweighted to produce the actual outcome. It ought to be broadly correct with the specific potentially out a few percentage points.
I can't find anywhere that breaks down the over 65 result, apart from some pre-poll speculation from a pollster that voters 75+ were less hostile (but still pro-Brexit) than those younger than them.
Yeah there is little direct evidence and the number in the WWII category are also dwindling fast so the sample size is limited. However ancillary reports seems to back up that this age group are generally opposed to the current ideology making headway. Automatically Appended Next Post: Herzlos wrote:28,000 increase in outward migrants too.
Probably explains why apples are rotting in fields unpicked.
What it doesn't provide is a breakdown by the types of people leaving. If it's bankers, scientists (some are leaving) etc then overall it's bad news because you are just increasing your low skilled workforce.
Food pickers etc is actually a wash because most of them are only in transit anyway they come during picking season and leave when over so actually their net figure is zero as they come and go in the same year. It does mean less people are coming to do those jobs though but it can't really explain the reason for the decrease.
It's bad news in the long term. We are an aging population, we can't really afford to let immigration slide else in 20-40 years we are going to have a big problem. Of course the majority of the elderly people that voted for this mess won't actually be around to see it so they can be happy living in their bit of little England. Automatically Appended Next Post: Howard A Treesong wrote:
Ultimately food prices would rise if workers and farmers paid properly and expose just how poor the minimum wage really is. The gulf between the rich and poor has grown under successive governments, and middle earners still support the payment of tax credits to subsidise corporations paying low wages.
the problem is that this just drives inflation. Apart from the industrial farms, farmers aren't rolling in cash. They put the prices up, the supermarket does to keep profits higher, which ultimately means diddly squat for the lower paid workers. Yes they are paid more but the costs have gone up equivalently.
One way to stop they cycle is how you shop. Use direct farmer shops etc that cuts out the middle supermarket, puts more money into the farmers hands but is still cheaper allowing more money to be paid to workers etc. But yes the government does use the poor and middle class to help the very rich. Automatically Appended Next Post: Knockagh wrote:
Absolutely. Unfortunately continued agri subsidies from Brussels have allowed food to be produced at cost price. The cost of production is met by sales and the farmer picks up he subsidy as his salary..... on a good year, a bad year means he is eating into the subsidy to survive. People think agri subs benefit the farmer but reality is the supermarkets gain most. They get a cheap product which they can massively mark up because the farmer will continue to farm because of the sub. Vicious circle with only one winner.
The problem is though that if you open yourself up to free trade from countries that pay much less than you per worker (and I mean pence) then without subsidies our own farmers simply can't compete with the demand for cheap food. This is likely to happen in the UK. I've discussed the sugar beet / cane sugar issue before. But free trade means that cane sugar will become dirt cheap, a lot of farmers rely on sugar beet as a staple; it will put farmers out of business because they can't afford to live on pence per hour. Of course who do you think comes from a sugar cane company....David Davis....
|
This message was edited 3 times. Last update was at 2017/11/30 22:45:03
"Because while the truncheon may be used in lieu of conversation, words will always retain their power. Words offer the means to meaning, and for those who will listen, the enunciation of truth. And the truth is, there is something terribly wrong with this country, isn't there? Cruelty and injustice, intolerance and oppression. And where once you had the freedom to object, to think and speak as you saw fit, you now have censors and systems of surveillance coercing your conformity and soliciting your submission. How did this happen? Who's to blame? Well certainly there are those more responsible than others, and they will be held accountable, but again truth be told, if you're looking for the guilty, you need only look into a mirror. " - V
I've just supported the Permanent European Union Citizenship initiative. Please do the same and spread the word!
"It's not a problem if you don't look up." - Dakka's approach to politics |
|
 |
 |
![[Post New]](/s/i/i.gif) 2017/11/30 22:58:20
Subject: Re:UK Politics
|
 |
Been Around the Block
|
AlmightyWalrus wrote:Paying farmers more drives inflation, as the wage increase has to come from somewhere. That leads to increased food prices, which means everyone else wants higher wage increases to cope with rising food prices and so on creating an evil circle.
The average UK home spends 11% of its income on food which puts an obvious limit on how much inflation in food prices can fuel overall inflation.
Here is UK food inflation for the last 10 years. Both sets of figures come from the Office of National Statistics.
Finally, your model is too simplistic. Considered narrowly, paying farmers more only drives inflation if their increased wages outstrips productivity growth. Considered broadly, it only drives overall inflation if it overcomes other sources of deflation.
|
|
 |
 |
|