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I take it the assassin can't assault on the turn it arrives? I don't have the codex yet.

Correct.

Aww, that just ruins the assassin! A crap, non ID Template, and an average attack before getting a few dozen laserpens in his eyes. He can't even get into combat where he excells


Vindicare FTW.

I think junk got his "<" and ">" signs mixed up a bit, giving the "benefit of the doubt" on a 28% chance of two wounds is a bit much for me.

Assuming all the rest of your math is correct I'd expect average two dead Longfangs, minimum 3 left (don't they also sometimes sport a rocket-something Terminator or a 6th guy?) and a 37% chance to survive the next turn.

That reduces Callidus to either needing support in that round, or just using her to make sure you don't take long-range fire from the Longfangs that specific round, since all you can realistically expect is 2 or 3 dead dudes. But if those 2-3 guys are enough of a pain, then I guess it's worth it.

Fixed.

New 6th Edition rumours have the Deep Strike rules re-worked as "strike down, then shoot immediately".

http://warhammerswede.blogspot.com/2011/10/callidus.html

EDIT: Rumoured changes coming in 6th edition is Deep Striking units being allowed to shoot immediately upon entry into play. Maybe I'm grasping at straws here, but there's a few possibilities:
A. The rumour is full of crap.
B. Rumour true, but Polymorphine rule changes to make the Callidus essentially stay the same.
C. Rumour true, Polymorphine changes differently or is clarified or Callidus is otherwisely changed (my guess).
D. Rumour true, Polymorphine wording is unchanged, all of a sudden Callidus is looking a tiny bit better. Not good, but better.